Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	95.7	86.1	181.8	+9.6	65%
Season at home (14)	97.1	86.4	183.4	+10.7	71%
Season away (12)	94.2	85.8	180.0	+8.3	58%
Last 10 (10)	101.5	86.3	187.8	+15.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	103.4	90.8	194.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	75.0	95.0	170.0	-20.0	0%
vs Similar (1)	97.0	104.0	201.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	95.5	87.1	182.6	+8.4	61%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

114-105 OT

114

105

110avg 86

H12/12

NBL

Sydney

93-97 OT

-4

86avg 86

A17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

84-78

81avg 86

A20/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

93-73

+20

87avg 86

H24/12

NBL

Perth

95-84

+11

92avg 86

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

85-79

81avg 86

H02/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

97-86

+11

97avg 86

A04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

72-80

-8

61avg 86

H09/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

89-108

108

-19

no box

H18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

112-110 OT

112

110

101avg 86

A23/01

NBL

27-22

32-26

22-19

14-28

29-23

27-20

9-23

20-19

21-21

20-18

19-20

24-19

23-21

27-21

23-19

20-12

20-29

26-20

29-9

20-26

19-26

16-15

21-18

29-20

15-20

23-25

30-20

29-21

16-13

11-27

24-20

21-20

23-31

20-22

26-28

20-27

23-22

25-22

22-27

23-22

183.4Avg total

93.4Scored

90.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	92.5	87.0	179.5	+5.5	77%
Season at home (15)	91.3	87.0	178.3	+4.3	73%
Season away (11)	94.2	87.0	181.2	+7.2	82%
Last 10 (10)	93.4	90.0	183.4	+3.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	92.6	183.6	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	90.1	92.9	183.0	-2.8	40%
vs Similar (10)	93.3	90.2	183.5	+3.1	70%
vs Weaker (10)	94.4	82.1	176.5	+12.3	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SydneyAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.3	24.0	48.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.0	22.6	47.6	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	21.3	48.7	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	21.6	49.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	29.0	53.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	32.0	53.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	24.8	22.9	47.6	+1.9	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.3	44.5	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.4	41.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.2	21.3	44.5	+1.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	21.3	45.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.1	21.4	47.5	+4.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	19.5	44.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	19.4	45.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	24.0	51.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	24.3	21.2	45.5	+3.1	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.0	45.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	21.7	44.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	23.1	20.3	43.4	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.6	25.1	48.7	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.6	60%	-

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

43-56

-13

H17/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

57-41

+16

H21/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

62-41

+21

H25/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

51-30

+21

H30/12

NBL

Adelaide

41-35

A02/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

60-59

H05/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-21

+29

A09/01

NBL

Melbourne United

56-48

H11/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

52-41

+11

H15/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

52-36

+16

H22/01

NBL

93.2Avg total

52.4Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	44.7	93.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.4	45.4	95.8	+5.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	46.5	43.8	90.3	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.4	40.8	93.2	+11.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.0	41.0	95.0	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	50.0	89.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	48.0	56.0	104.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	49.1	44.1	93.2	+5.0	75%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

59-48

+11

H12/12

NBL

Sydney

56-43

+13

A17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-39

A20/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-42

H24/12

NBL

Perth

46-49

-3

H28/12

NBL

Sydney

35-41

-6

H02/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

38-45

-7

A04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

27-40

-13

H09/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-53

-10

H18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-44

A23/01

NBL

88.7Avg total

44.3Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	43.3	89.0	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	44.0	89.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.9	42.7	88.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	44.4	88.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	44.6	82.8	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	45.7	43.8	89.5	+1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.8	44.2	89.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.5	42.0	88.5	+4.5	70%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	20.8	44.8	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	21.0	46.6	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.0	51.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	29.0	55.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.2	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	21.7	45.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.4	20.3	45.7	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.1	45.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	22.6	47.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	21.4	24.1	45.5	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	26.0	19.3	45.3	+6.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	24.8	47.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	30.0	44.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.8	21.9	43.6	-0.1	39%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	22.1	45.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	42.9	88.4	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	43.2	88.5	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.6	42.5	88.2	+3.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	44.7	92.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	49.8	99.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	45.7	42.6	88.3	+3.0	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	43.4	88.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	41.7	85.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.2	45.2	91.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	41.7	86.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	44.6	93.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	43.6	47.9	91.5	-4.3	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.7	43.3	88.0	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.5	39.1	85.6	+7.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 100.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.3	26.1	58.9%	54.6%	52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.0	35.7%	33.3%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.5	72.1%	74.8%	15.5

They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 93.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.8	23.1	51.6%	54.6%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	10.3	38.6%	33.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.3	77.6%	74.8%	16.3

They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.3	50.8%	54.6%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	9.5	30.6%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.0	75.8%	74.8%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.8	24.9	53.2%	54.6%	49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.2	30.9%	33.3%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.6	69.7%	74.8%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	24.1	56.9%	54.6%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	9.9	34.1%	33.3%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.3	73.0%	74.8%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	22.9	53.6%	54.6%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.6	35.6%	33.3%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.3	78.2%	74.8%	17.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.3	53.0%	54.6%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.3	32.9%	33.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	19.3	14.2	73.6%	74.8%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	23.4	54.1%	54.6%	46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.8	31.2%	33.3%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.6	71.4%	74.8%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sydney

WWWWLLWWWW

Adelaide

WLLWWWWWLW

League position

+17.0

Net rating

+6.7

117.5

Offensive rating

115.6

100.4

Defensive rating

108.9

56.7%

Effective FG%

53.9%

48.8%

Opp. effective FG%

50.8%

11.1%

Turnover %

12.1%

27.5%

Off. rebound %

31.5%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.29

35.7%

3-point %

38.6%

59.6%

Assist %

64.1%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Sydney ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sydney wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/26	Adelaide v Sydney	85-79
17/12/25	Sydney v Adelaide	97-93 OT
11/10/25	Adelaide v Sydney	79-103
13/02/25	Sydney v Adelaide	88-95
24/01/25	Sydney v Adelaide	96-105
30/12/24	Sydney v Adelaide	96-111
11/10/24	Adelaide v Sydney	89-79
22/09/24	Adelaide v Sydney	94-102
02/02/24	Adelaide v Sydney	85-78
11/01/24	Adelaide v Sydney	95-82

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	105-94
15/01/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	95-80
11/01/26	H	Melbourne United	97-94
09/01/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	103-62
05/01/26	H	South East Melbourne	117-124
02/01/26	A	Adelaide	79-85
30/12/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	95-70
25/12/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	108-84
21/12/25	H	Cairns Taipans	119-77
17/12/25	H	Adelaide	97-93 OT

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/01/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	112-110 OT
18/01/26	H	South East Melbourne	89-108
09/01/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-80
04/01/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	97-86
02/01/26	H	Sydney	85-79
28/12/25	H	Perth	95-84
24/12/25	H	Cairns Taipans	93-73
20/12/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	84-78
17/12/25	A	Sydney	93-97 OT
12/12/25	H	Melbourne United	114-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	LWWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	65%	71%	58%
Points / game	95.7	97.1	94.2
Allowed / game	86.1	86.4	85.8
Point differential	+9.6	+10.7	+8.3
Avg total	181.8	183.4	180.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	50%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	77%
Home	WWWLL	73%
Away	WLWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	15	11
Win %	77%	73%	82%
Points / game	92.5	91.3	94.2
Allowed / game	87.0	87.0	87.0
Point differential	+5.5	+4.3	+7.2
Avg total	179.5	178.3	181.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	33%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	100% (2)	67% (6)
Overtime %	15%	13%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	26	20	6	77%	92.5	87.0	+5.5
2	South East Melbourne	27	19	8	70%	100.8	92.1	+8.7
3	Sydney	26	17	9	65%	95.7	86.1	+9.6
4	Melbourne United	27	17	10	63%	93.4	87.9	+5.5
5	Perth	26	16	10	62%	90.5	86.1	+4.4
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	28	12	16	43%	85.8	85.9	-0.2
7	New Zealand Breakers	27	10	17	37%	90.5	92.1	-1.6
8	Illawarra Hawks	25	9	16	36%	90.6	96.6	-6.0
9	Cairns Taipans	27	7	20	26%	82.7	97.1	-14.4
10	Brisbane Bullets	27	6	21	22%	84.0	95.2	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sydney	22	37	25	22	106
Adelaide	20	26	24	31	101

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Sydney vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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