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Sydney vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game88.1
Sydney
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game94.9
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v Cairns Taipans
17 Dec 2026
SYDN v CAIR
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
SYDN111
CAIR90
21 Dec 2025
SYDN119
CAIR77
28 Sep 2025
SYDN74
CAIR77
12 Jan 2025
SYDN91
CAIR87
13 Oct 2024
SYDN99
CAIR73
29 Dec 2023
SYDN101
CAIR82
19 Feb 2023
SYDN79
CAIR64
15 Feb 2023
SYDN95
CAIR87
29 Oct 2022
SYDN106
CAIR103
14 Oct 2022
SYDN78
CAIR83
06 Mar 2022
SYDN98
CAIR88
07 Nov 2016
SYDN79
CAIR77
15 Oct 2016
SYDN92
CAIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
108-82
108
82
+26
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
95-105
95
105
-10
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-91
99
91
+8
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
31-32
20-24
13-21
31-28
33-17
26-25
21-28
19-21
19-19
18-12
13-24
21-13
186.0Avg total
97.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.988.1186.0+9.870%
Season at home (6)101.089.2190.2+11.867%
Season away (4)93.286.5179.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)97.988.1186.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)95.085.4180.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)102.289.5191.7+12.877%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
107-85
107
85
+22
A29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
186.6Avg total
91.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Season at home (3)92.087.3179.3+4.7100%
Season away (7)91.698.1189.7-6.643%
Last 10 (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Last 5 (5)96.695.0191.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)87.399.5186.8-12.229%
vs Similar (5)88.482.8171.2+5.680%
vs Weaker (1)110.0100.0210.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
SydneyCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
NBL
96.1Avg total
51.9Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.945.398.1+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.146.4101.4+8.788%-
Last 30 away (13)50.043.893.8+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)51.944.296.1+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)52.945.398.1+7.680%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
96.1Avg total
46.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.647.193.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.244.191.2+3.167%-
Last 30 away (18)46.349.295.4-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.396.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.850.0100.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)46.447.994.3-1.546%-
vs Similar (5)45.643.088.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.5
57.8%
56.0%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
73.7%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
56.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.9
35.1%
34.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws13.410.2
76.1%
73.7%10.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLWWLLWWW
Cairns Taipans
WWLWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#4
+9.9
Net rating
-3.7
105.0
Offensive rating
96.4
95.0
Defensive rating
100.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.4%
3-point %
35.1%
58.0%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 96.4Defence95.0 · 100.1Shooting56.0% · 54.6%3-point %35.4% · 35.1%Ball care11.6% · 12.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sydney wins
2
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
20/09/26Sydney v Cairns Taipans111-90
01/02/26Cairns Taipans v Sydney92-106
21/12/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans119-77
28/09/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans74-77
12/01/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans91-87
29/11/24Cairns Taipans v Sydney75-81
13/10/24Sydney v Cairns Taipans99-73
29/12/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans101-82
07/12/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney83-86
28/10/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney87-80
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers71-68
28/10/26APerth99-91
25/10/26AMelbourne United95-105
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%67%75%
Points / game97.9101.093.2
Allowed / game88.189.286.5
Point differential+9.8+11.8+6.8
Avg total186.0190.2179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %60%100%43%
Points / game91.792.091.6
Allowed / game94.987.398.1
Point differential-3.2+4.7-6.6
Avg total186.6179.3189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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