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Saga vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 90-79
15-14 30-15 30-23 15-27
Position#18
Record20-36
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.8
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record29-27
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Osaka
03 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
SAGA81
OSAK83
08 Nov 2025
SAGA87
OSAK82
27 Apr 2025
SAGA106
OSAK82
26 Apr 2025
SAGA90
OSAK79
09 Apr 2025
SAGA81
OSAK85
10 Apr 2024
SAGA86
OSAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 68
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 68
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 68
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 68
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 68
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 68
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
81avg 68
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 68
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 68
A23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
18-10
25-21
17-15
20-15
22-17
22-19
11-20
11-26
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
158.1Avg total
79.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)75.878.8154.6-3.036%
Season at home (28)78.081.2159.3-3.225%
Season away (28)73.676.3149.9-2.846%
Last 10 (10)79.578.6158.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)77.473.8151.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.983.1156.0-10.219%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.384.1164.4-3.833%
vs Weaker (5)84.069.4153.4+14.6100%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 77
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
95avg 77
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
89avg 77
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
89avg 77
A09/04
B League
Alvark
#4
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 77
A12/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
47-82
47
82
-35
34avg 77
A13/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 77
H16/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 77
A19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 77
A20/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
95-91
95
91
+4
94avg 77
H23/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
16-25
19-24
24-19
32-26
22-24
18-19
25-26
25-15
21-29
23-22
26-28
24-25
20-22
25-22
16-12
11-20
14-18
18-17
25-11
10-24
15-16
11-29
11-13
27-23
16-22
16-28
22-25
23-22
15-23
19-26
21-14
20-19
21-21
23-17
26-19
34-21
25-27
23-21
13-22
167.2Avg total
80.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)82.383.1165.4-0.852%
Season at home (28)81.881.7163.5+0.154%
Season away (28)82.884.5167.2-1.750%
Last 10 (10)80.986.3167.2-5.460%
Last 5 (5)78.286.4164.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.986.5163.4-9.629%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.385.4172.7+1.960%
vs Weaker (6)89.382.7172.0+6.783%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
SagaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
81.8Avg total
41.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.582.2-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.685.5+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.177.9-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.381.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.640.579.1-1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.245.687.8-3.333%-
vs Weaker (5)44.837.682.4+7.240%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A13/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A20/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H23/04
B League
85.4Avg total
40.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.683.9-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.183.3+1.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.284.5-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.985.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.684.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.342.880.1-5.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.742.284.9+0.560%-
vs Weaker (6)48.243.091.2+5.283%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.1
32.1%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
72.7%13.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
51.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.2
31.6%
33.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.9
72.0%
72.7%14.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWLWLLWWW
Osaka
WWLLLWWWWL
#18
League position
#13
+1.8
Net rating
-7.6
107.5
Offensive rating
107.9
105.7
Defensive rating
115.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
31.6%
64.8%
Assist %
75.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.9Defence105.7 · 115.4Shooting49.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.1% · 31.6%Ball care14.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
2
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
09/04/25Saga v Osaka81-85
18/12/24Osaka v Saga77-68
10/04/24Saga v Osaka86-74 OT
17/01/24Osaka v Saga69-91
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68
19/04/25HShimane66-82
18/04/25HShimane80-61
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25HShiga95-91
20/04/25AHiroshima D.90-76
19/04/25AHiroshima D.78-85
16/04/25HRyukyu81-98
13/04/25AAlvark47-82
12/04/25AAlvark68-66
09/04/25ASaga85-81
06/04/25HKyoto95-94
05/04/25HKyoto97-95
30/03/25AShimane73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW36%
HomeLLWWL25%
AwayWWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %36%25%46%
Points / game75.878.073.6
Allowed / game78.881.276.3
Point differential-3.0-3.2-2.8
Avg total154.6159.3149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%21%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game82.381.882.8
Allowed / game83.181.784.5
Point differential-0.8+0.1-1.7
Avg total165.4163.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)57% (7)62% (13)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex56461082%85.075.3+9.7
2 NeoPhoenix55451082%91.179.7+11.5
3 Ryukyu57441377%85.876.4+9.3
4 Alvark56401671%76.170.5+5.6
5 Chiba56381868%82.477.0+5.4
6 SeaHorses Mikawa56371966%81.775.7+6.0
7 Gunma56362064%77.671.8+5.8
8 Shimane57352261%79.774.9+4.8
9 Diamond Dolphins56332359%82.179.2+2.9
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya56292752%73.271.2+2.0
11 Kyoto56292752%82.080.5+1.4
12 Osaka56292752%82.383.1-0.8
13 Akita56272948%73.474.5-1.1
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles56272948%78.179.5-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.56263046%79.582.6-3.1
16 Nagasaki56243243%75.778.3-2.6
17 Yokohama56233341%75.879.8-4.1
18 Saga56203636%75.878.8-3.0
19 Hokkaido56193734%75.580.2-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas56183832%75.580.8-5.3
21 Brave Thunders56173930%79.186.6-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots56134323%72.680.2-7.6
23 Sendai56104618%72.883.3-10.5
24 Shiga5574813%76.489.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1530301590
Osaka1415232779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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