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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 116-100
29-26 32-18 26-26 29-30
Position#25
Record26-36
FormWWWWL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#16
Record29-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Golden 1 Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
119-122
119
122
-3
A30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
A01/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
103-105
103
105
-2
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
107-112
107
112
-5
H07/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
108-92
108
92
+16
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
108-107
108
107
+1
H11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
105-99
105
99
+6
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
97-96
97
96
+1
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
86-109
86
109
-23
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-21
20-27
30-42
34-32
24-29
11-25
22-28
26-23
21-15
28-34
30-30
24-26
27-31
29-25
26-26
16-16
11-27
34-33
24-25
38-27
19-28
30-21
28-22
31-21
17-28
26-31
31-25
34-23
23-29
30-27
23-17
29-26
29-23
14-18
27-23
27-32
25-28
25-19
15-42
21-20
207.8Avg total
102.5Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)102.9105.6208.5-2.742%
Season at home (29)105.6106.2211.8-0.645%
Season away (33)100.5105.1205.6-4.639%
Last 10 (10)102.5105.3207.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)100.8100.6201.4+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)102.6108.6211.3-6.036%
vs Similar (16)105.8106.0211.8-0.256%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
116-120
116
120
-4
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
99-119
99
119
-20
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-121
97
121
-24
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
110-87
110
87
+23
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
106-117
106
117
-11
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
131-123
131
123
+8
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
109-125
109
125
-16
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
99-112
99
112
-13
H16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
27-30
23-26
22-35
25-30
29-24
30-13
23-30
28-20
30-39
25-33
32-26
19-19
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
227.1Avg total
112.0Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)109.8110.8220.7-1.045%
Season at home (30)114.1111.2225.3+2.953%
Season away (34)106.1110.5216.6-4.438%
Last 10 (10)112.0115.1227.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)115.4117.4232.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar (18)112.2110.5222.7+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)121.9118.4240.3+3.457%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A01/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H04/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H07/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A16/02
NBA
99.7Avg total
47.8Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.253.3103.5-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.155.2105.2-5.119%-
Last 30 away (14)50.351.1101.4-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)47.851.999.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.650.498.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)48.252.8101.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (16)51.953.8105.6-1.944%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
117.5Avg total
60.0Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.156.8116.0+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.454.1113.5+5.359%-
Last 30 away (13)58.860.4119.2-1.623%-
Last 10 (10)60.057.5117.5+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)62.662.6125.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar (18)58.355.5113.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)60.158.7118.9+1.443%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.027.5
50.9%
50.2%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.9
77.9%
77.0%16.9
They take 81.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.628.5
47.8%
50.2%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.213.0
40.4%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
77.0%16.0
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LWWWWLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWLL
#25
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
-3.1
104.0
Offensive rating
112.2
106.8
Defensive rating
115.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.0%
3-point %
40.4%
65.8%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 112.2Defence106.8 · 115.3Shooting52.5% · 52.3%3-point %37.0% · 40.4%Ball care16.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds19.8% · 33.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sacramento Kings wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/17AGolden State Warriors86-109
15/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers97-96
13/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans105-99
11/02/17HAtlanta Hawks108-107
09/02/17HBoston Celtics108-92
07/02/17HChicago Bulls107-112
05/02/17HGolden State Warriors109-106 OT
04/02/17HPhoenix Suns103-105
01/02/17AHouston Rockets83-105
30/01/17APhiladelphia 76ers119-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
09/02/17AAtlanta Hawks106-117
07/02/17HDallas Mavericks110-87
05/02/17ASan Antonio Spurs97-121
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeWLWWW45%
AwayWLLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622933
Win %42%45%39%
Points / game102.9105.6100.5
Allowed / game105.6106.2105.1
Point differential-2.7-0.6-4.6
Avg total208.5211.8205.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (27)50% (14)62% (13)
Overtime %10%3%15%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643034
Win %45%53%38%
Points / game109.8114.1106.1
Allowed / game110.8111.2110.5
Point differential-1.0+2.9-4.4
Avg total220.7225.3216.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)33% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %6%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors63531084%117.6105.0+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs62471576%105.897.9+7.9
3 Houston Rockets65452069%114.9108.1+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers62422068%110.5106.0+4.6
5 Boston Celtics64422266%108.0104.9+3.1
6 Washington Wizards62382461%107.8104.5+3.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers62382461%106.4104.0+2.4
8 Utah Jazz63382560%100.095.6+4.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies64382659%101.499.8+1.7
10 Atlanta Hawks63372659%103.1102.9+0.2
11 Toronto Raptors63362757%107.7104.1+3.7
12 Oklahoma City Thunder61342756%105.7105.7+0.0
13 Indiana Pacers63323151%105.7106.3-0.7
14 Detroit Pistons64313348%100.8100.7+0.1
15 Chicago Bulls64313348%102.4102.7-0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks61283346%104.1104.5-0.4
17 Denver Nuggets64293545%109.8110.8-1.0
18 Miami Heat65293645%101.8102.0-0.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers64283644%106.7109.0-2.3
20 Minnesota Timberwolves64273742%104.3104.5-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets64273742%103.1103.8-0.7
22 New York Knicks64273742%106.3109.1-2.8
23 Sacramento Kings62263642%102.9105.6-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks63243938%97.6100.7-3.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans64244038%103.5107.2-3.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers63234037%100.7106.8-6.2
27 Phoenix Suns63224135%106.6111.5-4.9
28 Orlando Magic66234335%99.5106.2-6.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers66214532%104.6110.3-5.7
30 Brooklyn Nets62105216%105.0113.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings29322629116
Denver Nuggets26182630100
← all games of the day
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