Sao Jose vs Cearense Result & Analysis

On 2 November 2026 the NBB will feature Sao Jose against Cearense, with Sao Jose the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 91% to win, reflecting their 0-3 record, 70.0 points per game and 90.0 allowed per game, while Cearense sits 0-2 with 66.0 points per game and 95.5 allowed per game. Sao Jose's single home game ended 83-97, and their last five games have been all losses, including a 59-90 defeat to Franca; Cearense's recent five have also been losses, most recently a 77-86 loss away to Cruzeiro. In the ten meetings between the clubs Sao Jose has won six to four, most recently a 97-82 victory on 4 February 2026. Pythia projects a 90-75 score for Sao Jose, a total of 164.8 points, and a 58% chance that Sao Jose will cover the home line of -13.0. The model also assigns a 2% probability of overtime. The game will be a decisive showcase of Sao Jose's offensive output against Cearense's defensive struggles.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon

90.7%fair 1.10

Best odds1.11

Implied85.4%

Edge+5.3pp

Cearense winLost

9.3%fair 10.74

Best odds6.75

Implied14.6%

Edge-5.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Jose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJose

Date

Competition

Brasilia

78-90

-12

68avg 72

A07/04

NBB

Pinheiros

76-75

63avg 72

H10/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

68-65

62avg 72

A15/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

88-97

-9

79avg 72

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

70-75

-5

56avg 72

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

75-79

-4

59avg 72

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

70-81

-11

60avg 72

A27/04

NBB

Franca

59-90

-31

42avg 72

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#10

68-83

-15

54avg 72

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

83-97

-14

72avg 72

H28/10

NBB

20-20

21-18

20-30

17-22

22-25

20-16

8-16

26-18

15-16

20-12

16-26

17-11

20-30

29-23

20-29

19-15

25-16

14-21

16-20

15-18

17-16

21-25

18-15

19-23

18-25

17-17

22-19

13-20

15-17

17-25

12-23

15-25

22-23

20-11

17-25

9-24

16-26

27-23

17-23

23-25

156.7Avg total

73.5Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	70.0	90.0	160.0	-20.0	0%
Season at home (1)	83.0	97.0	180.0	-14.0	0%
Season away (2)	63.5	86.5	150.0	-23.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	83.2	156.7	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	86.0	157.0	-15.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.9	89.6	168.5	-10.8	12%
vs Similar (12)	75.0	79.5	154.5	-4.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	87.9	82.0	169.9	+5.9	80%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#15

72-93

-21

54avg 64

H13/03

NBB

Osasco

#18

89-90 OT

-1

76avg 64

A17/03

NBB

Paulistano

77-91

-14

68avg 64

A19/03

NBB

Franca

71-116

116

-45

56avg 64

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

94-93

84avg 64

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 64

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 64

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 64

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#14

69-93

-24

55avg 64

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 64

H22/10

NBB

20-27

11-20

26-21

15-25

16-18

16-17

23-19

21-22

24-24

24-23

18-23

11-21

16-34

15-26

17-23

23-33

19-20

26-21

30-29

19-23

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

170.5Avg total

75.1Scored

95.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	66.0	95.5	161.5	-29.5	0%
Season at home (2)	66.0	95.5	161.5	-29.5	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	75.1	95.4	170.5	-20.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	94.2	163.8	-24.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	73.4	93.4	166.8	-20.0	4%
vs Similar (5)	80.2	78.2	158.4	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 157Actual: Under 157

Over 157

68.7%

@ 1.54+8.3pp

Under 157

31.3%

@ 2.35-8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Under

Bet365

2.35

Over/Under 162.25 · main lineActual: Under 162.25

Over 162.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 162.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 167Actual: Under 167

Over 167

44.2%

@ 2.50+6.7pp

Under 167

55.8%

@ 1.50-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Sao Jose total 83.5Actual: Sao Jose over 83.5

Over 83.5

74.6%

@ 1.44+10.7pp

Under 83.5

25.4%

@ 2.55-10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.43

Sao Jose total 87.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 87.5

Over 87.5

60.2%

@ 1.85+10.2pp

Under 87.5

39.8%

@ 1.88-10.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.74

Sao Jose total 91.5Actual: Sao Jose over 91.5

Over 91.5

44.1%

@ 2.60+7.9pp

Under 91.5

55.9%

@ 1.42-7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

Cearense total 70.5Actual: Cearense under 70.5

Over 70.5

66.1%

@ 1.44+2.6pp

Under 70.5

33.9%

@ 2.52-2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.39

Cearense total 74.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 74.5

Over 74.5

50.6%

@ 1.88+1.2pp

Under 74.5

49.4%

@ 1.83-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Cearense total 78.5Actual: Cearense under 78.5

Over 78.5

35.2%

@ 2.67-0.1pp

Under 78.5

64.8%

@ 1.40+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.43

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sao Jose -16Actual: Sao Jose -16

SAO -16

47.0%

@ 2.20+4.9pp

CEAR +16

53.0%

@ 1.60-4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Bet365

2.20

CEAR

Bet365

1.60

Spread Sao Jose -13 · main lineActual: Sao Jose -13

SAO -13

58.0%

@ 1.88+8.4pp

CEAR +13

42.0%

@ 1.86-8.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.80

CEAR

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.81

Spread Sao Jose -10Actual: Sao Jose -10

SAO -10

68.5%

@ 1.53+7.3pp

CEAR +10

31.5%

@ 2.40-7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

SAO

Marathon Be

1.53

Bet365

1.52

CEAR

Bet365

2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao JoseCearense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	27%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	33%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.8	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	12%	75%
vs Similar (12)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.8	33%	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	30%	70%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	18.7	23.7	42.4	-5.1	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	25.1	44.7	-5.6	29%	64%
Last 10 (10)	17.9	24.7	42.6	-6.8	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	24.8	41.6	-8.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.3	25.3	43.6	-7.0	20%	64%
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	80%	20%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	57%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	53%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	60%	20%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	22.2	41.8	-2.8	50%	50%
vs Similar (12)	19.7	18.6	38.2	+1.1	58%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	60%	20%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	18.6	22.1	40.6	-3.5	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.1	29%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.4	45.0	-5.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	36%	52%
vs Similar (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	60%
vs Weaker	no games

Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brasilia

41-38

A07/04

NBB

Pinheiros

42-41

H10/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

35-28

A15/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

49-53

-4

A17/04

NBB

Mogi

39-37

H22/04

NBB

Mogi

38-41

-3

A25/04

NBB

Mogi

35-42

-7

A27/04

NBB

Franca

32-42

-10

A19/10

NBB

Bauru

#10

42-34

A21/10

NBB

Unifacisa

43-49

-6

H28/10

NBB

80.1Avg total

39.6Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.75
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.3	83.2	-1.5	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	44.4	87.7	-1.1	53%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	40.3	78.7	-1.9	40%	33%
Last 10 (10)	39.6	40.5	80.1	-0.9	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.1	46.9	87.0	-6.8	38%	75%
vs Similar (12)	38.9	40.7	79.6	-1.8	50%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.7	40.7	84.4	+3.0	50%	70%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#15

31-47

-16

H13/03

NBB

Osasco

#18

32-35

-3

A17/03

NBB

Paulistano

48-47

A19/03

NBB

Franca

31-60

-29

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

45-41

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#14

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

85.0Avg total

36.9Scored

48.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.75
Last 30 (30)	37.2	45.8	83.0	-8.6	27%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	44.8	81.2	-8.4	31%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	46.9	85.1	-8.7	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	36.9	48.1	85.0	-11.2	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	36.4	50.2	86.6	-13.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.8	47.3	84.1	-10.5	20%	52%
vs Similar (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	60%	20%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Sao Jose win

SAO win

no forecast

@ 1.25

CEAR win

no forecast

@ 4.20

1st half Spread Sao Jose -7 · main lineActual: Sao Jose -7

SAO -7

no forecast

@ 1.89

CEAR +7

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 81.75 · main lineActual: Under 81.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Sao Jose 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Sao Jose over 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Cearense 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: SAO + total 82.5

SAO & over

no forecast

@ 2.55

SAO & under

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half: Draw + total 82.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: CEAR + total 82.5

CEAR & over

no forecast

@ 7.00

CEAR & under

no forecast

@ 6.75

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Sao Jose -8Actual: Sao Jose -8

SAO -8

no forecast

@ 2.07

CEAR +8

no forecast

@ 1.69

1st half Spread Sao Jose -6Actual: Sao Jose -6

SAO -6

no forecast

@ 1.73

CEAR +6

no forecast

@ 2.01

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.50

Under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Spread Sao Jose -9.5Actual: Sao Jose -9.5

SAO -9.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

CEAR +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Sao Jose -4.5Actual: Sao Jose -4.5

SAO -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.50

CEAR +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.14

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sao Jose (regulation)

SAO

no forecast

@ 1.29

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

CEAR

no forecast

@ 4.25

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	57%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.9	+0.2	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.1	53%	73%
Last 10 (10)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.6	21.9	38.5	-5.2	25%	50%
vs Similar (12)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	67%	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.6	70%	90%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.4	41.8	-3.1	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.4	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	23.3	41.6	-5.0	14%	86%
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.6	43.1	-2.1	40%	90%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.4	23.6	43.0	-4.2	28%	80%
vs Similar (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.3	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	19.3	35.9	-2.7	40%	13%
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	23.4	39.2	-7.6	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	62%	62%
vs Similar (12)	15.5	19.2	34.8	-3.8	25%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	60%	20%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.1	39.7	-4.6	20%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	25%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.6	14%	50%
Last 10 (10)	16.4	23.3	39.7	-6.9	0%	40%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.8	36.8	-6.8	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	22.5	39.6	-5.3	12%	48%
vs Similar (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	60%	40%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.7	80.2	-1.2	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	40.2	81.9	+1.5	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.2	78.5	-3.9	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	33.9	42.7	76.6	-8.8	0%	30%
Last 5 (5)	33.0	44.4	77.4	-11.4	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.8	42.8	81.5	-4.0	38%	62%
vs Similar (12)	36.1	38.8	74.9	-2.8	33%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.2	41.3	85.5	+2.9	60%	90%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	36.9	44.6	81.4	-7.7	17%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.1	19%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	45.4	81.3	-9.6	14%	57%
Last 10 (10)	36.9	45.9	82.8	-9.0	10%	60%
Last 5 (5)	33.2	44.0	77.2	-10.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	36.6	46.1	82.7	-9.5	8%	60%
vs Similar (5)	38.2	37.0	75.2	+1.2	60%	40%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SAO win + total 161.5

🔒 Pro

CEAR win + total 161.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Sao Jose over 80.5	83.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 78.5	87.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Sao Jose over 82.5	77.7%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Sao Jose over 84.5	71.2%	1.51	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.44	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 76.5	91.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 77.5	89.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 83.5	74.6%	1.41	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Sao Jose over 81.5	80.6%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Sao Jose over 74.5	94.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Sao Jose over 72.5	96.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Over 156	70.9%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Lost
Sao Jose (regulation)	89.3%	1.11	Betano 1.12	1xBet 1.10	Marathon Bet 1.10	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Over 154	75.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
Over 155	73.0%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Lost
Sao Jose over 70.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Sao Jose -7.5	75.6%	1.34	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Sao Jose -6.5	78.3%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Sao Jose -8	74.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Sao Jose -7	77.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Sao Jose -8.5	72.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Sao Jose -6	80.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Over 154.5	73.6%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Sao Jose -9	71.8%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Over 153.5	75.6%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Over 155.5	71.5%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Sao Jose over 68.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Sao Jose over 67.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Sao Jose -5.5	81.0%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 151.5	79.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Sao Jose -3.5	85.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Sao Jose over 66.5	99.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Over 146.5	87.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Sao Jose +6.5	96.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Sao Jose +11.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Over 136.5	96.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	97.9%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	-
Over 141.5	92.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Sao Jose win	90.7%	1.10	Betano 1.11	WilliamHill 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Betfair 1.10	Marathon Bet 1.10	+5.3pp	Won
Cearense over 54.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 108.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Sao Jose +1.5	91.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Cearense under 94.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Cearense over 64.5	84.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 106.5	95.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Cearense under 91.5	94.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Cearense over 63.5	86.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Cearense under 89.5	92.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Cearense over 67.5	76.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Cearense over 68.5	73.1%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Cearense over 65.5	82.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 104.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Cearense under 87.5	89.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Cearense under 83.5	80.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Cearense under 84.5	83.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Cearense under 85.5	85.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Sao Jose under 102.5	89.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Cearense under 80.5	71.8%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Under 186.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Cearense under 81.5	75.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Sao Jose under 100.5	85.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Cearense +23.5	76.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Lost
Cearense +21	70.4%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Lost
Sao Jose under 98.5	80.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-1.0pp	Won
Cearense +21.5	71.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Lost
Under 181.5	84.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Under 176.5	76.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Sao Jose under 96.5	74.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	16.8	42.7%	49.9%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.4	30.1%	31.7%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.1	68.1%	71.2%	14.1

They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.0 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.9%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.7%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.2%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.8	54.5%	49.9%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.8	31.5%	31.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.6	70.9%	71.2%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.9%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.2%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.6	50.5%	49.9%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.6	31.6%	31.7%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.0	73.6%	71.2%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.9%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.7%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.2%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	18.5	49.5%	49.9%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.4	32.3%	31.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.3	73.3%	71.2%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.9%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.7%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.2%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sao Jose

LLLLLLLWWL

Cearense

LLLLLWLLLL

#15

League position

#18

-9.8

Net rating

-21.2

82.2

Offensive rating

82.4

92.1

Defensive rating

103.6

43.8%

Effective FG%

44.4%

51.4%

Opp. effective FG%

58.5%

15.0%

Turnover %

16.2%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.37

30.1%

3-point %

29.2%

63.9%

Assist %

54.1%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Sao Jose ■ Cearense

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Jose wins

Cearense wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/26	Sao Jose v Cearense	97-82
18/11/25	Cearense v Sao Jose	77-86
31/03/25	Sao Jose v Cearense	84-71
09/12/24	Cearense v Sao Jose	55-75
27/04/24	Cearense v Sao Jose	90-66
21/04/24	Sao Jose v Cearense	70-73
22/01/24	Cearense v Sao Jose	99-95 OT
27/10/23	Sao Jose v Cearense	78-82
16/01/23	Cearense v Sao Jose	71-90
27/10/22	Sao Jose v Cearense	83-74

Sao Joselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	H	Unifacisa	83-97
21/10/26	A	Bauru	68-83
19/10/26	A	Franca	59-90
27/04/26	A	Mogi	70-81
25/04/26	A	Mogi	75-79
22/04/26	H	Mogi	70-75
17/04/26	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-97
15/04/26	A	Caxias do Sul	68-65
10/04/26	H	Pinheiros	76-75
07/04/26	A	Brasilia	78-90

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107
04/04/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-93
22/03/26	A	Franca	71-116
19/03/26	A	Paulistano	77-91
17/03/26	A	Osasco	89-90 OT
13/03/26	H	Rio Claro	72-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	70.0	83.0	63.5
Allowed / game	90.0	97.0	86.5
Point differential	-20.0	-14.0	-23.0
Avg total	160.0	180.0	150.0
Over 162.25	33%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	66.0	66.0	-
Allowed / game	95.5	95.5	-
Point differential	-29.5	-29.5	-
Avg total	161.5	161.5	-
Over 162.25	0%	0%	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	4	4	0	100%	88.0	65.8	+22.2
2	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
3	Unifacisa	4	3	1	75%	86.0	74.0	+12.0
4	Flamengo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	69.2	+11.2
5	Mogi	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.5	+5.2
6	Paulistano	4	3	1	75%	75.2	75.5	-0.2
7	Brasilia	5	3	2	60%	84.2	84.4	-0.2
8	Franca	4	2	2	50%	72.5	69.0	+3.5
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	50%	75.5	75.2	+0.2
10	Bauru	4	2	2	50%	75.2	77.8	-2.5
11	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
13	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	33%	81.0	78.7	+2.3
14	Osasco	3	1	2	33%	79.0	84.7	-5.7
15	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
16	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
17	Sao Jose	3	0	3	0%	70.0	90.0	-20.0
18	Cearense	2	0	2	0%	66.0	95.5	-29.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Jose	27	31	24	14	96
Cearense	11	12	15	15	53

← all games of the day

Sao Jose vs Cearense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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