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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-80
20-18 16-28 18-11 29-23
Position#10
Record11-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.7
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record15-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game73.3
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
110avg 104
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
109avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
84avg 104
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
108avg 104
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
108avg 104
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
120avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
117avg 104
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
100avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
114avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
84avg 104
A09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
23-22
19-29
25-18
26-9
21-23
21-11
25-20
20-24
20-20
23-16
20-22
11-14
26-24
20-20
23-14
16-14
7-18
21-20
17-20
23-15
156.6Avg total
79.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.079.7156.6-2.742%
Season at home (13)79.379.3158.6+0.046%
Season away (13)74.680.0154.6-5.438%
Last 10 (10)79.077.6156.6+1.470%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.881.8153.7-10.023%
vs Similar (17)76.576.5153.0+0.153%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
110avg 104
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
65-57
65
57
+8
89avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
96avg 104
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
114avg 104
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
76-66
76
66
+10
104avg 104
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
67-76
67
76
-9
99avg 104
A13/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H18/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
97-91
97
91
+6
128avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-76
98
76
+22
126avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
57-66
57
66
-9
84avg 104
H08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
17-15
17-22
23-13
14-11
17-14
16-13
18-19
17-15
20-18
18-16
16-14
17-25
23-19
19-10
28-21
23-13
17-19
12-22
24-12
16-22
21-19
13-15
17-20
30-21
31-22
16-31
22-17
21-24
29-29
20-15
27-23
22-24
27-16
25-18
24-18
15-20
18-10
14-18
10-18
151.5Avg total
79.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.173.3150.5+3.858%
Season at home (13)79.274.4153.5+4.862%
Season away (13)75.172.3147.4+2.854%
Last 10 (10)79.572.0151.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)83.680.0163.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (10)72.068.8140.8+3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.776.0155.7+3.765%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/04
Lega A
80.9Avg total
39.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.178.6-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.480.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.877.0-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.280.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.680.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.843.478.2-8.68%-
vs Similar (17)39.639.479.0+0.353%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A13/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H18/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H26/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/04
Lega A
78.1Avg total
41.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.375.1+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.177.8+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)37.335.572.8+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.578.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.487.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (10)35.731.467.1+4.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.238.980.2+2.359%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.7
49.2%
51.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.16.8
35.6%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
74.0%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.3
51.1%
51.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.312.8
66.3%
74.0%12.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWWWWLLW
Trento
LWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#4
+1.3
Net rating
+10.2
104.2
Offensive rating
107.1
102.9
Defensive rating
96.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
33.3%
45.6%
Assist %
51.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.1Defence102.9 · 96.9Shooting50.5% · 50.7%3-point %35.6% · 33.3%Ball care18.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17AReggiana68-73
02/04/17ACantu85-72
26/03/17HCapo d'Orlando74-72
19/03/17ABrescia87-78
12/03/17HPesaro93-78
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/17HSassari57-66
02/04/17AOlimpia Milano98-76
26/03/17HPesaro97-91
18/03/17HPistoia99-91
13/03/17ATorino67-76
04/03/17HCaserta76-66
26/02/17AReggiana87-75
12/02/17ACapo d'Orlando71-63
05/02/17HVenezia65-57
29/01/17ACremona78-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLLWWW46%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game77.079.374.6
Allowed / game79.779.380.0
Point differential-2.7+0.0-5.4
Avg total156.6158.6154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%62%54%
Points / game77.179.275.1
Allowed / game73.374.472.3
Point differential+3.8+4.8+2.8
Avg total150.5153.5147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino26161062%79.976.4+3.5
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana26151158%81.580.6+1.0
7 Capo d'Orlando26141254%76.476.5-0.2
8 Pistoia26131350%76.777.0-0.3
9 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
10 Brescia26121446%79.480.6-1.2
11 Torino26121446%81.584.7-3.2
12 Varese26111542%77.079.7-2.7
13 Caserta26101638%78.281.4-3.2
14 Cantu26101638%78.282.0-3.8
15 Pesaro2681831%74.780.3-5.7
16 Cremona2671927%77.880.0-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2016182983
Trento1828112380
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