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South East Melbourne vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 94-89
21-24 25-22 29-26 19-17
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.0
AustraliaNBLRound 7· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Perth
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
SOUT111
PERT94
10 Jan 2026
SOUT97
PERT107
02 Nov 2025
SOUT94
PERT89
03 Nov 2024
SOUT100
PERT76
27 Jan 2024
SOUT91
PERT103
01 Oct 2023
SOUT110
PERT99
09 Feb 2023
SOUT99
PERT106
22 Jan 2023
SOUT112
PERT91
26 Feb 2022
SOUT86
PERT80
05 Feb 2022
SOUT79
PERT101
14 Feb 2021
SOUT96
PERT71
11 Feb 2021
SOUT75
PERT106
08 Dec 2019
SOUT98
PERT108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
87avg 88
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
101-94
101
94
+7
86avg 88
H02/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
96-126
96
126
-30
72avg 88
A05/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
114-77
114
77
+37
no box
H20/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
83-103
83
103
-20
69avg 88
A25/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 88
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
54avg 88
A16/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
116-76
116
76
+40
104avg 88
H18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
112-95
112
95
+17
107avg 88
H23/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
109-86
109
86
+23
98avg 88
A25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
34-23
12-32
21-15
24-24
27-23
15-21
35-26
22-37
22-33
20-33
32-23
23-15
36-20
29-26
26-16
24-29
22-23
24-23
13-28
21-15
13-31
28-19
25-16
16-28
11-22
18-16
26-22
30-23
36-17
17-12
33-24
22-20
23-28
34-25
33-22
23-20
23-19
37-22
26-25
191.0Avg total
98.3Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.986.6185.4+12.371%
Season at home (3)114.082.7196.7+31.3100%
Season away (4)87.589.5177.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)98.392.7191.0+5.660%
Last 5 (5)99.085.2184.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)102.7103.5206.2-0.867%
vs Similar ◀ (8)95.8104.4200.1-8.612%
vs Weaker (16)102.487.5189.9+14.988%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
112-113
112
113
-1
105avg 92
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 92
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 92
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 92
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
59avg 92
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 92
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 92
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 92
A29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-26
25-32
22-29
28-26
21-13
14-20
14-21
23-21
25-17
19-25
18-17
27-19
10-20
34-23
23-13
25-28
23-23
18-20
20-17
19-17
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
22-15
23-35
21-24
6-20
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
19-23
15-18
24-11
26-33
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
177.7Avg total
89.9Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.485.0172.4+2.456%
Season at home (4)85.288.5173.8-3.225%
Season away (5)89.282.2171.4+7.080%
Last 10 (10)89.987.8177.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)90.890.2181.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.3111.7202.0-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)102.9101.0203.9+1.957%
vs Weaker (20)102.592.1194.6+10.475%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
South East MelbournePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H02/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
44-70
44
70
-26
A05/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H20/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A16/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
96.0Avg total
47.9Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.249.9101.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.147.398.3+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)51.352.5103.8-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)47.948.196.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.688.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.256.2108.3-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)52.554.4106.9-1.938%-
vs Weaker (16)50.145.395.4+4.869%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
89.9Avg total
45.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.648.799.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.249.498.6-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)51.848.199.9+3.756%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.989.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.090.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.756.0104.7-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.953.1105.0-1.343%-
vs Weaker (20)50.546.196.6+4.455%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.921.8
47.5%
54.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.8
34.4%
33.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.217.6
75.9%
74.8%17.6
They take 80.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.7
55.6%
54.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.2
33.0%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.816.7
76.6%
74.8%16.7
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
WWWLWLWLWL
Perth
WLWLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+3.3
Net rating
+0.8
113.3
Offensive rating
118.4
110.0
Defensive rating
117.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
11.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
33.0%
57.4%
Assist %
51.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 118.4Defence110.0 · 117.6Shooting49.3% · 53.2%3-point %34.4% · 33.0%Ball care11.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
South East Melbourne wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ABrisbane Bullets109-86
23/10/25HSydney112-95
18/10/25HIllawarra Hawks116-76
16/10/25AAdelaide71-88
12/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers87-81
25/09/25AMelbourne United83-103
20/09/25HCairns Taipans114-77
05/03/25AIllawarra Hawks96-126
02/03/25HIllawarra Hawks101-94
28/02/25AIllawarra Hawks94-101
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
25/10/25HIllawarra Hawks84-85
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
19/10/25ASydney72-94
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
10/10/25ACairns Taipans80-77
02/10/25HIllawarra Hawks92-84
27/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers89-78
20/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers72-75
04/03/25AMelbourne United112-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game98.9114.087.5
Allowed / game86.682.789.5
Point differential+12.3+31.3-2.0
Avg total185.4196.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%25%80%
Points / game87.485.289.2
Allowed / game85.088.582.2
Point differential+2.4-3.2+7.0
Avg total172.4173.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United990100%97.980.3+17.6
2 South East Melbourne75271%98.986.6+12.3
3 Adelaide75271%90.484.1+6.3
4 Perth95456%87.485.0+2.4
5 Tasmania JackJumpers105550%81.783.7-2.0
6 Sydney94544%92.386.3+6.0
7 Brisbane Bullets114736%90.595.1-4.6
8 New Zealand Breakers103730%88.389.2-0.9
9 Illawarra Hawks72529%85.098.7-13.7
10 Cairns Taipans113827%76.793.8-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South East Melbourne2125291994
Perth2422261789
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