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Saga vs Kyoto Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#6
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Kyoto
20 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
19 Dec 2026
SAGA v KYOT
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAGA83
KYOT87
11 Apr 2026
SAGA90
KYOT89
29 Jan 2025
SAGA78
KYOT81
31 Mar 2024
SAGA81
KYOT66
30 Mar 2024
SAGA64
KYOT56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
88-112
88
112
-24
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
168.2Avg total
74.4Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.594.4169.9-18.89%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (3)76.094.0170.0-18.033%
Last 10 (10)74.493.8168.2-19.410%
Last 5 (5)75.098.4173.4-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.591.7168.2-15.113%
vs Similar (6)81.882.7164.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#13
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
115-70
115
70
+45
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
102-79
102
79
+23
A21/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-24
25-19
16-17
10-21
16-11
25-12
23-30
21-2
20-22
31-21
18-20
23-20
18-17
26-17
14-23
18-12
22-27
14-17
20-17
14-25
22-21
19-18
26-25
29-18
33-21
24-16
29-15
26-21
28-19
28-24
20-15
14-18
22-17
23-19
20-17
18-19
16-16
19-18
19-27
161.6Avg total
85.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.477.7164.1+8.673%
Season at home (8)86.977.4164.2+9.575%
Season away (3)85.078.7163.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)85.576.1161.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)89.877.8167.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.686.1168.8-3.529%
vs Similar (4)78.575.8154.2+2.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.276.7162.9+9.675%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
SagaKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
83.9Avg total
36.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.285.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.945.285.1-5.225%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.984.9+3.071%-
Last 10 (10)36.347.683.9-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.251.486.6-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.146.784.7-8.620%-
vs Similar (6)45.339.785.0+5.783%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#15
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/09
B League
Nagasaki
#13
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H03/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H04/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H18/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/10
B League
77.8Avg total
40.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.680.8-0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)41.442.784.1-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.277.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.344.685.9-3.329%-
vs Similar (4)38.839.878.5-1.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.738.679.2+2.150%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.5
27.2%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
73.7%11.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.3
60.7%
53.9%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.8
29.5%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.914.6
66.7%
73.7%14.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLWLLLL
Kyoto
LWWWLWWWWL
#25
League position
#6
-22.6
Net rating
+10.2
84.7
Offensive rating
98.5
107.3
Defensive rating
88.3
46.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
12.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.2%
3-point %
29.5%
58.7%
Assist %
79.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.7 · 98.5Defence107.3 · 88.3Shooting46.1% · 54.0%3-point %27.2% · 29.5%Ball care12.5% · 15.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
6
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Kyoto v Saga115-70
12/04/26Saga v Kyoto83-87
11/04/26Saga v Kyoto90-89
16/04/25Kyoto v Saga85-74
29/01/25Saga v Kyoto78-81
06/10/24Kyoto v Saga71-77
05/10/24Kyoto v Saga70-48
21/04/24Kyoto v Saga52-73
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AShinshu72-80
26/10/26HAkita79-71
21/10/26AChiba102-79
18/10/26HSaga115-70
11/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa81-89
09/10/26HYokohama74-73
07/10/26AToyama81-77
04/10/26HNagasaki90-65
03/10/26HNagasaki84-76 OT
27/09/26HShiga77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %9%0%33%
Points / game75.575.476.0
Allowed / game94.494.594.0
Point differential-18.8-19.1-18.0
Avg total169.9169.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kyoto
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%75%67%
Points / game86.486.985.0
Allowed / game77.777.478.7
Point differential+8.6+9.5+6.3
Avg total164.1164.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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