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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 109-105 (OT)
35-27 24-24 21-32 19-16 10-6
Position#11
Record24-22
FormWLLLW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game99.8
vs
Position#22
Record18-29
FormLWLLW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game104.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets
07 Nov 2026
IND102
DEN114
03 Dec 2025
IND120
DEN135
24 Feb 2025
IND116
DEN125
23 Jan 2024
IND109
DEN114
09 Nov 2022
IND119
DEN122
30 Mar 2022
IND118
DEN125
04 Mar 2021
IND103
DEN113
02 Jan 2020
IND116
DEN124
24 Mar 2019
IND124
DEN88
10 Dec 2017
IND126
DEN116
24 Mar 2017
IND117
DEN125
30 Jan 2016
IND109
DEN105
14 Nov 2014
IND87
DEN108
10 Feb 2014
IND119
DEN80
07 Dec 2012
IND89
DEN92
11 Feb 2012
IND109
DEN113
09 Nov 2010
IND144
DEN113
03 Nov 2009
IND93
DEN111
01 Mar 2009
IND100
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
99avg 92
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
116-97
116
97
+19
112avg 92
H13/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
94-103
94
103
-9
80avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
104-118
104
118
-14
91avg 92
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
126-129
126
129
-3
120avg 92
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-94
97
94
+3
82avg 92
A20/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
110-122
110
122
-12
95avg 92
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-108
97
108
-11
82avg 92
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
78avg 92
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
111-92
111
92
+19
108avg 92
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
26-20
27-16
16-29
25-19
27-23
28-34
36-21
24-28
25-29
27-21
18-25
27-24
19-35
26-29
32-30
30-30
36-24
25-30
35-45
25-17
19-18
27-26
26-33
18-32
33-32
24-24
35-34
25-31
20-19
25-31
27-27
25-25
26-21
21-28
17-17
27-24
24-20
31-31
29-17
210.8Avg total
104.7Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)102.599.8202.3+2.752%
Season at home (21)103.197.0200.0+6.167%
Season away (25)102.0102.2204.1-0.240%
Last 10 (10)104.7106.1210.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)100.8101.4202.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3119.7228.0-11.30%
vs Similar (17)101.298.8200.0+2.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)103.9102.3206.2+1.650%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
92avg 90
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
112-110
112
110
+2
104avg 90
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
95-98
95
98
-3
87avg 90
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
129-126
129
126
+3
118avg 90
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
104-110
104
110
-6
95avg 90
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
101-102
101
102
-1
95avg 90
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
104-101
104
101
+3
90avg 90
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
105-119
105
119
-14
92avg 90
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
103-111
103
111
-8
98avg 90
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 90
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
17-30
28-21
14-15
32-25
23-29
28-19
29-37
31-20
31-26
16-30
17-22
30-30
24-36
30-25
45-35
31-25
22-32
26-27
25-26
23-37
25-18
29-24
24-23
26-32
19-22
39-20
20-27
30-31
20-35
26-24
29-29
21-29
24-26
26-31
32-25
29-29
35-29
27-21
26-34
214.7Avg total
106.5Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)100.1104.1204.3-4.038%
Season at home (24)101.5105.6207.0-4.138%
Season away (23)98.7102.7201.3-4.039%
Last 10 (10)106.5108.2214.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)106.0109.2215.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)102.3107.3209.6-5.031%
vs Similar (15)99.8101.4201.2-1.647%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A11/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H13/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A14/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H27/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H29/01
NBA
100.4Avg total
50.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.750.298.9-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.850.6100.4-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)47.949.997.8-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)50.549.9100.4+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.064.3117.3-11.30%-
vs Similar (17)48.348.997.2-0.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.148.296.3-0.140%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H16/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
50-66
50
66
-16
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/01
NBA
109.6Avg total
52.9Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.854.2106.0-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.256.0109.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)50.352.4102.7-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)52.956.7109.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)50.457.6108.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)51.555.4106.8-3.931%-
vs Similar (15)51.253.1104.3-1.933%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.532.6
51.3%
49.0%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.6
31.0%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.4
73.6%
75.5%18.4
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.928.5
47.6%
49.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.9
35.3%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws31.725.8
81.4%
75.5%25.8
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Indiana Pacers
WLLLWLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLWLWW
#11
League position
#22
+0.5
Net rating
-1.7
101.4
Offensive rating
106.5
100.9
Defensive rating
108.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.0%
3-point %
35.3%
55.1%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 106.5Defence100.9 · 108.2Shooting50.1% · 49.0%3-point %31.0% · 35.3%Ball care15.5% · 14.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 23.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Indiana Pacers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana Pacers wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/16HAtlanta Hawks111-92
27/01/16HLos Angeles Clippers89-91
24/01/16ASacramento Kings97-108
23/01/16AGolden State Warriors110-122
20/01/16APhoenix Suns97-94
18/01/16ADenver Nuggets126-129
16/01/16HWashington Wizards104-118
14/01/16ABoston Celtics94-103
13/01/16HPhoenix Suns116-97
11/01/16AHouston Rockets103-107 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/16AWashington Wizards117-113
28/01/16ABoston Celtics103-111
26/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-119
24/01/16HDetroit Pistons104-101
22/01/16HMemphis Grizzlies101-102
20/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder104-110
18/01/16HIndiana Pacers129-126
16/01/16HMiami Heat95-98
14/01/16HGolden State Warriors112-110
11/01/16HCharlotte Hornets95-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana Pacers
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %52%67%40%
Points / game102.5103.1102.0
Allowed / game99.897.0102.2
Point differential+2.7+6.1-0.2
Avg total202.3200.0204.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)50% (6)30% (10)
Overtime %9%0%16%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWLLWL38%
AwayLWLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %38%38%39%
Points / game100.1101.598.7
Allowed / game104.1105.6102.7
Point differential-4.0-4.1-4.0
Avg total204.3207.0201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)64% (11)80% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4743491%115.0102.5+12.5
2 San Antonio Spurs4639785%104.590.6+13.9
3 Oklahoma City Thunder49361373%109.4101.5+8.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers45331273%101.896.2+5.7
5 Toronto Raptors47321568%101.696.7+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers47311666%104.0100.5+3.5
7 Chicago Bulls45261958%101.6100.5+1.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies47272057%96.998.7-1.7
9 Boston Celtics48272156%104.6100.3+4.3
10 Atlanta Hawks48272156%101.999.9+2.0
11 Miami Heat47262155%95.795.7-0.0
12 Dallas Mavericks49272255%100.9101.3-0.4
13 Indiana Pacers46242252%102.599.8+2.7
14 Detroit Pistons48252352%102.1100.6+1.5
15 Houston Rockets49252451%104.8106.3-1.5
16 New York Knicks49232647%99.5100.9-1.4
17 Charlotte Hornets47222547%101.6101.7-0.2
18 Portland Trail Blazers48222646%102.2102.5-0.3
19 Utah Jazz46212546%97.796.7+1.0
20 Washington Wizards44202445%101.9104.4-2.6
21 Orlando Magic45202544%98.799.9-1.2
22 Sacramento Kings46202643%106.3107.9-1.6
23 Milwaukee Bucks49202941%98.1103.0-4.9
24 Denver Nuggets47182938%100.1104.1-4.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans45172838%102.8105.1-2.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves48143429%99.5103.5-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns48143429%101.0106.8-5.8
28 Brooklyn Nets47123526%95.2102.9-7.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers4994018%96.1106.3-10.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers4874115%94.9105.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Indiana Pacers3524211910109
Denver Nuggets272432166105
← all games of the day
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