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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#29
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 106
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 106
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 106
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
113-120 OT
113
120
-7
101avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
100-112
100
112
-12
95avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 106
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
108avg 106
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
108-123
108
123
-15
96avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
24-24
13-18
43-28
24-34
28-26
29-31
19-32
24-23
25-28
26-29
27-33
22-25
25-29
29-35
18-28
37-23
34-29
25-37
28-19
21-38
223.1Avg total
105.6Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.6118.1224.7-11.58%
Season at home (7)109.4118.3227.7-8.914%
Season away (5)102.6117.8220.4-15.20%
Last 10 (10)105.6117.5223.1-11.90%
Last 5 (5)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)111.0125.8236.8-14.88%
vs Similar (5)126.6120.4247.0+6.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 113
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
227.8Avg total
114.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (6)108.7106.2214.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.8117.4232.2-2.640%
vs Similar (13)113.9113.0226.9+0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)128.2117.0245.2+11.292%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A05/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A07/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H11/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H12/11
NBA
111.4Avg total
52.7Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.761.3117.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.660.4118.9-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)52.562.4114.9-9.97%-
Last 10 (10)52.758.7111.4-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)51.657.2108.8-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)54.862.2117.1-7.420%-
vs Similar (5)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.9118.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)57.953.7111.6+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.1114.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.4114.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.255.0112.2+2.260%-
vs Similar (13)58.856.5115.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.560.5124.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.026.2
52.4%
54.0%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.9
32.2%
35.1%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.419.8
78.0%
77.1%19.8
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.1%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLWL
#29
League position
#13
-9.3
Net rating
-1.6
104.2
Offensive rating
110.1
113.4
Defensive rating
111.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
11.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
32.2%
65.9%
Assist %
65.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 110.1Defence113.4 · 111.6Shooting50.7% · 53.6%3-point %32.2% · 32.2%Ball care16.4% · 11.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 16.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Jazz wins
10
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HOrlando Magic108-123
11/11/26HMiami Heat109-115
09/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-115
07/11/26ADallas Mavericks100-112
05/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans113-120 OT
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.6109.4102.6
Allowed / game118.1118.3117.8
Point differential-11.5-8.9-15.2
Avg total224.7227.7220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%14%20%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.5123.2108.7
Allowed / game113.3124.0106.2
Point differential+1.2-0.8+2.5
Avg total227.8247.2214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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