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Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 77-95
21-28 14-27 20-16 22-24
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#4
Record9-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game91.1
AustraliaNBLRound 17· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v Illawarra Hawks
14 Nov 2026
PERT v ILLA
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
PERT98
ILLA105
16 Jan 2026
PERT92
ILLA87
25 Oct 2025
PERT84
ILLA85
02 Oct 2025
PERT92
ILLA84
06 Dec 2024
PERT111
ILLA121
01 Nov 2024
PERT113
ILLA105
25 Jan 2024
PERT77
ILLA95
27 Jan 2023
PERT106
ILLA86
08 Oct 2022
PERT77
ILLA71
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
ILLA82
14 Jun 2021
PERT79
ILLA71
10 Jun 2021
PERT72
ILLA74
16 Apr 2021
PERT83
ILLA69
26 Mar 2021
PERT81
ILLA70
11 Oct 2019
PERT103
ILLA76
01 Feb 2019
PERT104
ILLA90
14 Oct 2018
PERT101
ILLA61
26 Oct 2017
PERT105
ILLA74
13 Oct 2017
PERT74
ILLA64
05 Mar 2017
PERT95
ILLA86
26 Feb 2017
PERT89
ILLA77
27 Nov 2016
PERT85
ILLA89
21 Oct 2016
PERT80
ILLA73
26 Feb 2016
PERT89
ILLA74
19 Feb 2016
PERT80
ILLA68
21 Jan 2016
PERT95
ILLA72
31 Oct 2015
PERT91
ILLA62
05 Dec 2014
PERT79
ILLA55
17 Oct 2014
PERT69
ILLA59
28 Mar 2014
PERT91
ILLA79
23 Mar 2014
PERT86
ILLA65
01 Nov 2013
PERT87
ILLA47
28 Mar 2013
PERT93
ILLA65
03 Feb 2013
PERT80
ILLA52
07 Dec 2012
PERT80
ILLA68
05 Nov 2011
PERT87
ILLA71
14 Jan 2011
PERT92
ILLA58
29 Oct 2010
PERT87
ILLA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 84
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 84
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 84
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 84
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 84
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 84
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
83avg 84
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
118-86
118
86
+32
119avg 84
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 84
A21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
28-19
28-20
14-22
30-18
31-13
26-25
28-23
33-25
34-20
24-37
22-21
24-20
197.4Avg total
102.3Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)95.091.2186.2+3.968%
Season at home (11)95.085.8180.8+9.282%
Season away (11)95.196.5191.6-1.555%
Last 10 (10)102.395.1197.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)106.089.4195.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.594.0197.5+9.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)94.096.4190.4-2.450%
vs Weaker (12)94.486.4180.8+8.075%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 77
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-72
100
72
+28
98avg 77
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 77
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
94-90
94
90
+4
80avg 77
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 77
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
116-78
116
78
+38
117avg 77
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 77
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
92-93
92
93
-1
86avg 77
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
74avg 77
H20/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-18
20-25
15-22
27-17
22-27
26-12
25-19
27-14
10-23
20-28
26-22
33-27
17-29
29-19
31-25
17-17
19-12
21-29
31-12
20-31
24-15
29-21
33-23
30-19
18-20
18-15
20-15
30-36
26-30
30-29
24-31
23-20
23-19
17-25
23-23
29-26
15-21
24-21
23-26
27-28
189.4Avg total
98.2Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.991.1181.0-1.243%
Season at home (11)93.592.9186.5+0.645%
Season away (10)85.989.1175.0-3.240%
Last 10 (10)98.291.2189.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)101.696.8198.4+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)84.695.0179.6-10.415%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.789.5175.2-3.836%
vs Weaker (3)109.785.3195.0+24.3100%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.8+2.8
PerthIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H19/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A21/01
NBL
100.3Avg total
51.5Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.346.593.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.543.389.9+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)48.049.697.6-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.8100.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.648.0103.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.042.089.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)47.250.697.8-3.425%-
vs Weaker (12)47.441.889.2+5.775%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H31/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/01
NBL
88.4Avg total
44.6Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.389.4-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.146.491.5-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.3-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.888.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.288.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.146.488.5-4.331%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.944.688.6-0.736%-
vs Weaker (3)53.743.397.0+10.3100%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.5
53.6%
50.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws28.822.9
79.5%
73.8%22.9
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.426.1
55.1%
50.9%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
73.8%15.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWWWWLWLW
Illawarra Hawks
LLLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#4
+9.5
Net rating
+8.4
119.5
Offensive rating
119.5
110.0
Defensive rating
111.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
35.0%
51.9%
Assist %
51.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 119.5Defence110.0 · 111.1Shooting53.1% · 54.2%3-point %34.7% · 35.0%Ball care13.4% · 12.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
Illawarra Hawks wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ASydney104-98
19/01/24HBrisbane Bullets118-86
13/01/24HSouth East Melbourne100-79
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100
01/12/23HSydney114-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HAdelaide89-96
18/01/24HCairns Taipans92-93
14/01/24ABrisbane Bullets103-110
12/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers108-107 OT
05/01/24HSouth East Melbourne116-78
31/12/23HAdelaide91-84
25/12/23ASydney94-90
23/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-100
16/12/23ASouth East Melbourne100-72
08/12/23HPerth100-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game95.095.095.1
Allowed / game91.285.896.5
Point differential+3.9+9.2-1.5
Avg total186.2180.8191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWWLL45%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game89.993.585.9
Allowed / game91.192.989.1
Point differential-1.2+0.6-3.2
Avg total181.0186.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2216673%93.887.8+6.0
2 Perth2215768%95.091.2+3.9
3 Tasmania JackJumpers23121152%91.085.8+5.2
4 Brisbane Bullets24121250%88.290.2-2.0
5 Sydney24111346%95.094.1+0.9
6 Cairns Taipans24111346%90.291.8-1.6
7 New Zealand Breakers2191243%89.989.7+0.2
8 Illawarra Hawks2191243%89.991.1-1.2
9 South East Melbourne24101442%88.294.7-6.5
10 Adelaide2391439%88.692.7-4.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2114202277
Illawarra Hawks2827162495
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