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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 106-98
29-27 17-14 33-30 27-27
Position#24
Record12-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game106.4
vs
Position#12
Record21-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· Golden 1 Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
96-119
96
119
-23
86avg 91
A15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
93-108
93
108
-15
84avg 91
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
101-95
101
95
+6
84avg 91
A20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
104-99
104
99
+5
95avg 91
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
99-108
99
108
-9
89avg 91
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
95-122
95
122
-27
78avg 91
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
109-95
109
95
+14
106avg 91
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
101-111
101
111
-10
93avg 91
H30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
96-114
96
114
-18
81avg 91
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
111-131
111
131
-20
105avg 91
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
33-32
16-31
25-24
30-35
33-26
14-22
16-25
30-27
18-30
23-21
30-17
36-20
28-28
22-27
18-24
33-33
16-29
27-22
23-24
30-30
23-41
20-24
22-27
28-27
34-28
23-25
24-15
25-35
21-20
37-33
18-23
22-36
24-28
17-26
33-24
25-32
27-40
29-28
30-31
210.7Avg total
100.5Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)97.4106.4203.7-9.032%
Season at home (17)98.4104.9203.3-6.535%
Season away (20)96.5107.7204.1-11.230%
Last 10 (10)100.5110.2210.7-9.730%
Last 5 (5)102.4114.6217.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)98.5106.0204.5-7.635%
vs Similar (7)96.9109.4206.3-12.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
108avg 105
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 105
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
104-112
104
112
-8
106avg 105
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
102-85
102
85
+17
96avg 105
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
107-83
107
83
+24
107avg 105
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
118avg 105
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-107
102
107
-5
88avg 105
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
134-111
134
111
+23
145avg 105
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
99-91
99
91
+8
87avg 105
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
26-25
30-28
28-18
18-32
26-20
32-18
18-25
24-17
28-33
32-30
20-32
28-22
24-19
28-25
22-19
22-20
31-21
20-21
23-19
28-20
22-14
26-25
31-24
23-35
35-36
24-17
32-26
29-31
32-27
19-25
22-24
34-26
27-41
37-18
36-26
23-26
23-23
38-16
15-26
208.4Avg total
108.0Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)107.7105.6213.2+2.155%
Season at home (18)111.7103.1214.8+8.678%
Season away (20)104.0107.8211.8-3.735%
Last 10 (10)108.0100.4208.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)113.4104.0217.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)99.7111.0210.7-11.333%
vs Similar (19)106.7105.4212.1+1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)113.5104.1217.6+9.488%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A17/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A21/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H28/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H30/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-72
52
72
-20
H03/01
NBA
114.7Avg total
53.8Scored
60.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.755.9106.5-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.853.4103.2-3.643%-
Last 30 away (16)51.458.0109.4-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)53.860.9114.7-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)51.863.4115.2-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)50.955.2106.1-4.335%-
vs Similar (7)50.058.0108.0-8.029%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A23/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H31/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
NBA
104.4Avg total
52.3Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.955.1109.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.153.9110.0+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)51.756.3108.1-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)52.352.1104.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)55.255.8111.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.358.7108.0-9.333%-
vs Similar (19)53.555.0108.5-1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)56.854.0110.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.230.1
49.2%
51.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.4
38.7%
36.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
76.5%12.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.529.0
54.2%
51.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
36.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
76.5%15.8
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LLLWLLWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWWLLW
#24
League position
#12
-10.3
Net rating
+7.8
106.7
Offensive rating
110.2
117.0
Defensive rating
102.4
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.7%
3-point %
36.0%
55.7%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 110.2Defence117.0 · 102.4Shooting51.7% · 54.1%3-point %38.7% · 36.0%Ball care13.0% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.1% · 23.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/18HCharlotte Hornets111-131
01/01/18HMemphis Grizzlies96-114
30/12/17HPhoenix Suns101-111
28/12/17HCleveland Cavaliers109-95
27/12/17ALos Angeles Clippers95-122
24/12/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-108
21/12/17ABrooklyn Nets104-99
20/12/17APhiladelphia 76ers101-95
17/12/17AToronto Raptors93-108
15/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves96-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/18HUtah Jazz99-91
04/01/18HPhoenix Suns134-111
31/12/17HPhiladelphia 76ers102-107
28/12/17AMinnesota Timberwolves125-128 OT
27/12/17HUtah Jazz107-83
24/12/17AGolden State Warriors96-81
23/12/17APortland Trail Blazers102-85
21/12/17HMinnesota Timberwolves104-112
19/12/17AOklahoma City Thunder94-95
16/12/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-111 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLWLLL35%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %32%35%30%
Points / game97.498.496.5
Allowed / game106.4104.9107.7
Point differential-9.0-6.5-11.2
Avg total203.7203.3204.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %55%78%35%
Points / game107.7111.7104.0
Allowed / game105.6103.1107.8
Point differential+2.1+8.6-3.7
Avg total213.2214.8211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4032880%115.8106.0+9.8
2 Boston Celtics43331077%102.797.6+5.1
3 Toronto Raptors37271073%112.1104.0+8.1
4 Houston Rockets38271171%114.8107.1+7.7
5 San Antonio Spurs40271368%101.398.0+3.3
6 Cleveland Cavaliers39261367%110.5107.7+2.7
7 Minnesota Timberwolves41251661%108.0105.2+2.8
8 Washington Wizards40231757%106.5104.0+2.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder39221756%104.9100.8+4.1
10 Denver Nuggets38211755%107.7105.6+2.1
11 Detroit Pistons38211755%101.7101.6+0.1
12 Milwaukee Bucks38211755%106.1106.3-0.2
13 Miami Heat38211755%100.8102.2-1.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers38201853%102.7101.6+1.1
15 Indiana Pacers39201951%107.3106.9+0.4
16 Philadelphia 76ers38191950%108.6107.9+0.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans38191950%110.7111.0-0.3
18 New York Knicks39182146%103.3104.1-0.8
19 Los Angeles Clippers38172145%106.0106.7-0.7
20 Utah Jazz39162341%100.9101.7-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets38152339%105.0106.0-0.9
22 Brooklyn Nets39152438%106.4108.7-2.3
23 Phoenix Suns41152637%105.5112.4-6.9
24 Chicago Bulls40142635%101.7107.9-6.2
25 Dallas Mavericks40132732%102.1104.5-2.4
26 Sacramento Kings37122532%97.4106.4-9.0
27 Memphis Grizzlies39122731%98.9102.4-3.5
28 Orlando Magic40122830%105.1110.7-5.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers38112729%106.4111.7-5.4
30 Atlanta Hawks38102826%103.5107.9-4.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings29173327106
Denver Nuggets2714302798
← all games of the day
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