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Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 111-103
29-21 26-24 31-26 25-32
Position#8
Record29-22
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game99.6
vs
Position#22
Record21-31
FormWLLWL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game102.8
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
09 Feb 2027
BOS v DEN
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
BOS110
DEN114
02 Mar 2025
BOS110
DEN103
06 Oct 2024
BOS130
DEN104
19 Jan 2024
BOS100
DEN102
11 Nov 2022
BOS131
DEN112
11 Feb 2022
BOS108
DEN102
16 Feb 2021
BOS112
DEN99
06 Dec 2019
BOS108
DEN95
18 Mar 2019
BOS105
DEN114
13 Dec 2017
BOS124
DEN118
06 Nov 2016
BOS107
DEN123
27 Jan 2016
BOS111
DEN103
04 Feb 2015
BOS104
DEN100
06 Dec 2013
BOS106
DEN98
10 Feb 2013
BOS118
DEN114
08 Dec 2010
BOS105
DEN89
24 Mar 2010
BOS113
DEN99
14 Nov 2008
BOS85
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
98-101
98
101
-3
A10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
114-120
114
120
-6
A13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-94
103
94
+9
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
117-103
117
103
+14
H16/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
119-117
119
117
+2
A17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
113-118 OT
113
118
-5
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
109-115
109
115
-6
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
110-101
110
101
+9
H23/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
112-92
112
92
+20
A25/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
116-91
116
91
+25
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
19-22
23-30
22-33
27-36
22-23
32-26
33-35
28-24
29-25
21-27
25-18
36-29
32-18
28-31
21-25
24-31
30-30
29-25
36-31
16-29
23-23
33-18
26-28
27-35
35-21
28-40
19-19
34-23
30-26
26-33
20-19
30-25
28-18
36-26
18-23
22-20
31-29
31-21
32-21
216.3Avg total
111.1Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)103.899.6203.3+4.257%
Season at home (25)102.697.2199.8+5.460%
Season away (26)104.9101.8206.7+3.154%
Last 10 (10)111.1105.2216.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)112.0103.4215.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)112.0116.0228.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)103.2100.2203.5+3.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)105.9102.0207.9+3.956%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
112-110
112
110
+2
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
95-98
95
98
-3
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
129-126
129
126
+3
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
104-110
104
110
-6
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
104-101
104
101
+3
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
105-119
105
119
-14
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
21-19
24-21
12-9
30-29
7-20
29-18
18-24
36-26
17-30
28-21
14-15
32-25
23-29
28-19
29-37
31-20
31-26
16-30
17-22
30-30
24-36
30-25
45-35
31-25
22-32
26-27
25-26
23-37
25-18
29-24
24-23
26-32
19-22
39-20
20-27
30-31
20-35
26-24
29-29
203.0Avg total
100.7Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)99.7102.8202.5-3.140%
Season at home (26)102.0104.2206.2-2.242%
Season away (26)97.4101.5198.8-4.138%
Last 10 (10)100.7102.3203.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)108.6111.6220.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)100.5105.8206.3-5.231%
vs Similar (15)97.4100.0197.4-2.640%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Boston CelticsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H16/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H23/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A25/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/01
NBA
106.0Avg total
55.7Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.448.9101.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.949.5104.4+5.467%-
Last 30 away (18)50.848.599.3+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)55.750.3106.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.249.8105.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.057.5108.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (12)51.248.299.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)53.548.3101.8+5.256%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H26/01
NBA
104.6Avg total
49.9Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.353.6104.8-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.555.4107.9-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)49.951.5101.4-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)49.954.7104.6-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.059.6109.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)51.254.7105.9-3.531%-
vs Similar (15)50.452.4102.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.730.6
46.6%
49.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.817.1
75.0%
75.5%17.1
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.227.3
45.3%
49.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.5
33.5%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws28.823.6
81.9%
75.5%23.6
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWLLWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLWWLW
#8
League position
#22
+1.8
Net rating
-1.6
103.6
Offensive rating
103.8
101.8
Defensive rating
105.4
48.4%
Effective FG%
46.7%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.2%
3-point %
33.5%
62.7%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 103.8Defence101.8 · 105.4Shooting48.4% · 46.7%3-point %35.2% · 33.5%Ball care12.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Boston Celtics wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/16AWashington Wizards116-91
25/01/16APhiladelphia 76ers112-92
23/01/16HChicago Bulls110-101
21/01/16AToronto Raptors109-115
19/01/16ADallas Mavericks113-118 OT
17/01/16AWashington Wizards119-117
16/01/16HPhoenix Suns117-103
14/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-94
13/01/16ANew York Knicks114-120
10/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies98-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-119
24/01/16HDetroit Pistons104-101
22/01/16HMemphis Grizzlies101-102
20/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder104-110
18/01/16HIndiana Pacers129-126
16/01/16HMiami Heat95-98
14/01/16HGolden State Warriors112-110
11/01/16HCharlotte Hornets95-92
09/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies84-91
07/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %57%60%54%
Points / game103.8102.6104.9
Allowed / game99.697.2101.8
Point differential+4.2+5.4+3.1
Avg total203.3199.8206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)33% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLLWL42%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game99.7102.097.4
Allowed / game102.8104.2101.5
Point differential-3.1-2.2-4.1
Avg total202.5206.2198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)64% (11)75% (4)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5244885%113.3102.6+10.7
2 San Antonio Spurs51401178%102.791.0+11.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder52381473%108.6100.4+8.1
4 Toronto Raptors52351767%100.495.5+4.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers51331865%100.696.6+4.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers51321963%103.6101.1+2.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies52312160%95.796.9-1.2
8 Atlanta Hawks53312258%101.399.2+2.1
9 Boston Celtics51292257%103.899.6+4.2
10 Chicago Bulls52292356%101.3101.4-0.1
11 Charlotte Hornets53292455%101.999.7+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers52282454%102.399.7+2.6
13 Miami Heat54292554%95.695.7-0.1
14 Detroit Pistons53272651%101.999.5+2.4
15 Houston Rockets55282751%105.2105.9-0.7
16 Orlando Magic51252649%99.199.5-0.4
17 Sacramento Kings51252649%105.8106.6-0.8
18 Dallas Mavericks54262848%99.5101.1-1.6
19 New York Knicks52252748%99.4100.8-1.4
20 Washington Wizards49232647%102.5104.3-1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers54243044%102.3102.6-0.4
22 Utah Jazz51222943%97.597.4+0.2
23 Milwaukee Bucks53223142%98.7103.2-4.5
24 Denver Nuggets52213140%99.7102.8-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans51193237%102.6105.4-2.7
26 Phoenix Suns53183534%101.5106.1-4.5
27 Minnesota Timberwolves53163730%98.7103.4-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets51143727%95.8102.6-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers54114320%96.1105.9-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers5394417%94.8104.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics29263125111
Denver Nuggets21242632103
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