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Saga vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 95-88
24-21 26-21 23-29 22-17
Position#12
Record17-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.7
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#14
Record17-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Shimane
06 Dec 2026
SAGA v SHIM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
SAGA95
SHIM88
19 Apr 2025
SAGA66
SHIM82
18 Apr 2025
SAGA80
SHIM61
26 Mar 2025
SAGA87
SHIM73
20 Dec 2023
SAGA80
SHIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
69avg 73
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 73
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 73
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 73
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 73
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 73
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 73
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 73
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 73
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 73
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
22-19
19-30
19-28
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
158.1Avg total
80.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.881.7162.5-0.953%
Season at home (17)80.181.3161.4-1.253%
Season away (15)81.782.2163.9-0.553%
Last 10 (10)80.477.7158.1+2.780%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.684.3155.9-12.720%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.781.5168.2+5.364%
vs Weaker (9)80.879.7160.4+1.167%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
96-88
96
88
+8
65avg 76
H14/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 76
A19/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 76
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 76
H24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
67-92
67
92
-25
64avg 76
H27/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
97-88
97
88
+9
95avg 76
H28/12
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
82-65
82
65
+17
74avg 76
A03/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 76
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#11
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 76
H24/01
B League
Sendai
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 76
H25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
22-29
21-10
29-29
15-23
20-21
18-14
15-21
19-21
26-15
19-14
8-19
27-25
26-27
22-16
26-25
21-27
20-23
18-18
8-24
20-14
23-25
28-27
26-22
20-8
23-18
17-15
22-24
14-14
21-31
17-23
26-15
21-20
23-20
22-13
10-29
17-22
21-14
16-17
24-30
163.7Avg total
81.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.981.4164.3+1.653%
Season at home (14)82.482.1164.6+0.350%
Season away (18)83.380.8164.1+2.656%
Last 10 (10)81.582.2163.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.280.2162.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.590.6173.1-8.227%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.878.1158.9+2.854%
vs Weaker (6)86.076.2162.2+9.883%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.4-4.4
SagaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
79.9Avg total
40.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.283.1-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.544.282.7-5.720%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.183.5-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.779.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.542.880.3-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.942.984.8-1.045%-
vs Weaker (9)40.243.984.1-3.744%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A20/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H27/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/12
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A03/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/01
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H24/01
B League
Sendai
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/01
B League
84.0Avg total
42.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.384.5-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.142.285.3+0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.442.483.8-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.784.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.846.289.0-3.445%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.839.179.9+1.862%-
vs Weaker (6)44.042.286.2+1.867%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.7
51.9%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.1
30.5%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
79.8%
73.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
73.1%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLWWWWWWL
Shimane
LLLWWLWWLW
#12
League position
#14
+3.9
Net rating
-0.9
107.0
Offensive rating
104.5
103.1
Defensive rating
105.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
12.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.5%
3-point %
35.5%
73.4%
Assist %
72.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 104.5Defence103.1 · 105.4Shooting49.2% · 52.2%3-point %30.5% · 35.5%Ball care12.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Saga wins
4
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Shimane v Saga79-87
19/04/25Saga v Shimane66-82
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
14/12/25HRyukyu77-102
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HSendai78-83
24/01/26HSendai76-82
04/01/26AAltiri Chiba78-83
03/01/26AAltiri Chiba82-65
28/12/25HDiamond Dolphins97-88
27/12/25HDiamond Dolphins67-92
24/12/25HNagasaki101-93
20/12/25ABrave Thunders72-69
19/12/25ABrave Thunders68-79
14/12/25HHiroshima D.96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game80.880.181.7
Allowed / game81.781.382.2
Point differential-0.9-1.2-0.5
Avg total162.5161.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game82.982.483.3
Allowed / game81.482.180.8
Point differential+1.6+0.3+2.6
Avg total164.3164.6164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%14%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)25% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3228488%93.977.6+16.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3225778%83.471.9+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%85.878.6+7.2
4 Chiba3224875%82.274.7+7.6
5 Hokkaido3224875%88.283.2+5.0
6 Gunma32211166%83.474.6+8.8
7 Alvark32211166%80.577.8+2.7
8 Ryukyu32201262%81.975.8+6.1
9 SeaHorses Mikawa32201262%83.278.8+4.5
10 Sendai32191359%79.478.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.32181456%85.182.7+2.4
12 Shimane32171553%82.981.4+1.6
13 Saga32171553%80.881.7-0.9
14 NeoPhoenix32141844%82.583.1-0.6
15 Osaka32131941%80.281.6-1.3
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32131941%80.983.2-2.3
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya32131941%77.082.0-5.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas32122038%72.479.3-6.9
19 Yokohama32112134%77.782.3-4.7
20 Shiga32112134%80.587.1-6.5
21 Ibaraki Robots3292328%76.179.9-3.9
22 Altiri Chiba3292328%79.284.8-5.6
23 Toyama3292328%82.490.3-8.0
24 Kyoto3292328%70.880.3-9.6
25 Brave Thunders3282425%76.284.2-7.9
26 Akita3262619%72.584.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2426232295
Shimane2121291788
← all games of the day
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