PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Projected 97-86
Projected total 183.2
Final 111-102 (OT)
21-20 24-25 20-19 22-23 24-15
Position#1
Record8-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game88.7
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Vs
83%
17%
■ SYDN 83%■ NEW 17%
Pythia win probability
New Zealand Breakers
Australia
Position#8
Record5-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.9
AustraliaNBLRound 9· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN111
NEW 102
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Sydney face the New Zealand Breakers on 15 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Sydney the clear favourite, rating them 83% to win largely because of their 8-4 record, 97.6 points per game and 88.7 allowed, placing them first in the league; the Breakers sit 8th with a 5-8 record, 89.8 points per game and 89.9 allowed. Sydney have won 5 of 7 home games, scoring 102.3 and allowing 90.6, and have won 3 of their last five, with a recent 110-99 home win over South East Melbourne but a narrow 82-84 loss to Cairns Taipans away; the Breakers have won only 2 of 9 road games, 86.6 points per game and 90.6 allowed, and have won just one of their last five, including a 94-90 home win over Brisbane Bullets but losses to Tasmania JackJumpers and Melbourne United. Historically Sydney have won 6 of 10 meetings, though the Breakers edged the most recent 102-101 game on 14 October 2026. Pythia projects a 97-86 score, 183.2 total points, with a 54% chance Sydney will cover the -9.5 line and a 44% chance of the over on 185.5, and a 3% overtime probability. The Breakers' last road win came against Brisbane on 13 November 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
82.6%fair 1.21
Best odds1.23
Implied80.4%
Edge+2.2pp
New Zealand Breakers winLost
17.4%fair 5.76
Best odds5.50
Implied19.6%
Edge-2.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 96
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 96
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
92avg 96
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
96avg 96
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
108-82
108
82
+26
109avg 96
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
96avg 96
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
100avg 96
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 96
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
no box
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
20-10
29-14
21-20
18-18
26-23
12-20
22-23
29-31
32-20
12-24
28-27
31-21
21-22
24-20
26-18
20-19
28-17
34-16
26-30
31-32
20-24
13-21
31-28
33-17
26-25
21-28
19-21
19-19
18-12
13-24
21-13
28-38
26-13
29-19
27-29
29-12
24-20
14-31
15-21
181.3Avg total
93.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)97.688.7186.2+8.967%
Season at home (7)102.390.6192.9+11.771%
Season away (5)91.086.0177.0+5.060%
Last 10 (10)93.987.4181.3+6.560%
Last 5 (5)91.489.4180.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)95.0105.0200.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)102.388.0190.4+14.383%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
99avg 84
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 84
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 84
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 84
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 84
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 84
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
92avg 84
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
19-28
20-15
16-27
19-24
19-27
24-16
12-21
22-15
14-24
26-16
20-22
19-17
179.7Avg total
89.4Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.889.9179.7-0.238%
Season at home (4)97.088.5185.5+8.575%
Season away (9)86.690.6177.1-4.022%
Last 10 (10)89.490.3179.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)86.091.4177.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.499.8187.2-12.420%
vs Similar (13)95.093.2188.2+1.846%
vs Weaker (7)96.189.6185.7+6.657%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 181Actual: Over 181
Over 181
54.7%
@ 1.66-2.7pp
Under 181
45.3%
@ 2.24+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathon Be
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Over/Under 186 · main lineActual: Over 186
Over 186
42.3%
@ 2.05-7.7pp
Under 186
57.7%
@ 1.91+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.75
Over/Under 191Actual: Over 191
Over 191
30.7%
@ 2.55-6.0pp
Under 191
69.3%
@ 1.48+6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.48
Marathon Be
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Sydney total 93.5Actual: Sydney over 93.5
Over 93.5
63.4%
@ 1.50+0.1pp
Under 93.5
36.6%
@ 2.65-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.36
Sydney total 97.5 · main lineActual: Sydney over 97.5
Over 97.5
47.7%
@ 1.87-3.2pp
Under 97.5
52.3%
@ 1.95+3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.87
Sydney total 101.5Actual: Sydney over 101.5
Over 101.5
32.4%
@ 2.52-4.0pp
Under 101.5
67.6%
@ 1.44+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.44
New Zealand Breakers total 83.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers over 83.5
Over 83.5
59.9%
@ 1.47-4.6pp
Under 83.5
40.1%
@ 2.70+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.44
New Zealand Breakers total 87.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers over 87.5
Over 87.5
44.3%
@ 1.90-5.7pp
Under 87.5
55.7%
@ 1.95+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.82
New Zealand Breakers total 91.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers over 91.5
Over 91.5
29.8%
@ 2.60-8.0pp
Under 91.5
70.2%
@ 1.54+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sydney -12.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers +12.5
SYDN -12.5
43.4%
@ 2.36+3.2pp
NEW +12.5
56.6%
@ 1.65-3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SYDN
Pinnacle
2.36
BetVictor
2.30
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathon Be
2.18
NEW
Bet365
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathon Be
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Spread Sydney -9.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers +9.5
SYDN -9.5
54.3%
@ 1.88+3.5pp
NEW +9.5
45.7%
@ 2.00-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SYDN
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
BetVictor
1.83
Betfair
1.80
NEW
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.96
Pinnacle
1.94
BetVictor
1.93
Spread Sydney -6.5Actual: Sydney -6.5
SYDN -6.5
65.0%
@ 1.51+2.5pp
NEW +6.5
35.0%
@ 2.55-2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SYDN
1xBet
1.51
Marathon Be
1.51
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.47
NEW
Bet365
2.55
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.35
Marathon Be
2.35

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H11/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H14/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H17/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A25/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A28/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A30/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H08/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A13/11
NBL
92.9Avg total
50.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 94.5
Last 30 (30)53.144.998.0+8.280%67%
Last 30 at home (17)54.745.9100.6+8.888%71%
Last 30 away (13)50.943.694.5+7.369%62%
Last 10 (10)50.242.792.9+7.580%50%
Last 5 (5)50.842.493.2+8.480%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.056.0107.0-5.00%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)53.144.597.7+8.683%66%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
NBL
89.5Avg total
44.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 94.5
Last 30 (30)46.347.493.7-1.143%47%
Last 30 at home (11)46.647.193.7-0.545%55%
Last 30 away (19)46.147.693.6-1.542%42%
Last 10 (10)44.245.389.5-1.130%30%
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.820%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.651.696.2-7.010%50%
vs Similar (13)46.544.891.3+1.662%38%
vs Weaker (7)48.346.194.4+2.157%57%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: New Zealand Breakers win
SYDN win
no forecast
@ 1.33
NEW win
no forecast
@ 3.65
1st half Spread Sydney -5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers +5
SYDN -5
no forecast
@ 1.87
NEW +5
no forecast
@ 1.97
1st half Over/Under 94.5 · main lineActual: Under 94.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Sydney 1st half total 49.5 · main lineActual: Sydney under 49.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
New Zealand Breakers 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: New Zealand Breakers over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: SYDN + total 93.5
SYDN & over
no forecast
@ 2.65
SYDN & under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half: Draw + total 93.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: NEW + total 93.5
NEW & over
no forecast
@ 6.25
NEW & under
no forecast
@ 6.25
1st half Over/Under 93Actual: Under 93
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Spread Sydney -6Actual: New Zealand Breakers +6
SYDN -6
no forecast
@ 2.03
NEW +6
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Sydney -4Actual: New Zealand Breakers +4
SYDN -4
no forecast
@ 1.78
NEW +4
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Over/Under 96.5Actual: Under 96.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Under 91.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.76
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Spread Sydney -7Actual: New Zealand Breakers +7
SYDN -7
no forecast
@ 2.19
NEW +7
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Sydney -2.5Actual: New Zealand Breakers +2.5
SYDN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
NEW +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation
SYDN
no forecast
@ 1.37
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
NEW
no forecast
@ 3.70

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SYDN win + total 185.5
🔒 Pro
NEW win + total 185.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SYDN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEW leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (SYDN:NEW ): SYDN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
New Zealand Breakers under 93.576.4%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+10.1ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 95.581.7%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+9.4ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 99.589.7%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+8.3ppLost
Sydney under 108.587.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.1ppLost
Under 19373.4%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+8.0ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 91.570.2%1.48
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.42		--+8.0ppLost
Sydney under 107.585.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+7.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 92.573.4%1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40		---+7.5ppLost
Under 195.577.7%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+7.3ppLost
Under 193.573.9%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+7.3ppLost
Sydney -2.577.6%1.28
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.24		--+7.2ppWon
Under 200.585.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+7.1ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 101.592.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+7.0ppLost
Sydney under 106.583.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.9ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 105.596.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.8ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 94.579.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+6.8ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 103.594.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.7ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 97.586.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+6.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 98.588.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+6.6ppLost
Under 205.591.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+6.6ppLost
Sydney under 104.577.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+6.6ppLost
Under 210.594.7%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.4ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 96.584.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.3ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 104.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.1ppWon
New Zealand Breakers under 106.596.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.1ppWon
Sydney over 80.594.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.1ppWon
Under 192.572.0%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39		-+6.0ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 107.597.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.9ppWon
Under 209.594.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.8ppLost
Sydney over 82.592.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.7ppWon
Under 199.584.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+5.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 100.591.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 102.593.7%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.7ppWon
Under 204.590.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.7ppLost
Sydney (regulation)80.6%1.21
1xBet
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
Betano
1.18		--+5.7ppLost
New Zealand Breakers under 108.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.6ppWon
Sydney over 86.585.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.5ppWon
Sydney under 102.571.1%1.41
Bet365
1.41		----+5.5ppLost
Under 19271.4%1.44
Marathon Bet
1.47
Bet365
1.42		---+5.4ppLost
Sydney over 84.589.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+5.3ppWon
Sydney +10.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
Sydney -280.1%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+5.1ppWon
Sydney over 87.582.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.9ppWon
Under 194.575.8%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+4.7ppLost
Sydney over 88.580.0%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+4.7ppWon
Overtime: no96.6%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.6ppLost
Sydney +15.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Sydney +9.595.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.6ppWon
Sydney +14.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
Sydney -1.580.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.1ppWon
Over 159.592.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.5ppWon
Sydney over 90.574.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.5ppWon
Sydney -3.575.0%1.31
1xBet
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28		-+3.3ppWon
Sydney -4.571.8%1.36
1xBet
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33		+2.8ppWon
Over 160.591.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.6ppWon
Sydney +4.589.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+2.6ppWon
Sydney win82.6%1.19
1xBet
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.22
WilliamHill
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19		+2.2ppWon
Sydney -377.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+2.2ppWon
Sydney -474.2%1.31
Marathon Bet
1.32
Bet365
1.30		---+2.1ppWon
Sydney -570.8%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36		---+2.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +20.580.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.9ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +1875.0%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+1.8ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +18.575.7%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+1.7ppWon
Over 164.587.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +24.588.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.4ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +1772.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+1.3ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 78.577.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+1.0ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +17.572.9%1.28
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.25		---+0.6ppWon
Over 165.585.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.3ppWon
Over 169.579.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.2ppWon
New Zealand Breakers +19.578.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.5ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 80.570.8%1.30
Bet365
1.30		-----0.6ppWon
Over 170.577.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.6ppWon
New Zealand Breakers over 79.574.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.1ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.125.5
57.8%
56.4%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
74.0%15.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWWWLWWLLW
New Zealand Breakers
WLLLLLWLWW
#1
League position
#8
+9.9
Net rating
+3.3
105.0
Offensive rating
102.8
95.0
Defensive rating
99.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
58.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
41.3%
58.0%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 102.8Defence95.0 · 99.5Shooting56.0% · 58.4%3-point %35.4% · 41.3%Ball care11.6% · 14.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
New Zealand Breakers wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Sydney v New Zealand Breakers101-102
09/01/26New Zealand Breakers v Sydney62-103
03/12/25New Zealand Breakers v Sydney95-90
09/11/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers79-72
04/10/25Sydney v New Zealand Breakers97-75
20/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney84-92
07/12/24New Zealand Breakers v Sydney83-98
27/10/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers89-93
28/02/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers76-83
14/01/24Sydney v New Zealand Breakers105-76
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ACairns Taipans82-84
08/11/26HSouth East Melbourne110-99
30/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers71-68
28/10/26APerth99-91
25/10/26AMelbourne United95-105
22/10/26AIllawarra Hawks108-82
17/10/26HPerth102-81
14/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers101-102
11/10/26HAdelaide78-84
30/09/26HBrisbane Bullets93-78
New Zealand Breakerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HBrisbane Bullets94-90 OT
06/11/26ATasmania JackJumpers77-79
02/11/26AMelbourne United74-94
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game97.6102.391.0
Allowed / game88.790.686.0
Point differential+8.9+11.7+5.0
Avg total186.2192.9177.0
Over 18658%57%60%
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %38%75%22%
Points / game89.897.086.6
Allowed / game89.988.590.6
Point differential-0.2+8.5-4.0
Avg total179.7185.5177.1
Over 18631%25%33%
Win by 10+23%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %8%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney128467%97.688.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers128467%93.990.2+3.7
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets136746%94.598.8-4.3
8 New Zealand Breakers135838%89.889.9-0.2
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sydney2124202224111
New Zealand Breakers2025192315102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.