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Varese vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 61-94
17-28 15-22 20-24 9-20
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
Varese
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Olimpia Milano
18 Apr 2027
VAR v MIL
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
VAR61
MIL94
15 Dec 2024
VAR94
MIL92
17 Dec 2023
VAR70
MIL74
12 Feb 2023
VAR75
MIL87
10 Oct 2021
VAR79
MIL82
06 Dec 2020
VAR70
MIL96
29 Aug 2020
VAR77
MIL110
08 Mar 2020
VAR v MIL
upcoming
13 Apr 2019
VAR84
MIL94
29 Jan 2018
VAR76
MIL72
05 Feb 2017
VAR82
MIL98
24 Jan 2016
VAR64
MIL86
23 Nov 2014
VAR97
MIL105
27 Jan 2014
VAR71
MIL76
14 Apr 2013
VAR95
MIL81
07 Feb 2013
VAR92
MIL74
22 Jan 2012
VAR74
MIL64
17 Apr 2011
VAR82
MIL71
11 Oct 2009
VAR73
MIL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
49avg 77
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
74avg 77
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 77
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
78avg 77
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
87avg 77
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
92avg 77
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-104
67
104
-37
58avg 77
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
85-80
85
80
+5
73avg 77
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 77
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 77
A05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
15-13
16-20
18-25
19-19
23-26
23-22
21-21
23-21
23-17
29-20
20-24
16-6
14-16
23-18
15-28
26-20
24-21
25-21
22-25
23-17
23-17
18-21
25-29
17-13
13-32
20-35
17-24
19-19
20-16
27-22
19-23
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
171.1Avg total
83.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)105.0102.0207.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)105.0102.0207.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.687.5171.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)82.090.6172.6-8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)85.095.6180.7-10.629%
vs Similar (9)90.491.3181.8-0.956%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-68
67
68
-1
56avg 80
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
76avg 80
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
61avg 80
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 80
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 80
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 80
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 80
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
20-13
18-22
16-16
27-20
17-15
22-23
19-8
15-25
20-15
19-14
14-24
29-19
15-23
15-23
19-19
20-22
22-23
17-19
24-19
28-24
19-20
22-11
21-21
22-20
23-21
24-22
23-19
19-21
14-24
29-24
16-11
25-21
19-24
8-16
19-13
17-22
19-19
26-25
17-16
157.7Avg total
80.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.177.6157.7+2.540%
Last 5 (5)82.078.8160.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Similar (19)82.380.9163.2+1.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.479.4169.9+11.067%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
VareseOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H06/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A12/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H04/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
79.2Avg total
40.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.689.7+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.442.888.2+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)44.846.491.2-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.579.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.283.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)44.646.290.8-1.648%-
vs Similar (9)46.340.987.2+5.478%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
40.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.786.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.043.190.1+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.483.0-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.881.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.284.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.055.099.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (19)41.941.583.4+0.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.643.690.1+3.067%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.8
51.1%
54.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.4
39.2%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.8%
76.1%13.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.0
56.2%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.1
34.5%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
76.1%13.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLWWLWLL
Olimpia Milano
LLLWWWLLWL
#8
League position
#2
-5.1
Net rating
+2.7
108.4
Offensive rating
113.6
113.5
Defensive rating
110.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.2%
3-point %
34.5%
57.1%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.6Defence113.5 · 110.8Shooting55.0% · 54.2%3-point %39.2% · 34.5%Ball care18.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds21.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Olimpia Milano v Varese119-92
15/12/24Varese v Olimpia Milano94-92
03/03/24Olimpia Milano v Varese94-63
17/12/23Varese v Olimpia Milano70-74
12/02/23Varese v Olimpia Milano75-87
26/12/22Olimpia Milano v Varese96-84
26/03/22Olimpia Milano v Varese95-77
10/10/21Varese v Olimpia Milano79-82
05/04/21Olimpia Milano v Varese81-83
06/12/20Varese v Olimpia Milano70-96
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83
04/05/25HTrieste85-80
27/04/25AVirtus Bologna67-104
19/04/25HSassari89-84
12/04/25ABasket Napoli97-87
06/04/25HCremona85-87 OT
30/03/25HScafati95-82
23/03/25ATreviso86-88
16/03/25HReggiana63-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HMonaco79-82
05/10/25HTortona71-74
02/10/25APartizan78-80
30/09/25ACrvena zvezda92-82
28/09/25ABrescia90-76
27/09/25AVirtus Bologna93-86 OT
07/06/25HVirtus Bologna78-84
05/06/25HVirtus Bologna68-78
02/06/25AVirtus Bologna85-66
31/05/25AVirtus Bologna67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game105.0-105.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total207.0-207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%109.069.0+40.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%105.088.0+17.0
3 Venezia110100%82.075.0+7.0
4 Reggiana110100%76.071.0+5.0
5 Trapani110100%91.087.0+4.0
6 Tortona110100%74.071.0+3.0
7 Varese110100%105.0102.0+3.0
8 Brescia110100%102.0100.0+2.0
9 Treviso1010%100.0102.0-2.0
10 Olimpia Milano1010%71.074.0-3.0
11 Sassari1010%102.0105.0-3.0
12 Trieste1010%87.091.0-4.0
13 Udine1010%71.076.0-5.0
14 Cremona1010%75.082.0-7.0
15 Basket Napoli1010%88.0105.0-17.0
16 Cantu1010%69.0109.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese171520961
Olimpia Milano2822242094
← all games of the day
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