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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 116-110
31-24 39-33 18-20 28-33
Position#21
Record22-31
FormLLLLW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#22
Record22-32
FormLWWLW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game103.4
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
128-129 OT
128
129
-1
134avg 99
H26/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
97-112
97
112
-15
86avg 99
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
105-114
105
114
-9
97avg 99
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
117-121
117
121
-4
102avg 99
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
111-104
111
104
+7
105avg 99
H02/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
102-107
102
107
-5
92avg 99
H04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
119-128
119
128
-9
111avg 99
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
119-128
119
128
-9
108avg 99
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
100-120
100
120
-20
95avg 99
A09/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
114-110
114
110
+4
110avg 99
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
25-30
28-42
31-27
29-33
23-25
22-30
23-24
19-37
34-26
26-29
26-22
22-36
29-29
26-27
40-29
25-32
28-24
21-18
37-30
25-34
32-26
18-20
27-27
25-33
36-32
24-38
34-25
37-46
21-28
29-21
32-33
23-31
22-30
25-30
30-29
24-30
24-33
27-24
39-23
228.5Avg total
111.2Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)107.1109.1216.2-2.042%
Season at home (26)106.5106.6213.1-0.250%
Season away (27)107.6111.5219.1-3.933%
Last 10 (10)111.2117.3228.5-6.120%
Last 5 (5)110.8118.6229.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)108.8110.0218.8-1.258%
vs Similar ◀ (12)103.2107.3210.6-4.125%
vs Weaker (6)118.3112.5230.8+5.867%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
105-119
105
119
-14
92avg 91
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
103-111
103
111
-8
98avg 91
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 91
A29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
105-109 OT
105
109
-4
98avg 91
A31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
112-93
112
93
+19
115avg 91
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 91
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 91
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
101-96
101
96
+5
91avg 91
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 91
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
100avg 91
A11/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
20-35
26-24
29-29
21-29
24-26
26-31
32-25
29-29
35-29
27-21
26-34
27-35
24-24
32-21
16-19
28-28
32-21
20-16
32-28
23-21
23-19
17-21
18-24
30-26
25-31
18-32
42-21
31-20
29-29
17-30
24-17
22-26
27-29
29-26
26-24
20-22
32-31
23-18
28-21
207.9Avg total
104.6Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)100.5103.4203.9-2.941%
Season at home (26)102.4105.3207.7-2.942%
Season away (28)98.7101.7200.4-3.039%
Last 10 (10)104.6103.3207.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)100.897.6198.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)101.5105.1206.6-3.727%
vs Similar ◀ (13)104.1102.1206.2+2.062%
vs Weaker (2)105.5108.0213.5-2.50%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H26/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H02/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A07/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A09/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A11/02
NBA
114.5Avg total
53.4Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.155.4110.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.251.2105.4+2.962%-
Last 30 away (17)55.858.6114.5-2.841%-
Last 10 (10)53.461.1114.5-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)53.864.6118.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)56.854.7111.5+2.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)51.755.8107.4-4.125%-
vs Weaker (6)58.556.3114.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A11/02
NBA
107.3Avg total
53.2Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.954.5107.4-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.156.6111.6-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)50.952.8103.7-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)53.254.1107.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)52.450.8103.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)51.355.1106.4-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.154.2108.2-0.138%-
vs Weaker (2)56.553.0109.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.433.6
51.4%
49.0%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.9
34.2%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.020.3
75.2%
75.5%20.3
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.531.2
49.1%
49.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.6
33.0%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws28.422.4
78.9%
75.5%22.4
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
WLLLLWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLWLL
#21
League position
#22
-5.8
Net rating
+1.3
105.7
Offensive rating
104.9
111.5
Defensive rating
103.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
33.0%
64.6%
Assist %
58.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 104.9Defence111.5 · 103.6Shooting51.4% · 49.2%3-point %34.2% · 33.0%Ball care14.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds23.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/16APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
09/02/16ACleveland Cavaliers100-120
07/02/16ABoston Celtics119-128
06/02/16ABrooklyn Nets119-128
04/02/16HChicago Bulls102-107
02/02/16HMilwaukee Bucks111-104
31/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies117-121
29/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans105-114
27/01/16APortland Trail Blazers97-112
26/01/16HCharlotte Hornets128-129 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
09/02/16ABrooklyn Nets104-105
07/02/16ANew York Knicks101-96
06/02/16HChicago Bulls115-110
04/02/16AUtah Jazz81-85
02/02/16HToronto Raptors112-93
31/01/16AIndiana Pacers105-109 OT
29/01/16AWashington Wizards117-113
28/01/16ABoston Celtics103-111
26/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game107.1106.5107.6
Allowed / game109.1106.6111.5
Point differential-2.0-0.2-3.9
Avg total216.2213.1219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)50% (8)33% (9)
Overtime %6%4%7%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayLLWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %41%42%39%
Points / game100.5102.498.7
Allowed / game103.4105.3101.7
Point differential-2.9-2.9-3.0
Avg total203.9207.7200.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%4%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)67% (12)56% (9)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5248492%115.5103.0+12.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5445983%104.792.0+12.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers53391474%102.996.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder55401573%109.9101.9+8.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers54361867%104.7100.5+4.2
6 Toronto Raptors53351866%101.997.7+4.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%98.499.1-0.8
8 Boston Celtics55322358%105.7101.5+4.2
9 Miami Heat54302456%96.496.6-0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks56312555%102.699.9+2.6
11 Indiana Pacers54292554%102.5100.3+2.3
12 Charlotte Hornets54282652%102.0100.8+1.2
13 Chicago Bulls54282652%101.4102.1-0.7
14 Dallas Mavericks56292752%100.9101.8-1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers54272750%102.5101.9+0.6
16 Houston Rockets56282850%105.2106.7-1.5
17 Detroit Pistons55272849%101.5100.9+0.6
18 Utah Jazz53262749%97.696.5+1.1
19 Washington Wizards53252847%102.6104.7-2.1
20 Orlando Magic53242945%99.6100.9-1.3
21 Sacramento Kings53223142%107.1109.1-2.0
22 New York Knicks56233341%99.1101.4-2.3
23 Denver Nuggets54223241%100.5103.4-2.9
24 Milwaukee Bucks55223340%98.1102.8-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans54213339%102.5105.2-2.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves55173831%100.5104.2-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets55154027%96.5103.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns55144125%100.5106.9-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers55114420%96.5106.1-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers5484615%95.5105.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings31391828116
Denver Nuggets24332033110
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