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Varese vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 78-75
28-20 17-15 17-20 16-20
Position#10
Record12-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record8-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.2
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Cremona
26 Apr 2026
VAR84
CRE75
06 Apr 2025
VAR85
CRE87
03 Dec 2023
VAR68
CRE75
06 Mar 2022
VAR90
CRE78
12 Sep 2021
VAR86
CRE78
07 Feb 2021
VAR110
CRE105
13 Apr 2020
VAR v CRE
upcoming
17 Mar 2019
VAR83
CRE64
06 May 2018
VAR89
CRE79
30 Apr 2017
VAR78
CRE75
23 Dec 2015
VAR87
CRE82
22 Mar 2015
VAR86
CRE82
27 Apr 2014
VAR78
CRE70
30 Dec 2012
VAR94
CRE84
29 Apr 2012
VAR78
CRE66
06 Mar 2011
VAR76
CRE71
08 May 2010
VAR98
CRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
84avg 103
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
108avg 103
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
108avg 103
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
120avg 103
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
117avg 103
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
100avg 103
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
114avg 103
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
84avg 103
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
110avg 103
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
91avg 103
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
23-22
19-29
25-18
26-9
21-23
21-11
25-20
20-24
20-20
23-16
20-22
11-14
26-24
20-20
23-14
16-14
7-18
21-20
17-20
23-15
20-18
16-28
18-11
29-23
23-29
24-22
20-11
14-25
155.1Avg total
78.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.379.9157.2-2.643%
Season at home (14)79.679.4158.9+0.250%
Season away (14)75.180.5155.6-5.436%
Last 10 (10)78.676.5155.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)78.276.8155.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.282.1155.3-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.876.5153.3+0.353%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
117-82
117
82
+35
153avg 103
H12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
120avg 103
H26/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
82-94
82
94
-12
110avg 103
A05/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
102avg 103
H12/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
99avg 103
A19/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
106avg 103
H26/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
73-63
73
63
+10
97avg 103
A02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
104avg 103
H09/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
105avg 103
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
93-82
93
82
+11
97avg 103
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
32-15
27-17
28-31
27-18
24-17
23-21
17-26
21-25
22-30
18-14
21-25
22-18
17-17
23-17
20-34
20-23
21-25
18-19
19-19
27-27
21-22
20-15
9-14
14-17
16-16
20-14
23-16
21-24
17-17
18-16
24-29
19-21
16-22
24-22
19-20
29-14
26-19
13-27
25-22
167.5Avg total
85.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.480.2158.6-1.929%
Season at home (14)81.380.4161.7+0.936%
Season away (14)75.480.1155.5-4.621%
Last 10 (10)85.182.4167.5+2.740%
Last 5 (5)80.278.8159.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.183.0158.1-7.912%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.579.5159.0-0.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
VareseCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/04
Lega A
80.5Avg total
39.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.380.1-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.842.381.1-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.280.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.744.179.7-8.47%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.940.580.4-0.547%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A05/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H09/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H23/04
Lega A
84.8Avg total
44.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.979.8+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.480.7+6.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.379.0-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.684.8+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.941.179.0-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.537.679.0+3.952%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.5
52.6%
51.1%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.96.7
35.4%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.8
71.9%
74.0%12.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.7
59.1%
51.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.3
40.3%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
74.0%11.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWWWWWWL
Cremona
WLLWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#16
+2.3
Net rating
+4.6
107.4
Offensive rating
117.1
105.1
Defensive rating
112.5
52.8%
Effective FG%
59.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
40.3%
48.3%
Assist %
48.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 117.1Defence105.1 · 112.5Shooting52.8% · 59.6%3-point %35.4% · 40.3%Ball care17.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Varese wins
2
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
30/11/14Cremona v Varese64-53
27/04/14Varese v Cremona78-70
29/12/13Cremona v Varese75-94
21/04/13Cremona v Varese88-92
30/12/12Varese v Cremona94-84
29/04/12Varese v Cremona78-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17AVenezia81-87
15/04/17HTrento83-80
09/04/17AReggiana68-73
02/04/17ACantu85-72
26/03/17HCapo d'Orlando74-72
19/03/17ABrescia87-78
12/03/17HPesaro93-78
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17HCantu93-82
15/04/17AAvellino78-85
09/04/17HBrescia80-86
02/04/17APesaro73-63
26/03/17HSassari77-78
19/03/17AOlimpia Milano78-86
12/03/17HCapo d'Orlando82-86
05/03/17ABrindisi82-94
26/02/17HVenezia91-82
12/02/17HTorino117-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game77.379.675.1
Allowed / game79.979.480.5
Point differential-2.6+0.2-5.4
Avg total157.2158.9155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game78.481.375.4
Allowed / game80.280.480.1
Point differential-1.9+0.9-4.6
Avg total158.6161.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%86.379.4+6.9
2 Venezia2819968%81.177.9+3.3
3 Avellino28181064%79.976.2+3.8
4 Sassari28171161%76.673.3+3.4
5 Trento28161257%78.073.2+4.8
6 Reggiana28161257%81.881.2+0.6
7 Pistoia28141450%76.977.1-0.2
8 Capo d'Orlando28141450%75.676.4-0.8
9 Brindisi28131546%83.782.3+1.4
10 Varese28121643%77.379.9-2.6
11 Brescia28121643%78.681.4-2.7
12 Torino28121643%81.385.0-3.6
13 Caserta28111739%78.081.5-3.4
14 Cantu28111739%78.182.0-3.9
15 Pesaro2891932%75.280.1-4.9
16 Cremona2882029%78.480.2-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2817171678
Cremona2015202075
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