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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 92-105
19-25 25-29 25-21 23-30
Position#23
Record25-40
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game106.1
vs
Position#17
Record30-35
FormWLWLW
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Golden 1 Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
97-96
97
96
+1
93avg 95
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
86-109
86
109
-23
76avg 95
A16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
116-100
116
100
+16
113avg 95
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
85-99
85
99
-14
74avg 95
H25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 95
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 95
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
101avg 95
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
96-108
96
108
-12
85avg 95
A07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-114
104
114
-10
94avg 95
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
122-130 OT
122
130
-8
112avg 95
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
14-18
27-23
27-32
25-28
25-19
15-42
21-20
29-26
32-18
26-26
29-30
19-24
21-27
18-28
27-20
25-20
19-40
21-17
23-25
31-35
23-22
18-24
28-28
31-25
28-20
22-24
16-28
24-25
26-32
23-33
23-18
37-15
26-33
23-34
18-32
32-28
36-28
29-26
19-34
208.0Avg total
100.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)102.9106.1209.0-3.238%
Season at home (33)105.1106.6211.8-1.539%
Season away (32)100.7105.6206.2-4.938%
Last 10 (10)100.3107.7208.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)106.2114.2220.4-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)104.6109.8214.3-5.231%
vs Similar (14)102.6105.7208.4-3.136%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-112
99
112
-13
88avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
100-116
100
116
-16
90avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
126avg 101
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 101
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 101
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 101
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 101
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
113-123
113
123
-10
108avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 101
H11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
218.0Avg total
110.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.8111.2222.0-0.446%
Season at home (34)113.6111.0224.6+2.653%
Season away (31)107.6111.4219.0-3.739%
Last 10 (10)110.3107.7218.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)110.4105.6216.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0119.0227.0-11.025%
vs Similar (17)111.2109.2220.4+2.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)120.7114.3235.0+6.378%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A16/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H24/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H28/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H05/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H11/03
NBA
103.8Avg total
53.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.252.3103.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.753.5104.2-2.828%-
Last 30 away (12)52.050.6102.6+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)53.250.6103.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)58.852.6111.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)51.551.4102.9+0.150%-
vs Similar (14)50.953.4104.3-2.636%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
111.2Avg total
55.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.1114.6+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.354.3113.6+5.059%-
Last 30 away (13)57.558.5115.9-1.023%-
Last 10 (10)55.855.4111.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)57.453.8111.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.056.8116.8+3.225%-
vs Similar (17)57.455.0112.4+2.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.957.9117.8+2.056%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.230.0
47.5%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.48.2
40.2%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.7
79.3%
77.0%15.7
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.729.5
54.9%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.8
37.3%
35.7%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
77.0%15.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LLLLLLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWLL
#23
League position
#17
-7.5
Net rating
+2.6
101.9
Offensive rating
112.1
109.4
Defensive rating
109.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.2%
3-point %
37.3%
56.5%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 112.1Defence109.4 · 109.4Shooting50.6% · 55.3%3-point %40.2% · 37.3%Ball care14.8% · 15.1%Off. rebounds19.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sacramento Kings wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/17HWashington Wizards122-130 OT
09/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-114
07/03/17ADenver Nuggets96-108
05/03/17HUtah Jazz109-110 OT
02/03/17HBrooklyn Nets100-109
28/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves88-102
25/02/17HCharlotte Hornets85-99
24/02/17HDenver Nuggets116-100
16/02/17AGolden State Warriors86-109
15/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers97-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeLLLLL39%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %38%39%38%
Points / game102.9105.1100.7
Allowed / game106.1106.6105.6
Point differential-3.2-1.5-4.9
Avg total209.0211.8206.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)46% (13)62% (13)
Overtime %12%9%16%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW46%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLLWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653431
Win %46%53%39%
Points / game110.8113.6107.6
Allowed / game111.2111.0111.4
Point differential-0.4+2.6-3.7
Avg total222.0224.6219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors66521479%116.3105.3+11.0
2 San Antonio Spurs65511478%106.598.3+8.2
3 Houston Rockets66452168%115.1108.2+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers64432167%110.7106.5+4.2
5 Washington Wizards65412463%109.2106.6+2.5
6 Utah Jazz66412562%100.696.5+4.1
7 Boston Celtics66412562%107.6105.5+2.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers66402661%107.8104.7+3.1
9 Toronto Raptors66382858%107.3103.8+3.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.3106.2+0.1
11 Atlanta Hawks66372956%104.0104.4-0.4
12 Memphis Grizzlies66363055%101.2100.8+0.4
13 Indiana Pacers65333251%104.8105.7-0.9
14 Detroit Pistons66333350%102.3102.1+0.2
15 Milwaukee Bucks65323349%105.1104.3+0.8
16 Miami Heat66323448%102.4101.7+0.7
17 Chicago Bulls65313448%102.1103.3-1.2
18 Denver Nuggets65303546%110.8111.2-0.4
19 Charlotte Hornets66293744%105.2104.3+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers64283644%108.5110.6-2.1
21 Dallas Mavericks65283743%98.499.8-1.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves65273842%104.7104.8-0.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans66264039%102.9106.1-3.2
24 New York Knicks66264039%105.4108.7-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings65254038%102.9106.1-3.2
26 Orlando Magic67244336%99.7106.1-6.4
27 Philadelphia 76ers65234235%101.8108.0-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns66224433%107.7112.7-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers65204531%104.3111.0-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets64115317%105.5114.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings1925252392
Denver Nuggets25292130105
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