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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#27
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game118.9
vs
Position#17
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
137-156
137
156
-19
110avg 106
A08/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
147-101
147
101
+46
122avg 106
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-131
107
131
-24
71avg 106
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
103-123
103
123
-20
96avg 106
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
120-119
120
119
+1
117avg 106
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
123-132
123
132
-9
119avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 106
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
105avg 106
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
90-112
90
112
-22
80avg 106
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
97-119
97
119
-22
79avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
35-37
27-50
41-45
33-30
41-22
36-22
37-27
22-32
23-30
29-33
33-36
31-29
20-35
28-34
24-25
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
18-27
24-32
22-29
26-24
16-27
33-32
20-35
28-25
236.0Avg total
114.0Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)107.0118.9225.9-11.914%
Season at home (5)109.8118.0227.8-8.220%
Season away (2)100.0121.0221.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)114.0122.0236.0-8.020%
Last 5 (5)105.2118.0223.2-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)112.4127.0239.4-14.69%
vs Similar (8)119.9117.8237.6+2.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 112
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 112
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 112
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 112
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 112
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#24
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
223.7Avg total
109.5Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)113.3115.7229.0-2.350%
Season at home (3)121.7129.0250.7-7.333%
Season away (3)105.0102.3207.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)109.5114.2223.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)119.2119.6238.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)120.3119.0239.3+1.350%
vs Similar (14)116.4114.9231.3+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)129.3117.8247.1+11.590%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A08/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A03/11
NBA
116.2Avg total
57.0Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.061.2117.2-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.260.4118.6-2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)53.562.1115.6-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)57.059.2116.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.860.2114.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)55.863.1119.0-7.327%-
vs Similar (8)56.556.0112.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#24
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
112.4Avg total
55.8Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.8118.7+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.659.9121.5+1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)57.557.5114.9+0.054%-
Last 10 (10)55.856.6112.4-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)61.460.6122.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.258.8118.0+0.350%-
vs Similar (14)56.657.4114.0-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)64.860.8125.6+4.050%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.031.1
54.6%
54.0%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.6
32.7%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.618.4
74.8%
76.3%18.4
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.628.5
53.2%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.4
31.6%
35.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.723.0
80.1%
76.3%23.0
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLLWLLWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLLWLL
#27
League position
#17
-8.5
Net rating
-4.1
104.9
Offensive rating
106.6
113.3
Defensive rating
110.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
11.9%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
16.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.7%
3-point %
31.6%
68.4%
Assist %
64.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 106.6Defence113.3 · 110.8Shooting52.4% · 51.0%3-point %32.7% · 31.6%Ball care15.1% · 11.9%Off. rebounds21.2% · 16.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Jazz wins
10
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-119
31/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers90-112
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
22/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies103-123
13/04/26ALos Angeles Lakers107-131
11/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies147-101
08/04/26ANew Orleans Pelicans137-156
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%20%0%
Points / game107.0109.8100.0
Allowed / game118.9118.0121.0
Point differential-11.9-8.2-21.0
Avg total225.9227.8221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game113.3121.7105.0
Allowed / game115.7129.0102.3
Point differential-2.3-7.3+2.7
Avg total229.0250.7207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets87188%119.2106.4+12.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers87188%110.9105.1+5.8
3 Memphis Grizzlies76186%123.0110.1+12.9
4 Detroit Pistons76186%111.9100.3+11.6
5 Portland Trail Blazers65183%120.2109.3+10.8
6 Los Angeles Lakers86275%122.5115.2+7.2
7 San Antonio Spurs75271%117.6108.3+9.3
8 Boston Celtics75271%115.0109.1+5.9
9 Oklahoma City Thunder75271%108.0107.7+0.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves85362%119.0107.6+11.4
11 Golden State Warriors85362%117.5114.6+2.9
12 Toronto Raptors74357%119.1111.4+7.7
13 Cleveland Cavaliers74357%119.7116.1+3.6
14 Washington Wizards74357%109.4107.4+2.0
15 Dallas Mavericks74357%112.3112.3+0.0
16 Atlanta Hawks84450%115.2114.0+1.2
17 Denver Nuggets63350%113.3115.7-2.3
18 New Orleans Pelicans73443%121.9120.1+1.7
19 New York Knicks73443%106.4105.1+1.3
20 Charlotte Hornets83538%97.4108.6-11.2
21 Miami Heat72529%118.1123.9-5.7
22 Orlando Magic72529%105.7114.7-9.0
23 Indiana Pacers82625%111.8115.6-3.9
24 Phoenix Suns51420%112.2122.8-10.6
25 Los Angeles Clippers71614%108.1115.4-7.3
26 Brooklyn Nets71614%105.6114.1-8.6
27 Utah Jazz71614%107.0118.9-11.9
28 Milwaukee Bucks71614%111.1124.1-13.0
29 Sacramento Kings71614%110.1124.3-14.1
30 Chicago Bulls71614%112.6128.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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