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South East Melbourne vs Perth Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 06:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game98.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
AustraliaNBLRound 18· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · South East Melbourne v Perth
24 Jan 2027
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
13 Dec 2026
SOUT v PERT
upcoming
04 Mar 2026
SOUT111
PERT94
10 Jan 2026
SOUT97
PERT107
02 Nov 2025
SOUT94
PERT89
03 Nov 2024
SOUT100
PERT76
27 Jan 2024
SOUT91
PERT103
01 Oct 2023
SOUT110
PERT99
09 Feb 2023
SOUT99
PERT106
22 Jan 2023
SOUT112
PERT91
26 Feb 2022
SOUT86
PERT80
05 Feb 2022
SOUT79
PERT101
14 Feb 2021
SOUT96
PERT71
11 Feb 2021
SOUT75
PERT106
08 Dec 2019
SOUT98
PERT108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South East Melbourne win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 89
A02/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
113-96
113
96
+17
106avg 89
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
99-104
99
104
-5
84avg 89
H10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
105-115
105
115
-10
92avg 89
A15/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
115-83
115
83
+32
108avg 89
H17/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
108-94
108
94
+14
103avg 89
H24/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
89-98
89
98
-9
73avg 89
H01/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
99-110
99
110
-11
no box
A08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
110-120
110
120
-10
no box
H11/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
95-102
95
102
-7
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
22-22
21-22
21-22
23-23
36-18
26-32
28-23
30-17
23-28
21-29
25-30
24-30
31-26
29-34
21-25
27-35
35-19
27-9
26-20
42-25
30-18
14-29
22-22
18-27
21-30
25-19
25-22
38-28
13-26
19-29
29-27
23-28
31-43
27-24
29-25
22-30
17-34
29-23
27-15
203.5Avg total
102.1Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)97.998.1196.0-0.231%
Season at home (7)99.397.3196.6+2.043%
Season away (6)96.399.0195.3-2.717%
Last 10 (10)102.1101.4203.5+0.730%
Last 5 (5)100.2104.8205.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.2103.4196.6-10.112%
vs Similar ◀ (8)100.493.1193.5+7.250%
vs Weaker (14)109.8100.3210.1+9.571%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 81
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 81
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 81
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 81
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 81
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 81
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
South East MelbournePerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A02/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A15/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H17/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H24/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H01/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H11/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A14/11
NBL
106.3Avg total
53.0Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.351.3103.6+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.452.3107.7+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)49.250.399.5-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)53.053.3106.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)51.057.8108.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.852.2100.0-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)54.548.5103.0+6.062%-
vs Weaker (14)53.652.4106.0+1.343%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.6
55.9%
56.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.511.6
30.9%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
74.0%16.7
They take 77.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South East Melbourne
LLLLWWLLWL
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
#10
League position
#6
+4.8
Net rating
-8.1
100.3
Offensive rating
97.4
95.6
Defensive rating
105.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.9%
3-point %
34.9%
55.8%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 97.4Defence95.6 · 105.5Shooting51.3% · 53.1%3-point %30.9% · 34.9%Ball care11.7% · 13.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ South East Melbourne   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South East Melbourne wins
6
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMelbourne United95-102
11/11/26HIllawarra Hawks110-120
08/11/26ASydney99-110
01/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers89-98
24/10/26HAdelaide108-94
17/10/26HCairns Taipans115-83
15/10/26ABrisbane Bullets105-115
10/10/26HMelbourne United99-104
04/10/26HIllawarra Hawks113-96
02/10/26APerth88-92
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South East Melbourne
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game97.999.396.3
Allowed / game98.197.399.0
Point differential-0.2+2.0-2.7
Avg total196.0196.6195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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