Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Denver Nuggets host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA. Pythia makes Denver Nuggets the favourite at 72% and projects 119-112, about 231 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Denver Nuggets are 7-4 this season (114.6 scored, 112.8 allowed a game), form WWLWW; Dallas Mavericks are 7-6 this season (113.5 scored, 113.3 allowed a game), form WWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win

71.8%fair 1.39

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Dallas Mavericks win

28.2%fair 3.55

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

141-135 OT

141

135

113avg 113

H25/10

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#11

114-134

114

134

-20

92avg 113

H27/10

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

104-91

104

+13

93avg 113

A29/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

127-120

127

120

120avg 113

A31/10

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

110-118

110

118

-8

96avg 113

H03/11

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

128-109

128

109

+19

134avg 113

H05/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

114-102

114

102

+12

109avg 113

A07/11

NBA

Houston Rockets

100-110

100

110

-10

87avg 113

A10/11

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

123-118

123

118

114avg 113

A12/11

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

116-108

116

108

117avg 113

A15/11

NBA

24-38

33-35

32-35

37-18

32-28

24-32

28-40

30-34

37-18

20-27

22-28

25-18

32-37

39-30

32-26

24-27

31-19

35-39

21-27

23-33

33-35

31-32

39-15

25-27

27-19

37-22

26-37

24-24

24-32

16-22

28-23

32-33

35-24

30-28

29-38

29-28

29-23

27-28

30-31

30-26

232.2Avg total

117.7Scored

114.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	114.6	112.8	227.5	+1.8	64%
Season at home (4)	123.2	124.0	247.2	-0.8	50%
Season away (7)	109.7	106.4	216.1	+3.3	71%
Last 10 (10)	117.7	114.5	232.2	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	116.2	109.4	225.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	115.0	113.2	228.2	+1.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	113.9	115.5	229.4	-1.5	54%
vs Weaker (13)	126.5	116.8	243.2	+9.7	92%

This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dallas Mavericks USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMavericks

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

113-109

113

109

111avg 104

A26/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

120-96

120

+24

114avg 104

H29/10

NBA

Houston Rockets

116-111

116

111

111avg 104

H31/10

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

100-115

100

115

-15

85avg 104

H03/11

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

111-112

111

112

-1

98avg 104

A05/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

112-100

112

100

+12

104avg 104

H07/11

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

130-93

130

+37

134avg 104

H09/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

125-122

125

122

120avg 104

H10/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

94-133

133

-39

78avg 104

A13/11

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#17

117-127

117

127

-10

100avg 104

A15/11

NBA

23-27

30-25

30-32

30-25

33-30

32-29

29-22

26-15

27-20

17-31

32-33

40-27

18-19

35-35

21-27

26-34

26-32

25-36

29-22

31-22

26-28

31-29

32-19

23-24

33-26

33-20

34-25

30-22

26-31

30-35

34-27

35-29

26-34

26-33

17-36

25-30

33-33

20-38

38-34

26-22

225.6Avg total

113.8Scored

111.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	113.5	113.3	226.8	+0.2	54%
Season at home (7)	115.6	108.4	224.0	+7.1	71%
Season away (6)	111.0	119.0	230.0	-8.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	113.8	111.8	225.6	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	115.6	115.0	230.6	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	115.2	125.9	241.1	-10.7	22%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	119.4	116.8	236.2	+2.7	67%
vs Weaker (3)	114.0	102.7	216.7	+11.3	67%

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 231 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 230-234 (11%).

Over/Under 222

Over 222

69.0%

Under 222

31.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 227

Over 227

58.6%

Under 227

41.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 232

Over 232

47.5%

Under 232

52.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Denver Nuggets total 110.5

Over 110.5

78.2%

Under 110.5

21.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Denver Nuggets total 114.5

Over 114.5

66.8%

Under 114.5

33.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Denver Nuggets total 118.5

Over 118.5

53.6%

Under 118.5

46.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Dallas Mavericks total 108.5

Over 108.5

60.2%

Under 108.5

39.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Dallas Mavericks total 112.5

Over 112.5

46.9%

Under 112.5

53.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Dallas Mavericks total 116.5

Over 116.5

34.1%

Under 116.5

65.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Denver Nuggets's side (positive = Denver Nuggets win). Pythia's expected margin is +7.6; Denver Nuggets win by 1+ in 65% of simulations.

Spread Denver Nuggets -3

DEN -3

66.6%

DAL +3

33.4%

Best 5 market prices

DEN

No market prices yet.

DAL

No market prices yet.

Spread Denver Nuggets 0

DEN 0

71.8%

DAL 0

28.2%

Best 5 market prices

DEN

No market prices yet.

DAL

No market prices yet.

Spread Denver Nuggets +3

DEN +3

77.2%

DAL -3

22.8%

Best 5 market prices

DEN

No market prices yet.

DAL

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.9	29.4	60.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.3	31.4	63.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.2	27.2	56.4	+2.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.4	27.3	57.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	26.6	56.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	25.5	56.5	+5.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	29.2	30.2	59.4	-0.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	32.5	29.9	62.4	+2.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.3	31.2	61.5	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.5	30.9	61.5	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.0	31.5	61.5	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	28.0	55.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	30.4	59.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	29.8	32.8	62.6	-3.0	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.8	30.4	63.2	+2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	24.3	50.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.0	28.8	57.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.4	31.0	60.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	26.3	54.9	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.2	29.5	58.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	26.4	54.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	26.5	28.2	54.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	28.9	27.8	56.8	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	29.8	29.9	59.8	-0.1	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.9	29.9	57.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	29.7	29.4	59.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.1	30.4	56.5	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	31.1	59.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	31.0	59.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	26.6	30.8	57.4	-4.2	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	28.8	28.8	57.6	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.0	28.0	61.0	+5.0	67%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

57-73

-16

H25/10

NBA

Golden State Warriors

#11

56-60

-4

H27/10

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

57-45

+12

A29/10

NBA

Phoenix Suns

#18

71-67

A31/10

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

66-58

H03/11

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#19

64-67

-3

H05/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

64-41

+23

A07/11

NBA

Houston Rockets

40-54

-14

A10/11

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

65-52

+13

A12/11

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#24

56-51

A15/11

NBA

116.4Avg total

59.6Scored

56.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.9	58.2	118.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	61.7	62.4	124.1	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	57.8	53.5	111.3	+4.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	59.6	56.8	116.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.8	53.0	110.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	57.5	53.8	111.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	58.2	58.0	116.2	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (13)	62.3	59.8	122.2	+2.5	54%	-

This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

53-52

A26/10

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

#12

65-59

H29/10

NBA

Houston Rockets

44-51

-7

H31/10

NBA

Sacramento Kings

#28

53-54

-1

H03/11

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

51-68

-17

A05/11

NBA

Utah Jazz

#29

57-57

H07/11

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

#26

66-46

+20

H09/11

NBA

Indiana Pacers

#21

56-66

-10

H10/11

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

52-67

-15

A13/11

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#17

53-71

-18

A15/11

NBA

114.1Avg total

55.0Scored

59.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.2	61.1	119.3	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	60.2	60.3	120.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	56.1	61.9	118.1	-5.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.0	59.1	114.1	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.8	61.4	118.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	56.4	63.6	119.9	-7.2	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	61.6	59.2	120.8	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	58.7	52.3	111.0	+6.3	33%	-

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.0	30.1	60.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	32.5	28.9	61.4	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.2	31.5	58.7	-4.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	30.0	58.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	28.8	59.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.2	30.5	57.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	28.5	28.5	57.0	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (13)	32.4	31.7	64.1	+0.7	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.8	31.1	60.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	31.3	62.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.9	30.9	59.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	27.7	57.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	28.2	59.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	30.2	32.9	63.1	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	29.2	30.1	59.3	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	23.7	52.7	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.3	26.5	54.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	30.0	26.4	56.4	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.4	26.6	53.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	26.8	54.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	27.6	55.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.2	29.0	59.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	26.3	28.2	54.5	-1.9	23%	-
vs Weaker (13)	29.7	24.0	53.7	+5.7	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.0	27.7	55.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.2	28.2	56.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.7	27.1	54.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.2	25.0	54.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	25.4	53.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	27.9	27.9	55.8	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	28.7	27.4	56.1	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.3	26.7	53.0	-0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.3	56.6	115.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	62.5	55.3	117.8	+7.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	53.6	58.1	111.7	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	56.6	56.8	113.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	58.4	56.4	114.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	57.5	59.5	117.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	54.8	56.7	111.5	-1.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (13)	62.1	55.7	117.8	+6.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.7	58.8	116.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	58.9	59.5	118.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	56.6	58.1	114.7	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.8	52.7	111.5	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	58.8	53.6	112.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	58.1	60.8	118.9	-2.8	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	57.9	57.6	115.4	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	55.3	50.3	105.7	+5.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.0	31.2	56.7%	54.0%	62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	10.1	32.2%	35.1%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	24.9	19.6	78.7%	77.3%	19.6

They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.5	30.1	57.3%	54.0%	60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.4	13.5	37.1%	35.1%	40.5
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.6	78.2%	77.3%	18.6

They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.0	28.9	54.5%	54.0%	57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.7	13.0	35.4%	35.1%	39.0
🏀 Free throws	20.5	17.1	83.4%	77.3%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.3	30.0	55.2%	54.0%	60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.6	11.4	31.1%	35.1%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.8	73.7%	77.3%	18.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.2	30.2	56.7%	54.0%	60.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	13.5	37.8%	35.1%	40.6
🏀 Free throws	25.4	20.5	80.7%	77.3%	20.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.3	29.7	52.7%	54.0%	59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	12.3	35.7%	35.1%	36.8
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.7	79.0%	77.3%	19.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.3	29.2	55.9%	54.0%	58.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.8	13.5	33.8%	35.1%	40.4
🏀 Free throws	22.2	17.2	77.4%	77.3%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.8	31.6	57.6%	54.0%	63.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.3	13.4	35.9%	35.1%	40.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.8	74.9%	77.3%	17.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Denver Nuggets

WWLWWLWWLW

Dallas Mavericks

LLWWWLLWWW

#10

League position

#14

-1.6

Net rating

+6.0

110.1

Offensive rating

112.7

111.6

Defensive rating

106.8

53.6%

Effective FG%

56.6%

54.0%

Opp. effective FG%

51.8%

11.1%

Turnover %

15.4%

16.8%

Off. rebound %

31.0%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.27

32.2%

3-point %

37.1%

65.9%

Assist %

63.1%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Denver Nuggets ■ Dallas Mavericks

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Denver Nuggets wins

Dallas Mavericks wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/26	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	142-135
15/01/26	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	109-118
24/12/25	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	131-130
02/12/25	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	121-131
15/01/25	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	99-118
12/01/25	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	101-112
23/11/24	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	120-123
11/11/24	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	122-120
17/03/24	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	107-105
19/12/23	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	130-104

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	A	New Orleans Pelicans	116-108
12/11/26	A	Memphis Grizzlies	123-118
10/11/26	A	Houston Rockets	100-110
07/11/26	A	Indiana Pacers	114-102
05/11/26	H	Toronto Raptors	128-109
03/11/26	H	Portland Trail Blazers	110-118
31/10/26	A	Phoenix Suns	127-120
29/10/26	A	New Orleans Pelicans	104-91
27/10/26	H	Golden State Warriors	114-134
25/10/26	H	New Orleans Pelicans	141-135 OT

Dallas Maverickslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	117-127
13/11/26	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	94-133
10/11/26	H	Indiana Pacers	125-122
09/11/26	H	Brooklyn Nets	130-93
07/11/26	H	Utah Jazz	112-100
05/11/26	A	San Antonio Spurs	111-112
03/11/26	H	Sacramento Kings	100-115
31/10/26	H	Houston Rockets	116-111
29/10/26	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	120-96
26/10/26	A	Miami Heat	113-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	64%	50%	71%
Points / game	114.6	123.2	109.7
Allowed / game	112.8	124.0	106.4
Point differential	+1.8	-0.8	+3.3
Avg total	227.5	247.2	216.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	25%	0%

Dallas Mavericks

NBA 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	54%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	WWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	71%	33%
Points / game	113.5	115.6	111.0
Allowed / game	113.3	108.4	119.0
Point differential	+0.2	+7.1	-8.0
Avg total	226.8	224.0	230.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	43%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Antonio Spurs	13	11	2	85%	119.5	106.2	+13.2
2	Los Angeles Lakers	13	11	2	85%	122.2	114.2	+7.9
3	Boston Celtics	12	10	2	83%	114.2	103.1	+11.2
4	Philadelphia 76ers	14	11	3	79%	112.6	110.4	+2.1
5	Houston Rockets	13	10	3	77%	116.2	107.4	+8.8
6	Portland Trail Blazers	12	9	3	75%	119.6	111.8	+7.8
7	Minnesota Timberwolves	13	9	4	69%	118.3	106.8	+11.5
8	Memphis Grizzlies	13	9	4	69%	120.6	111.7	+8.9
9	Detroit Pistons	12	8	4	67%	115.7	110.2	+5.4
10	Denver Nuggets	11	7	4	64%	114.6	112.8	+1.8
11	Golden State Warriors	13	8	5	62%	116.7	112.4	+4.3
12	Oklahoma City Thunder	13	8	5	62%	111.2	107.4	+3.8
13	Atlanta Hawks	13	7	6	54%	118.2	116.8	+1.3
14	Dallas Mavericks	13	7	6	54%	113.5	113.3	+0.2
15	Miami Heat	13	7	6	54%	118.7	119.8	-1.2
16	New York Knicks	12	6	6	50%	109.8	103.7	+6.1
17	Cleveland Cavaliers	14	7	7	50%	117.5	115.9	+1.6
18	Phoenix Suns	11	5	6	45%	111.7	116.1	-4.4
19	Toronto Raptors	12	5	7	42%	114.2	112.8	+1.4
20	Orlando Magic	12	5	7	42%	108.3	112.8	-4.4
21	Indiana Pacers	14	5	9	36%	112.1	114.5	-2.4
22	Charlotte Hornets	12	4	8	33%	98.6	109.6	-11.0
23	Washington Wizards	13	4	9	31%	110.0	115.8	-5.8
24	New Orleans Pelicans	14	4	10	29%	115.9	124.9	-9.1
25	Los Angeles Clippers	11	3	8	27%	112.3	117.5	-5.3
26	Brooklyn Nets	12	3	9	25%	110.2	116.4	-6.2
27	Chicago Bulls	12	3	9	25%	114.6	125.9	-11.3
28	Sacramento Kings	12	1	11	8%	108.2	120.9	-12.8
29	Utah Jazz	13	1	12	8%	107.5	118.6	-11.2
30	Milwaukee Bucks	13	1	12	8%	106.2	120.2	-14.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

← all games of the day

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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