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Saga vs Osaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 05:05
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#26
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game90.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Osaka
03 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
SAGA81
OSAK83
08 Nov 2025
SAGA87
OSAK82
27 Apr 2025
SAGA106
OSAK82
26 Apr 2025
SAGA90
OSAK79
09 Apr 2025
SAGA81
OSAK85
10 Apr 2024
SAGA86
OSAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 73
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 73
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 73
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 73
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 73
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 73
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 73
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
63-98
63
98
-35
48avg 71
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
67-101
67
101
-34
54avg 71
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
71-95
71
95
-24
54avg 71
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
65-87
65
87
-22
48avg 71
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-93
60
93
-33
49avg 71
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
60-102
60
102
-42
48avg 71
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
94-106 OT
94
106
-12
no box
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
10-20
11-26
21-26
13-35
18-21
18-20
18-25
12-30
18-26
24-26
17-13
20-23
15-29
14-20
16-15
7-21
19-20
10-34
24-18
15-24
20-29
13-21
12-28
25-27
12-21
16-23
15-15
23-24
15-23
25-19
30-27
29-18
10-21
13-26
25-26
14-12
25-19
16-31
21-20
164.2Avg total
70.1Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.490.4160.8-20.06%
Season at home (7)64.787.7152.4-23.00%
Season away (10)74.492.3166.7-17.910%
Last 10 (10)70.194.1164.2-24.00%
Last 5 (5)75.093.4168.4-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.388.8160.1-17.45%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.588.8174.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (6)88.783.7172.3+5.067%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
SagaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A21/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/11
B League
Akita
#23
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A15/11
B League
81.0Avg total
34.1Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.083.1-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.845.884.6-6.925%-
Last 30 away (18)39.342.882.1-3.539%-
Last 10 (10)34.146.981.0-12.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.544.580.0-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.846.592.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)46.840.587.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.1
44.6%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.0
29.2%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.68.6
63.2%
73.8%8.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
Osaka
LLLLLLLLLL
#25
League position
#26
-18.0
Net rating
-31.9
90.3
Offensive rating
77.5
108.3
Defensive rating
109.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
44.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.9%
3-point %
29.2%
60.4%
Assist %
62.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 77.5Defence108.3 · 109.4Shooting49.3% · 44.3%3-point %30.9% · 29.2%Ball care11.1% · 15.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)0% · 0%
■ Saga   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saga wins
3
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Saga v Osaka81-83
08/11/25Saga v Osaka87-82
27/04/25Saga v Osaka106-82
26/04/25Saga v Osaka90-79
09/04/25Saga v Osaka81-85
18/12/24Osaka v Saga77-68
10/04/24Saga v Osaka86-74 OT
17/01/24Osaka v Saga69-91
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AAkita76-82
12/11/26AToyama77-91
10/11/26AChiba94-106 OT
07/11/26HIbaraki Robots68-86
01/11/26AGunma60-102
31/10/26AGunma60-93
25/10/26HChiba65-87
23/10/26HTokyo Sunrockers71-95
21/10/26ABrave Thunders67-101
18/10/26AIbaraki Robots63-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %6%0%10%
Points / game70.464.774.4
Allowed / game90.487.792.3
Point differential-20.0-23.0-17.9
Avg total160.8152.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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