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Sydney vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game89.7
Sydney
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v Cairns Taipans
17 Dec 2026
SYDN v CAIR
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
SYDN111
CAIR90
21 Dec 2025
SYDN119
CAIR77
28 Sep 2025
SYDN74
CAIR77
12 Jan 2025
SYDN91
CAIR87
13 Oct 2024
SYDN99
CAIR73
29 Dec 2023
SYDN101
CAIR82
19 Feb 2023
SYDN79
CAIR64
15 Feb 2023
SYDN95
CAIR87
29 Oct 2022
SYDN106
CAIR103
14 Oct 2022
SYDN78
CAIR83
06 Mar 2022
SYDN98
CAIR88
07 Nov 2016
SYDN79
CAIR77
15 Oct 2016
SYDN92
CAIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 99
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 99
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
96avg 99
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
108-82
108
82
+26
109avg 99
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
96avg 99
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 99
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 99
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
no box
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A13/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
111-102 OT
111
102
+9
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
31-32
20-24
13-21
31-28
33-17
26-25
21-28
19-21
19-19
18-12
13-24
21-13
28-38
26-13
29-19
27-29
29-12
24-20
14-31
15-21
21-20
24-25
20-19
22-23
185.5Avg total
95.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)98.689.7188.3+8.969%
Season at home (8)103.492.0195.4+11.475%
Season away (5)91.086.0177.0+5.060%
Last 10 (10)95.789.8185.5+5.960%
Last 5 (5)94.688.8183.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)102.689.4192.0+13.283%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 79
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 79
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 79
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 79
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 79
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 79
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 79
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
95-107
95
107
-12
no box
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
35-32
27-29
20-26
13-20
31-27
22-21
24-17
23-27
12-29
20-24
31-14
21-15
193.0Avg total
96.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.495.9188.3-3.657%
Season at home (6)92.094.0186.0-2.067%
Season away (8)92.697.4190.0-4.850%
Last 10 (10)96.696.4193.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)96.695.8192.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)87.2100.3187.4-13.130%
vs Similar (10)92.292.7184.9-0.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
SydneyCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A13/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H15/11
NBL
93.2Avg total
50.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.945.798.6+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.245.8100.0+8.383%-
Last 30 away (12)51.045.596.5+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)50.442.893.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.289.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.056.0107.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)53.045.398.3+7.679%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/11
NBL
101.1Avg total
50.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.695.9-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.546.995.5+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.996.2-3.641%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.9101.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.249.395.5-3.150%-
vs Similar (10)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.5
57.8%
56.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
74.0%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WLWWWLWWLL
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#4
+9.9
Net rating
-3.9
105.0
Offensive rating
96.3
95.0
Defensive rating
100.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.4%
3-point %
35.2%
58.0%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 96.3Defence95.0 · 100.2Shooting56.0% · 55.3%3-point %35.4% · 35.2%Ball care11.6% · 13.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sydney   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sydney wins
2
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
13/11/26Cairns Taipans v Sydney84-82
20/09/26Sydney v Cairns Taipans111-90
01/02/26Cairns Taipans v Sydney92-106
21/12/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans119-77
28/09/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans74-77
12/01/25Sydney v Cairns Taipans91-87
29/11/24Cairns Taipans v Sydney75-81
13/10/24Sydney v Cairns Taipans99-73
29/12/23Sydney v Cairns Taipans101-82
07/12/23Cairns Taipans v Sydney83-86
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers111-102 OT
13/11/26ACairns Taipans82-84
08/11/26HSouth East Melbourne110-99
30/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers71-68
28/10/26APerth99-91
25/10/26AMelbourne United95-105
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSydney84-82
08/11/26APerth100-92
05/11/26HIllawarra Hawks95-107
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%75%60%
Points / game98.6103.491.0
Allowed / game89.792.086.0
Point differential+8.9+11.4+5.0
Avg total188.3195.4177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game92.492.092.6
Allowed / game95.994.097.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-4.8
Avg total188.3186.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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