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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-77
21-21 17-23 34-23 16-10
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.5
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#6
Record2-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game92.5
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 74
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 74
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 74
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 74
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-29
19-16
18-22
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
167.1Avg total
82.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.383.5165.8-1.267%
Season at home (3)83.381.3164.7+2.067%
Season away (3)81.385.7167.0-4.367%
Last 10 (10)82.884.3167.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)83.487.2170.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.685.5162.2-8.918%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.579.9161.4+1.657%
vs Weaker (4)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 77
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
91avg 77
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 77
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
57avg 77
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 77
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 77
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 77
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 77
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
14-22
30-24
26-23
16-14
29-24
18-26
28-17
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
22-26
11-23
17-18
16-31
19-18
26-15
14-19
17-24
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
181.7Avg total
90.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.592.5182.0-3.033%
Season at home (4)88.288.2176.5+0.050%
Season away (2)92.0101.0193.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)90.491.3181.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)94.487.4181.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.594.4174.9-13.90%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.284.8172.0+2.478%
vs Weaker (11)87.982.4170.3+5.564%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
39.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.280.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.282.3-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.479.1-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.982.6-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.882.0-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.442.580.9-4.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.440.280.6+0.257%-
vs Weaker (4)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
88.8Avg total
44.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.784.2-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.245.286.4-3.925%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.981.6+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.844.088.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.489.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.646.084.6-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.640.883.3+1.856%-
vs Weaker (11)43.141.484.5+1.736%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.1
57.4%
55.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.5
35.4%
34.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
73.2%14.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.2
57.1%
55.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
34.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.317.2
70.8%
73.2%17.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWLWWLWWL
Neptunas
WLWWWLLLWL
#8
League position
#6
-2.9
Net rating
-3.4
113.2
Offensive rating
115.1
116.1
Defensive rating
118.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.4%
3-point %
34.3%
74.1%
Assist %
71.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 115.1Defence116.1 · 118.6Shooting55.5% · 54.8%3-point %35.4% · 34.3%Ball care16.5% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
31/10/22Neptunas v Jonava77-93
26/03/22Neptunas v Jonava75-78
24/01/22Neptunas v Jonava75-87
16/12/21Jonava v Neptunas64-89
21/10/21Jonava v Neptunas86-92
29/09/21Neptunas v Jonava89-74
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
09/06/23ALietkabelis72-84
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87
11/10/23AMazeikiai87-86 OT
08/10/23HBC Wolves66-98
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
16/09/23HLietkabelis91-81
14/05/23HRytas91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.383.381.3
Allowed / game83.581.385.7
Point differential-1.2+2.0-4.3
Avg total165.8164.7167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game89.588.292.0
Allowed / game92.588.2101.0
Point differential-3.0+0.0-9.0
Avg total182.0176.5193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas770100%97.079.7+17.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas770100%81.166.1+15.0
3 BC Wolves76186%90.175.3+14.9
4 Juventus75271%88.980.7+8.1
5 Jonava64267%82.383.5-1.2
6 Lietkabelis74357%86.385.1+1.1
7 Neptunas62433%89.592.5-3.0
8 Gargzdai62433%77.592.7-15.2
9 Mazeikiai72529%75.382.1-6.9
10 Siauliai71614%78.085.9-7.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes6060%84.094.8-10.8
12 Nevezis7070%76.192.0-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2117341688
Neptunas2123231077
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