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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 113-117
30-30 36-23 18-31 29-33
Position#19
Record19-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game116.7
vs
Position#4
Record24-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA· Golden 1 Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
125-130
125
130
-5
118avg 96
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
120-113
120
113
+7
106avg 96
A17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
105-132
105
132
-27
86avg 96
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
113-132
113
132
-19
100avg 96
H20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
102-99
102
99
+3
89avg 96
H22/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-117
122
117
+5
108avg 96
H23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
118-127
118
127
-9
102avg 96
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
117-116
117
116
+1
104avg 96
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 96
A31/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-113 OT
108
113
-5
87avg 96
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-42
26-34
33-27
28-27
34-31
27-27
32-25
27-30
23-38
21-36
33-29
28-29
33-36
19-35
37-27
24-34
24-32
16-21
25-21
37-25
25-36
33-33
28-27
36-21
27-39
29-32
29-31
33-25
32-34
29-33
23-28
33-21
31-37
37-27
28-28
18-29
25-26
25-38
27-19
26-20
234.4Avg total
114.4Scored
120.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)115.0116.7231.7-1.751%
Season at home (18)113.1115.4228.4-2.356%
Season away (19)116.9117.9234.8-1.147%
Last 10 (10)114.4120.0234.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)115.8118.8234.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)113.2124.1237.4-10.912%
vs Similar (18)112.2115.1227.3-2.856%
vs Weaker (4)126.2104.8231.0+21.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 105
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
85avg 105
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
128avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-132
111
132
-21
91avg 105
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 105
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
104avg 105
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
122-118
122
118
+4
125avg 105
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-108
115
108
+7
115avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
21-26
21-35
21-20
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
26-34
27-21
22-22
28-34
31-23
30-24
17-28
24-24
36-16
26-33
28-29
32-40
28-32
27-24
27-28
33-24
216.1Avg total
108.6Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)110.1104.8214.9+5.269%
Season at home (18)112.3101.2213.5+11.183%
Season away (17)107.7108.6216.4-0.953%
Last 10 (10)108.6107.5216.1+1.170%
Last 5 (5)110.6113.6224.2-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar (13)107.5103.7211.2+3.877%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)111.8105.1216.9+6.767%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H15/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A18/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
52-71
52
71
-19
H20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H22/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H28/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A31/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H02/01
NBA
122.1Avg total
55.4Scored
66.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.361.6118.9-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.561.7118.2-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)58.161.5119.6-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)55.466.7122.1-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)58.667.0125.6-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)56.065.0121.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (18)56.861.2118.1-4.439%-
vs Weaker (4)62.056.5118.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H02/01
NBA
111.8Avg total
57.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.652.8109.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.652.5109.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)56.753.0109.7+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)57.454.4111.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)58.055.0113.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (13)56.050.9106.9+5.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)57.154.1111.2+2.960%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.530.3
47.7%
51.7%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.4
35.9%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
74.1%
76.6%16.6
They take 98.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.6
52.1%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.8
36.2%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
76.6%16.0
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LLWLWWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWWWL
#19
League position
#4
-5.2
Net rating
+1.1
105.7
Offensive rating
110.5
110.9
Defensive rating
109.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.9%
3-point %
36.2%
58.8%
Assist %
69.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 110.5Defence110.9 · 109.4Shooting49.9% · 52.9%3-point %35.9% · 36.2%Ball care11.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds20.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/19HPortland Trail Blazers108-113 OT
31/12/18ALos Angeles Lakers114-121
28/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers117-116
27/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers118-127
23/12/18HNew Orleans Pelicans122-117
22/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies102-99
20/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder113-132
18/12/18AMinnesota Timberwolves105-132
17/12/18ADallas Mavericks120-113
15/12/18HGolden State Warriors125-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/19HNew York Knicks115-108
30/12/18APhoenix Suns122-118
29/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
27/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs103-111
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
09/12/18AAtlanta Hawks98-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL51%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %51%56%47%
Points / game115.0113.1116.9
Allowed / game116.7115.4117.9
Point differential-1.7-2.3-1.1
Avg total231.7228.4234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (10)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %69%83%53%
Points / game110.1112.3107.7
Allowed / game104.8101.2108.6
Point differential+5.2+11.1-0.9
Avg total214.9213.5216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%39%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)75% (4)83% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks36261072%117.0107.6+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors40281270%113.0107.9+5.0
3 Denver Nuggets35241169%110.1104.8+5.2
4 Indiana Pacers37251268%107.5101.1+6.5
5 Golden State Warriors38251366%115.8111.3+4.6
6 Oklahoma City Thunder37241365%111.9105.4+6.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers39251464%114.6112.5+2.1
8 Boston Celtics37221559%111.7105.9+5.8
9 Houston Rockets36211558%109.9108.3+1.6
10 Portland Trail Blazers38221658%111.3110.4+0.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers37211657%115.8114.8+0.9
12 San Antonio Spurs39221756%111.8109.2+2.7
13 Los Angeles Lakers38211755%113.0111.3+1.7
14 Sacramento Kings37191851%115.0116.7-1.7
15 Miami Heat36181850%106.9105.7+1.2
16 Charlotte Hornets37181949%112.9111.4+1.6
17 Dallas Mavericks37181949%110.9109.7+1.2
18 Memphis Grizzlies37181949%101.5102.3-0.7
19 Utah Jazz38182047%107.7106.1+1.7
20 Detroit Pistons36171947%107.2109.4-2.2
21 Brooklyn Nets39182146%111.0112.0-1.0
22 Orlando Magic37172046%103.6106.8-3.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves38172145%111.2111.7-0.4
24 New Orleans Pelicans39172244%116.3115.5+0.7
25 Washington Wizards38152339%112.7116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks37112630%109.1117.8-8.7
27 Chicago Bulls38102826%100.0109.4-9.4
28 New York Knicks3892924%107.6115.9-8.3
29 Phoenix Suns3993023%106.0114.8-8.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3883021%102.0111.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings30361829113
Denver Nuggets30233133117
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