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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record5-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
112-102
112
102
+10
99avg 106
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 106
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
26-31
21-25
31-25
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
38-29
23-25
19-21
13-23
226.3Avg total
112.4Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.5111.9226.4+2.545%
Season at home (5)114.6105.6220.2+9.040%
Season away (6)114.3117.2231.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)112.4113.9226.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.8223.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.0116.7220.7-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.6111.1223.7+1.546%
vs Weaker (11)125.2108.4233.5+16.882%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 113
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 113
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 113
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 113
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 113
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 113
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 113
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 113
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 113
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
227.8Avg total
114.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (6)108.7106.2214.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.8117.4232.2-2.640%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9113.0226.9+0.962%
vs Weaker (12)128.2117.0245.2+11.292%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A23/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H12/11
NBA
115.9Avg total
56.9Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.6111.7+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.651.8112.4+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)54.057.1111.1-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)56.959.0115.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.860.0116.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.756.5106.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.453.7111.1+3.754%-
vs Weaker (11)60.754.6115.4+6.164%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.9118.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)57.953.7111.6+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.1114.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.4114.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.255.0112.2+2.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.856.5115.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker (12)63.560.5124.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.227.9
49.6%
54.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.5
33.9%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.518.3
71.8%
77.1%18.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.1%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLWLWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLWL
#17
League position
#13
-0.9
Net rating
-1.6
105.5
Offensive rating
110.1
106.4
Defensive rating
111.6
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
12.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.9%
3-point %
32.2%
67.3%
Assist %
65.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 110.1Defence106.4 · 111.6Shooting50.1% · 53.6%3-point %33.9% · 32.2%Ball care12.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds24.8% · 16.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toronto Raptors wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBoston Celtics93-98
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
23/10/26AWashington Wizards112-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game114.5114.6114.3
Allowed / game111.9105.6117.2
Point differential+2.5+9.0-2.8
Avg total226.4220.2231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.5123.2108.7
Allowed / game113.3124.0106.2
Point differential+1.2-0.8+2.5
Avg total227.8247.2214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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