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Varese vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 93-78
23-22 19-29 25-18 26-9
Position#10
Record7-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record7-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Pesaro
11 Feb 2024
VAR91
PES80
11 Mar 2023
VAR110
PES99
20 Mar 2022
VAR76
PES87
14 Mar 2021
VAR81
PES68
15 Dec 2019
VAR103
PES87
28 Apr 2019
VAR81
PES75
31 Mar 2018
VAR88
PES68
12 Mar 2017
VAR93
PES78
18 Oct 2015
VAR88
PES81
01 Feb 2015
VAR70
PES80
01 Dec 2013
VAR91
PES77
28 Apr 2013
VAR85
PES70
14 Apr 2012
VAR63
PES67
17 Oct 2010
VAR87
PES78
24 Jan 2010
VAR89
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
111avg 103
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
95avg 103
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
110avg 103
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
109avg 103
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
84avg 103
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
108avg 103
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
108avg 103
A05/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
20-21
14-15
16-29
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
153.8Avg total
75.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.980.9156.8-5.033%
Season at home (11)78.580.1158.6-1.536%
Season away (10)73.081.7154.7-8.730%
Last 10 (10)75.078.8153.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)76.680.6157.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.082.5153.5-11.518%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.778.8152.5-5.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
108avg 96
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
82avg 96
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
105avg 96
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
90avg 96
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
92avg 96
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 96
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 96
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
85avg 96
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
95avg 96
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
83avg 96
A05/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
21-16
15-25
11-17
15-21
10-23
20-11
22-21
24-16
22-22
14-20
14-18
11-25
147.8Avg total
70.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.078.2151.2-5.133%
Season at home (11)73.973.2147.1+0.745%
Season away (10)72.183.7155.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)70.877.0147.8-6.240%
Last 5 (5)68.474.8143.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.280.8155.1-6.623%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.776.1151.8-0.453%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
VaresePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
80.8Avg total
39.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.878.2-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.578.4-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)34.943.178.0-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.380.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.843.978.6-9.16%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.539.177.6-0.546%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/03
Lega A
72.8Avg total
33.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.575.1-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.435.070.4+0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.680.4-4.714%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.572.8-6.20%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.871.6-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.175.1-3.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.038.175.1-1.124%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.6
47.0%
51.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.7
72.2%
74.0%12.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.2
47.8%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.5
31.2%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.0
76.1%
74.0%14.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLWLLWWL
Pesaro
LWLWLLWLLW
#10
League position
#15
-10.4
Net rating
-8.2
98.1
Offensive rating
94.5
108.5
Defensive rating
102.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
47.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
31.2%
48.1%
Assist %
42.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 94.5Defence108.5 · 102.7Shooting47.6% · 47.5%3-point %32.6% · 31.2%Ball care20.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
13/11/16Pesaro v Varese83-87
31/01/16Pesaro v Varese76-71
18/10/15Varese v Pesaro88-81
01/02/15Varese v Pesaro70-80
19/10/14Pesaro v Varese85-96
16/03/14Pesaro v Varese79-86
01/12/13Varese v Pesaro91-77
28/04/13Varese v Pesaro85-70
06/01/13Pesaro v Varese69-82
14/04/12Varese v Pesaro63-67
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61
07/01/17HTorino79-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17AVenezia61-85
26/02/17HSassari76-71
12/02/17AAvellino62-79
05/02/17HCantu78-73
29/01/17HTorino65-66
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game75.978.573.0
Allowed / game80.980.181.7
Point differential-5.0-1.5-8.7
Avg total156.8158.6154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWLWW45%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%45%20%
Points / game73.073.972.1
Allowed / game78.273.283.7
Point differential-5.1+0.7-11.6
Avg total151.2147.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)38% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%87.879.0+8.8
2 Avellino2214864%80.075.6+4.3
3 Venezia2113862%81.779.0+2.7
4 Sassari2112957%77.273.2+4.0
5 Trento2112957%75.671.8+3.8
6 Capo d'Orlando2112957%77.977.4+0.5
7 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
8 Reggiana22111150%81.482.6-1.2
9 Pistoia21101148%75.176.3-1.2
10 Torino21101148%81.885.3-3.5
11 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
12 Caserta2191243%80.083.6-3.7
13 Cantu2181338%77.681.5-3.9
14 Varese2171433%75.980.9-5.0
15 Pesaro2171433%73.078.2-5.1
16 Cremona2161529%77.880.0-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2319252693
Pesaro222918978
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