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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 105-136
26-41 28-36 27-32 24-27
Position#27
Record6-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
vs
Position#6
Record17-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game125.0
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Golden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Denver Nuggets
29 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
08 Mar 2027
SAC v DEN
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
SAC105
DEN136
11 Nov 2025
SAC108
DEN122
09 Apr 2025
SAC116
DEN124
16 Dec 2024
SAC129
DEN130
09 Feb 2024
SAC135
DEN106
02 Dec 2023
SAC123
DEN117
28 Dec 2022
SAC127
DEN126
27 Dec 2022
SAC106
DEN113
09 Mar 2022
SAC100
DEN106
24 Feb 2022
SAC110
DEN128
06 Feb 2021
SAC119
DEN114
29 Dec 2020
SAC125
DEN115
30 Nov 2019
SAC100
DEN97
28 Oct 2019
SAC94
DEN101
03 Jan 2019
SAC113
DEN117
06 Jan 2018
SAC106
DEN98
20 Nov 2017
SAC98
DEN114
11 Mar 2017
SAC92
DEN105
23 Feb 2017
SAC116
DEN100
19 Feb 2016
SAC116
DEN110
09 Jan 2015
SAC108
DEN118
05 Nov 2014
SAC131
DEN109
26 Jan 2014
SAC117
DEN125
30 Oct 2013
SAC90
DEN88
05 Mar 2013
SAC113
DEN120
16 Dec 2012
SAC97
DEN122
25 Jan 2012
SAC93
DEN122
01 Apr 2011
SAC90
DEN99
06 Jan 2011
SAC122
DEN102
09 Jan 2010
SAC102
DEN100
28 Dec 2009
SAC106
DEN101
08 Mar 2009
SAC114
DEN106
06 Dec 2008
SAC85
DEN118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
99-113
99
113
-14
88avg 106
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
96-137
96
137
-41
86avg 106
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
128-123
128
123
+5
124avg 106
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
108avg 106
H25/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
100-112
100
112
-12
90avg 106
H27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
119-128
119
128
-9
106avg 106
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
107-115
107
115
-8
89avg 106
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-121
95
121
-26
72avg 106
A04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
127-111
127
111
+16
118avg 106
A07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
105-116
105
116
-11
102avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
25-31
19-25
30-30
22-35
25-40
29-38
20-24
30-35
31-30
30-27
37-31
23-27
23-27
31-28
24-19
16-41
29-26
28-16
27-29
27-30
24-32
22-28
46-38
35-31
24-31
28-21
20-32
26-28
26-23
19-36
24-34
34-31
38-24
29-23
26-33
23-35
28-31
37-26
17-24
228.1Avg total
109.3Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)111.4122.0233.5-10.625%
Season at home (10)109.6121.7231.3-12.130%
Season away (14)112.7122.3235.0-9.621%
Last 10 (10)109.3118.8228.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)110.6118.2228.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)111.3120.5231.8-9.225%
vs Similar (10)112.5119.2231.7-6.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
136-139
136
139
-3
130avg 115
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
130-112
130
112
+18
139avg 115
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
121-131
121
131
-10
119avg 115
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 115
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-133
134
133
+1
129avg 115
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
110avg 115
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
33-41
41-18
30-44
32-36
30-25
33-35
33-25
34-27
41-27
27-42
36-33
17-29
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
23-41
31-32
40-30
40-30
34-34
23-24
30-23
28-25
246.7Avg total
125.6Scored
121.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)125.0116.3241.4+8.774%
Season at home (10)126.0116.7242.7+9.360%
Season away (13)124.3116.1240.4+8.285%
Last 10 (10)125.6121.1246.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)127.0120.4247.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (10)126.2116.4242.6+9.890%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)124.2116.3240.5+7.862%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Sacramento KingsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
47-75
47
75
-28
A21/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H25/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H27/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A07/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A09/12
NBA
114.9Avg total
53.4Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.562.2118.7-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.061.5114.5-8.514%-
Last 30 away (16)59.562.9122.4-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)53.461.5114.9-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)57.059.2116.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)57.161.1118.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (10)55.264.5119.7-9.320%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A07/12
NBA
121.2Avg total
62.3Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.5118.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.756.2117.9+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)58.060.2118.2-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)62.358.9121.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)62.861.6124.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (10)60.860.6121.4+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)63.656.1119.7+7.592%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.232.4
52.9%
54.8%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.7
32.8%
35.8%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.715.4
74.4%
78.1%15.4
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 125.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.930.1
59.1%
54.8%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.415.4
43.5%
35.8%46.2
🏀 Free throws23.819.2
80.7%
78.1%19.2
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LWLLLLWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLWLWW
#27
League position
#6
-9.2
Net rating
+4.5
106.1
Offensive rating
125.5
115.3
Defensive rating
121.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
61.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.8%
3-point %
43.5%
59.1%
Assist %
66.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 125.5Defence115.3 · 121.0Shooting51.7% · 61.6%3-point %32.8% · 43.5%Ball care12.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds22.5% · 25.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sacramento Kings wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25AIndiana Pacers105-116
07/12/25AMiami Heat127-111
04/12/25AHouston Rockets95-121
01/12/25HMemphis Grizzlies107-115
29/11/25AUtah Jazz119-128
27/11/25HPhoenix Suns100-112
25/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves117-112 OT
23/11/25ADenver Nuggets128-123
21/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies96-137
20/11/25AOklahoma City Thunder99-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACharlotte Hornets115-106
06/12/25AAtlanta Hawks134-133
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120
02/12/25HDallas Mavericks121-131
30/11/25APhoenix Suns130-112
29/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs136-139
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayWLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %25%30%21%
Points / game111.4109.6112.7
Allowed / game122.0121.7122.3
Point differential-10.6-12.1-9.6
Avg total233.5231.3235.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWLLLL60%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %74%60%85%
Points / game125.0126.0124.3
Allowed / game116.3116.7116.1
Point differential+8.7+9.3+8.2
Avg total241.4242.7240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2423196%123.0106.9+16.2
2 Detroit Pistons2419579%118.7113.2+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets2317674%125.0116.3+8.7
4 Los Angeles Lakers2317674%118.3116.1+2.2
5 Houston Rockets2216673%120.6110.4+10.2
6 New York Knicks2316770%120.7112.4+8.3
7 San Antonio Spurs2316770%119.6115.3+4.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves2415962%119.6114.8+4.9
9 Boston Celtics25151060%116.6110.8+5.8
10 Toronto Raptors25151060%116.4113.8+2.6
11 Orlando Magic24141058%117.8113.6+4.2
12 Miami Heat24141058%122.3118.2+4.0
13 Phoenix Suns24141058%115.9113.5+2.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers23131057%116.9116.1+0.8
15 Cleveland Cavaliers25141156%118.6115.4+3.2
16 Atlanta Hawks25141156%118.0116.5+1.6
17 Golden State Warriors25131252%113.5111.7+1.8
18 Memphis Grizzlies24111346%113.6115.3-1.7
19 Milwaukee Bucks26111542%115.1117.3-2.2
20 Chicago Bulls2391439%117.3122.6-5.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers2591636%117.5121.5-4.0
22 Dallas Mavericks2591636%111.8116.1-4.3
23 Utah Jazz2381535%117.6125.8-8.2
24 Charlotte Hornets2471729%114.2118.3-4.1
25 Brooklyn Nets2361726%109.4117.2-7.8
26 Indiana Pacers2461825%111.2118.8-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings2461825%111.4122.0-10.6
28 Los Angeles Clippers2561924%111.6116.7-5.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans2642215%114.2123.5-9.3
30 Washington Wizards2231914%112.4128.3-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacramento Kings26282724105
Denver Nuggets41363227136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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