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Thorl vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-98
29-24 22-18 12-23 15-33
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 16· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Thorl v Keflavik
30 Jan 2026
THOR78
KEFL98
27 Mar 2025
THOR114
KEFL119
04 Apr 2024
THOR106
KEFL100
21 Nov 2022
THOR116
KEFL102
11 Feb 2022
THOR114
KEFL89
25 Jun 2021
THOR81
KEFL66
19 Jun 2021
THOR88
KEFL83
07 Mar 2021
THOR88
KEFL94
13 Dec 2019
THOR89
KEFL81
07 Mar 2019
THOR99
KEFL103
02 Feb 2018
THOR76
KEFL79
14 Oct 2016
THOR74
KEFL71
16 Oct 2015
THOR101
KEFL104
24 Oct 2014
THOR80
KEFL75
07 Feb 2014
THOR93
KEFL94
07 Dec 2012
THOR108
KEFL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
100-98
100
98
+2
92avg 84
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 84
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
99-97
99
97
+2
91avg 84
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
85-110
85
110
-25
79avg 84
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 84
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
94-106
94
106
-12
87avg 84
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 84
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 84
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
123-126 OT
123
126
-3
no box
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
71-80 OT
71
80
-9
58avg 84
A22/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
29-31
22-23
26-26
22-22
18-21
26-37
16-16
25-22
25-31
24-30
25-14
26-34
19-25
19-20
21-31
27-33
26-18
20-19
20-22
23-19
28-26
24-26
19-35
26-20
32-21
23-19
24-15
22-28
23-15
15-24
15-30
30-31
35-27
29-20
17-33
19-18
16-12
13-23
17-12
190.4Avg total
92.7Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.997.9188.7-7.027%
Season at home (7)101.1101.4202.6-0.343%
Season away (8)81.994.8176.6-12.912%
Last 10 (10)92.797.7190.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)93.696.8190.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)92.097.6189.6-5.629%
vs Similar (8)97.499.2196.6-1.925%
vs Weaker (4)95.596.5192.0-1.050%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
104avg 85
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
91-111
91
111
-20
88avg 85
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
102-71
102
71
+31
108avg 85
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 85
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 85
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
94avg 85
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
98-116
98
116
-18
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 85
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
95avg 85
H26/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
27-25
27-19
19-26
25-22
26-19
24-20
29-24
24-30
20-25
24-32
23-24
29-18
20-18
22-21
31-14
15-14
27-30
21-17
30-22
24-29
21-25
25-25
16-10
23-27
25-21
23-25
23-20
15-36
35-33
21-27
27-20
19-28
24-27
28-24
22-23
26-9
21-28
28-24
23-20
188.1Avg total
96.0Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)94.090.9184.9+3.160%
Season at home (9)95.083.2178.2+11.889%
Season away (6)92.5102.5195.0-10.017%
Last 10 (10)96.092.1188.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)93.896.2190.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.395.6183.9-7.436%
vs Similar (11)93.595.4188.9-1.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.988.1183.0+6.771%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +4.0+4.0
ThorlKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H20/11
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A06/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H18/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H03/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A09/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H15/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A22/01
Premier league
96.6Avg total
49.4Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.148.596.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.746.495.1+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)47.550.598.0-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)49.447.296.6+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.843.494.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)45.646.191.8-0.547%-
vs Similar (8)50.551.9102.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)53.850.2104.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H26/01
Premier league
95.8Avg total
47.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.048.595.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.743.990.7+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)47.253.1100.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)46.652.699.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.750.495.1-5.636%-
vs Similar (11)47.849.597.4-1.727%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.945.794.6+3.171%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.5
51.2%
54.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.3
36.7%
34.0%42.9
🏀 Free throws15.811.9
75.3%
74.2%11.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.2
55.2%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.8
33.3%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws25.620.6
80.5%
74.2%20.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLLWLWLWLW
Keflavik
WLLWLWWLWW
#11
League position
#5
-6.0
Net rating
+6.9
103.9
Offensive rating
110.6
110.0
Defensive rating
103.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
33.3%
58.8%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 110.6Defence110.0 · 103.7Shooting53.3% · 53.0%3-point %36.7% · 33.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Thorl   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Thorl wins
3
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Keflavik v Thorl86-82
27/03/25Thorl v Keflavik114-119
19/12/24Keflavik v Thorl105-86
04/04/24Thorl v Keflavik106-100
15/12/23Keflavik v Thorl102-103
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26AValur71-80 OT
15/01/26HKR Basket123-126 OT
09/01/26AAlftanes75-97
03/01/26HAkranes IA105-75
18/12/25HGrindavik94-106
12/12/25ANjardvik93-92
06/12/25AArmann85-110
20/11/25HStjarnan99-97
14/11/25ATindastoll82-96
06/11/25HIR Reykjavik100-98
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26HTindastoll98-81
22/01/26HArmann93-102
15/01/26AStjarnan98-116
12/01/26AValur94-93
04/01/26AIR Reykjavik86-89
18/12/25HNjardvik93-83
14/12/25AAkranes IA102-71
11/12/25AValur91-111
05/12/25HKR Basket104-85
21/11/25HAlftanes101-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game90.9101.181.9
Allowed / game97.9101.494.8
Point differential-7.0-0.3-12.9
Avg total188.7202.6176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %20%29%12%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%89%17%
Points / game94.095.092.5
Allowed / game90.983.2102.5
Point differential+3.1+11.8-10.0
Avg total184.9178.2195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1614288%92.686.9+5.7
2 Tindastoll1511473%102.189.7+12.3
3 Stjarnan1510567%102.994.9+8.0
4 Valur1610662%90.189.3+0.8
5 Keflavik159660%94.090.9+3.1
6 KR Basket169756%100.495.8+4.7
7 Alftanes167944%91.489.2+2.2
8 IR Reykjavik167944%91.492.1-0.7
9 Njardvik1661038%95.896.8-1.0
10 Thorl1541127%90.997.9-7.0
11 Armann1641225%87.1101.2-14.2
12 Akranes IA1631319%87.1100.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl2922121578
Keflavik2418233398
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