Sassari vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Sassari host Caserta in the Serie A2. Pythia makes Sassari the favourite at 59% and projects 81-79, about 160 points in all. On the market's main spread (Sassari -8.5) Pythia gives Sassari 30% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Sassari are 3-3 this season (72.8 scored, 76.0 allowed a game), form LWWLL; Caserta are 2-3 this season (80.8 scored, 81.2 allowed a game), form LLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

58.6%fair 1.71

Best odds1.26

Implied76.5%

Edge-17.9pp

Caserta winLost

41.4%fair 2.41

Best odds4.00

Implied23.5%

Edge+17.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSassari

Date

Competition

Varese

90-91

-1

87avg 75

A12/04

Lega A

Venezia

79-98

-19

62avg 75

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

73-80

-7

67avg 75

H03/05

Lega A

Brescia

71-92

-21

56avg 75

A10/05

Lega A

Urania Milano

#18

70-68

59avg 75

A27/09

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

72-81

-9

14avg 75

H04/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#12

87-74

+13

83avg 75

A10/10

Serie A2

Cento

#17

80-70

+10

85avg 75

H17/10

Serie A2

Rimini

67-84

-17

59avg 75

H21/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#15

61-79

-18

44avg 75

A25/10

Serie A2

20-24

22-27

25-12

23-28

18-33

16-19

26-27

19-19

13-14

24-16

15-30

21-20

16-27

15-30

24-15

16-20

18-19

20-12

19-15

13-22

16-28

15-19

20-15

21-19

25-27

25-21

19-15

18-11

24-20

23-12

13-22

20-16

20-22

16-28

14-16

17-18

15-15

10-21

16-21

20-22

156.7Avg total

75.0Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	72.8	76.0	148.8	-3.2	50%
Season at home (3)	73.0	78.3	151.3	-5.3	33%
Season away (3)	72.7	73.7	146.3	-1.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	81.7	156.7	-6.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	77.6	151.0	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	82.8	90.3	173.1	-7.5	24%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	86.8	86.7	173.4	+0.1	33%
vs Weaker (4)	70.8	74.5	145.2	-3.8	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCaserta

Date

Competition

Torino

#12

83-76

no box

H09/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

67-83

-16

no box

A15/04

Lega A

Brindisi

86-82

no box

H23/04

Lega A

Avellino

75-79

-4

no box

A30/04

Lega A

Sassari

77-70

no box

H07/05

Lega A

Sebastiani Rieti

73-81

-8

69avg 73

A27/09

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

81-83

-2

no box

H04/10

Serie A2

Pesaro

77-83

-6

66avg 73

A11/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#20

96-89

90avg 73

H18/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#12

77-70

68avg 73

H25/10

Serie A2

24-14

21-24

9-25

29-13

14-31

19-20

16-15

18-17

28-26

15-20

18-17

25-19

19-8

15-26

17-23

24-22

18-19

19-23

21-11

19-17

18-27

19-17

21-19

15-18

24-26

14-16

21-26

22-15

24-23

15-23

21-16

17-21

21-27

16-25

35-20

24-17

26-17

15-18

16-22

20-13

158.8Avg total

79.2Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	80.8	81.2	162.0	-0.4	40%
Season at home (3)	84.7	80.7	165.3	+4.0	67%
Season away (2)	75.0	82.0	157.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	79.6	158.8	-0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	81.2	162.0	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	77.0	81.4	158.4	-4.4	23%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	78.8	80.2	158.9	-1.4	47%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 151Actual: Over 151

Over 151

71.2%

Under 151

28.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 156.25 · main lineActual: Over 156.25

Over 156.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 156.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 161Actual: Over 161

Over 161

47.4%

Under 161

52.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sassari total 78Actual: Sassari over 78

Over 78

63.2%

Under 78

36.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Sassari total 82 · main lineActual: Sassari over 82

Over 82

47.3%

@ 1.82-3.5pp

Under 82

52.7%

@ 1.84+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.68

Under

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.77

Sassari total 86Actual: Sassari over 86

Over 86

31.9%

Under 86

68.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Caserta total 69.5Actual: Caserta over 69.5

Over 69.5

81.8%

@ 1.42+17.3pp

Under 69.5

18.2%

@ 2.60-17.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

Under

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.45

Caserta total 73.5 · main lineActual: Caserta over 73.5

Over 73.5

69.7%

@ 1.85+19.7pp

Under 73.5

30.3%

@ 1.85-19.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Caserta total 77.5Actual: Caserta under 77.5

Over 77.5

55.1%

@ 2.60+18.9pp

Under 77.5

44.9%

@ 1.42-18.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sassari -11.5Actual: Sassari -11.5

SAS -11.5

21.4%

@ 2.27-18.9pp

KAS +11.5

78.6%

@ 1.54+18.9pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.20

KAS

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.48

Spread Sassari -8.5 · main lineActual: Sassari -8.5

SAS -8.5

29.9%

@ 1.94-19.3pp

KAS +8.5

70.1%

@ 1.91+19.3pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Pinnacle

1.94

SBO

1.87

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.83

KAS

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Spread Sassari -5.5Actual: Sassari -5.5

SAS -5.5

40.3%

@ 1.53-20.6pp

KAS +5.5

59.7%

@ 2.32+20.6pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Marathon Be

1.53

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.44

KAS

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.29

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.5	42.2	-0.9	33%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	36%	86%
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.4	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.1	41%	88%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	22%	56%
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.2	25%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	62%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	40%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	62%	46%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.1	53%	65%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.5	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	29%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	18%	53%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	56%	89%
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	50%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	23%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	25%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.7	37.9	-3.6	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.7	20.7	37.4	-4.0	15%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.1	29%	59%
vs Weaker	no games

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

42-51

-9

A12/04

Lega A

Venezia

34-52

-18

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

37-30

H03/05

Lega A

Brescia

31-57

-26

A10/05

Lega A

Urania Milano

#18

38-31

A27/09

Serie A2

Montecatini

#19

31-47

-16

H04/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#12

50-48

A10/10

Serie A2

Cento

#17

47-32

+15

H17/10

Serie A2

Rimini

36-50

-14

H21/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#15

25-36

-11

A25/10

Serie A2

80.5Avg total

37.1Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.1	82.8	-3.4	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	43.1	84.8	-1.4	43%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	43.1	81.0	-5.2	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	37.1	43.4	80.5	-6.3	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.6	80.4	-4.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.9	44.6	83.5	-5.7	29%	65%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.1	43.2	86.3	-0.1	56%	78%
vs Weaker (4)	35.2	36.5	71.8	-1.2	50%	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Torino

#12

45-38

H09/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

33-51

-18

A15/04

Lega A

Brindisi

43-46

-3

H23/04

Lega A

Avellino

34-34

A30/04

Lega A

Sassari

37-42

-5

H07/05

Lega A

Sebastiani Rieti

37-44

-7

A27/09

Serie A2

Fortitudo Bologna

38-42

-4

H04/10

Serie A2

Pesaro

39-46

-7

A11/10

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#20

37-52

-15

H18/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#12

41-35

H25/10

Serie A2

81.4Avg total

38.4Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.5
Last 30 (30)	37.7	40.9	78.6	-3.2	23%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	31%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	41.6	77.9	-5.4	14%	57%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.0	81.4	-4.6	20%	80%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	43.8	82.2	-5.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.2	23%	46%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	24%	65%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Sassari win

SAS win

no forecast

@ 1.40

KAS win

no forecast

@ 3.27

1st half Spread Sassari -4.5 · main lineActual: Caserta +4.5

SAS -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.89

KAS +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main lineActual: Under 77.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Sassari 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Sassari under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

Caserta 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Caserta under 36.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half: SAS + total 78.5

SAS & over

no forecast

@ 2.80

SAS & under

no forecast

@ 2.80

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: KAS + total 78.5

KAS & over

no forecast

@ 5.50

KAS & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half Over/Under 78.75Actual: Under 78.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Sassari -5.5Actual: Caserta +5.5

SAS -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

KAS +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Sassari -3.5Actual: Caserta +3.5

SAS -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.73

KAS +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.11

1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Sassari -6.5Actual: Caserta +6.5

SAS -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

KAS +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Sassari -2.5Actual: Sassari -2.5

SAS -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

KAS +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Sassari (regulation)

SAS

no forecast

@ 1.45

Draw

no forecast

@ 21.00

KAS

no forecast

@ 3.15

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.6	41.5	+0.2	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.1	43%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.1	40.6	+0.5	62%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.4	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.6	41%	82%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	78%	67%
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	50%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.25
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	54%	31%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.1	53%	35%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	33%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	29%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.6	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	41%	65%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	24.4	44.8	-4.1	11%	78%
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.6	56%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	19.6	37.4	-1.9	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	46%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	59%	53%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	41.2	42.6	83.8	-1.5	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	43.8	85.7	-1.9	43%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.3	76.2	-0.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	35.6	35.0	70.6	+0.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	41.2	43.3	84.5	-2.1	41%	71%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.7	43.4	87.1	+0.2	44%	78%
vs Weaker (4)	35.5	38.0	73.5	-2.5	25%	25%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.6	77.8	+0.6	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	38.4	74.3	-2.4	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.4	79.8	+5.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	46%	38%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.2	38.5	78.6	+1.7	47%	35%
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SAS win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

KAS win + total 155.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SAS:KAS): SAS wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Caserta over 73	72.1%	1.71	Marathon Bet 1.76	1xBet 1.65	-	-	-	+20.1pp	Won
Caserta +8.5	70.1%	1.85	Betfair 1.91	Pinnacle 1.88	Betano 1.85	BetVictor 1.85	1xBet 1.84	+19.3pp	Lost
Caserta over 72.5	73.0%	1.68	WilliamHill 1.73	Betano 1.70	1xBet 1.60	-	-	+19.2pp	Won
Caserta +9	72.3%	1.77	Pinnacle 1.79	Marathon Bet 1.78	SBO 1.73	-	-	+19.1pp	Lost
Caserta +11.5	78.6%	1.52	Marathon Bet 1.54	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.48	-	-	+18.9pp	Lost
Caserta over 71.5	76.2%	1.57	Betano 1.60	WilliamHill 1.60	1xBet 1.51	-	-	+18.7pp	Won
Caserta +10	75.3%	1.67	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.66	-	-	-	+18.5pp	Lost
Caserta over 70.5	79.1%	1.50	WilliamHill 1.57	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+18.3pp	Won
Caserta +12.5	81.1%	1.44	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+18.2pp	Lost
Caserta +9.5	73.1%	1.74	BetVictor 1.91	Pinnacle 1.73	Betano 1.72	Marathon Bet 1.72	SBO 1.70	+18.2pp	Lost
Caserta +11	78.0%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.57	-	-	-	+18.2pp	Lost
Caserta +17.5	90.3%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+18.1pp	Lost
Caserta over 68.5	84.3%	1.35	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+17.8pp	Won
Caserta +10.5	76.0%	1.61	Betano 1.62	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.62	1xBet 1.57	-	+17.5pp	Lost
Caserta over 69.5	81.8%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Won
Caserta +13.5	83.3%	1.36	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+17.1pp	Lost
Caserta +16.5	88.8%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Lost
Caserta +14.5	85.3%	1.31	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+16.1pp	Lost
Caserta +15.5	87.2%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Lost
Over 150.5	71.8%	1.50	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Over 149.5	73.8%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Over 148.5	75.8%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Sassari under 88.5	75.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Lost
Sassari under 87.5	72.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Overtime: no	94.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	WilliamHill 1.02	-	-	-	+2.7pp	-

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 69.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	16.7	47.3%	51.5%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.5	34.6%	34.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.0	69.7%	70.9%	14.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game

47%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.2	17.6	54.7%	51.5%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.3	33.9%	34.5%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.9	71.3%	70.9%	13.9

They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.2	51.5%	51.5%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.2	35.2%	34.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.9	76.4%	70.9%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.6	15.4	50.3%	51.5%	30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.1	35.7%	34.5%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	23.1	17.2	74.5%	70.9%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.5	53.5%	51.5%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.3	33.6%	34.5%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.5	74.7%	70.9%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.2	52.7%	51.5%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.7	34.1%	34.5%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.8	72.1%	70.9%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.7	56.1%	51.5%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.2	33.0%	34.5%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.4	76.7%	70.9%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.9	47.6%	51.5%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.4	36.6%	34.5%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.4	76.0%	70.9%	16.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sassari

LLWWLWLLLL

Caserta

WWLLLWLWLW

#10

League position

#14

-9.2

Net rating

-1.8

92.1

Offensive rating

103.9

101.3

Defensive rating

105.6

49.0%

Effective FG%

52.9%

52.1%

Opp. effective FG%

51.9%

13.4%

Turnover %

15.9%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.33

34.6%

3-point %

33.9%

54.1%

Assist %

46.1%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sassari ■ Caserta

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/17	Caserta v Sassari	77-70
08/01/17	Sassari v Caserta	95-77
03/04/16	Sassari v Caserta	87-75
13/12/15	Caserta v Sassari	70-86
26/04/15	Caserta v Sassari	94-87
29/12/14	Sassari v Caserta	95-84
27/04/14	Sassari v Caserta	92-95
29/12/13	Caserta v Sassari	57-82
28/04/13	Sassari v Caserta	87-74
06/01/13	Caserta v Sassari	88-81

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	A	Ruvo Di Puglia	61-79
21/10/26	H	Rimini	67-84
17/10/26	H	Cento	80-70
10/10/26	A	Mestre	87-74
04/10/26	H	Montecatini	72-81
27/09/26	A	Urania Milano	70-68
10/05/26	A	Brescia	71-92
03/05/26	H	Virtus Bologna	73-80
19/04/26	H	Venezia	79-98
12/04/26	A	Varese	90-91

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	H	Mestre	77-70
18/10/26	H	JuVi Cremona	96-89
11/10/26	A	Pesaro	77-83
04/10/26	H	Fortitudo Bologna	81-83
27/09/26	A	Sebastiani Rieti	73-81
07/05/17	H	Sassari	77-70
30/04/17	A	Avellino	75-79
23/04/17	H	Brindisi	86-82
15/04/17	A	Pesaro	67-83
09/04/17	H	Torino	83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	50%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	72.8	73.0	72.7
Allowed / game	76.0	78.3	73.7
Point differential	-3.2	-5.3	-1.0
Avg total	148.8	151.3	146.3
Over 156.25	17%	0%	33%
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	67%	0%
Points / game	80.8	84.7	75.0
Allowed / game	81.2	80.7	82.0
Point differential	-0.4	+4.0	-7.0
Avg total	162.0	165.3	157.0
Over 156.25	60%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	100%	81.7	67.0	+14.7
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	83%	81.0	73.5	+7.5
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	83%	83.2	76.5	+6.7
4	Basket Torino	5	4	1	80%	75.0	73.4	+1.6
5	Rimini	7	5	2	71%	82.6	71.0	+11.6
6	Fortitudo Bologna	6	4	2	67%	81.3	77.3	+4.0
7	Sebastiani Rieti	6	4	2	67%	75.3	76.5	-1.2
8	Brindisi	7	4	3	57%	76.6	73.3	+3.3
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	50%	78.2	69.8	+8.3
10	Forli	6	3	3	50%	83.3	79.5	+3.8
11	Sassari	6	3	3	50%	72.8	76.0	-3.2
12	Mestre	7	3	4	43%	73.0	76.3	-3.3
13	Cividale	7	3	4	43%	70.7	74.4	-3.7
14	Caserta	5	2	3	40%	80.8	81.2	-0.4
15	Ruvo Di Puglia	6	2	4	33%	79.2	84.3	-5.2
16	Vigevano	6	2	4	33%	77.2	85.3	-8.2
17	Cento	7	2	5	29%	73.6	83.6	-10.0
18	Montecatini	6	1	5	17%	72.0	84.2	-12.2
19	Urania Milano	7	1	6	14%	75.7	81.7	-6.0
20	JuVi Cremona	6	0	6	0%	74.8	81.5	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	20	18	29	28	95
Caserta	19	16	19	21	75

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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