PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 135-102
41-23 34-15 36-32 24-32
Position#8
Record24-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game123.6
Allowed / game119.6
vs
Position#1
Record29-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game121.6
Allowed / game110.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
08 Nov 2026
MIL v BOS
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
MIL101
BOS133
02 Mar 2026
MIL81
BOS108
11 Dec 2025
MIL116
BOS101
10 Nov 2024
MIL107
BOS113
09 Apr 2024
MIL104
BOS91
11 Jan 2024
MIL135
BOS102
30 Mar 2023
MIL99
BOS140
14 Feb 2023
MIL131
BOS125
13 May 2022
MIL95
BOS108
09 May 2022
MIL108
BOS116
07 May 2022
MIL103
BOS101
07 Apr 2022
MIL127
BOS121
25 Dec 2021
MIL117
BOS113
26 Mar 2021
MIL114
BOS122
24 Mar 2021
MIL121
BOS119
31 Jul 2020
MIL119
BOS112
12 Mar 2020
MIL v BOS
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
MIL128
BOS123
08 May 2019
MIL116
BOS91
30 Apr 2019
MIL123
BOS102
28 Apr 2019
MIL90
BOS112
21 Feb 2019
MIL98
BOS97
26 Apr 2018
MIL97
BOS86
22 Apr 2018
MIL104
BOS102
20 Apr 2018
MIL116
BOS92
03 Apr 2018
MIL106
BOS102
26 Oct 2017
MIL89
BOS96
28 Jan 2017
MIL108
BOS112
09 Feb 2016
MIL112
BOS111
10 Nov 2015
MIL83
BOS99
15 Apr 2015
MIL100
BOS105
07 Feb 2015
MIL96
BOS93
10 Feb 2014
MIL86
BOS102
30 Nov 2013
MIL92
BOS85
01 Dec 2012
MIL91
BOS88
10 Nov 2012
MIL92
BOS96
22 Mar 2012
MIL91
BOS100
06 Mar 2011
MIL83
BOS89
10 Apr 2010
MIL90
BOS105
09 Mar 2010
MIL86
BOS84
15 Mar 2009
MIL86
BOS77
15 Nov 2008
MIL97
BOS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 114
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-111
130
111
+19
127avg 114
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-129
122
129
-7
112avg 114
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
144-122
144
122
+22
149avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-122
113
122
-9
104avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
130-142
130
142
-12
123avg 114
A04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
125-121
125
121
+4
118avg 114
A05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
108-112
108
112
-4
98avg 114
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
116-132
116
132
-16
106avg 114
H09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
31-25
32-26
27-32
36-27
26-27
38-33
30-24
27-36
24-26
36-36
35-31
32-31
34-28
34-33
44-30
31-37
21-22
40-21
27-31
32-25
30-31
26-28
25-38
31-33
37-33
29-47
33-29
38-31
26-28
29-34
32-28
18-29
25-34
30-26
35-23
23-41
23-36
44-23
26-32
244.1Avg total
122.5Scored
121.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)123.6119.6243.2+4.069%
Season at home (18)123.7118.9242.7+4.883%
Season away (17)123.5120.2243.7+3.253%
Last 10 (10)122.5121.6244.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)118.4125.8244.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)116.0119.0235.0-3.00%
vs Similar (16)122.2120.7242.9+1.656%
vs Weaker (13)129.5118.6248.1+10.892%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
145-108
145
108
+37
145avg 112
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
126-115
126
115
+11
122avg 112
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
115avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
121avg 112
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
134-101
134
101
+33
135avg 112
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
123-127
123
127
-4
120avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-97
126
97
+29
121avg 112
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-101
118
101
+17
116avg 112
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
131-133
131
133
-2
122avg 112
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
127-120 OT
127
120
+7
117avg 112
H11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
40-30
38-30
39-27
32-23
26-34
41-33
27-25
27-30
20-36
35-16
26-26
35-20
33-33
31-33
21-32
30-22
35-31
40-23
29-25
29-31
32-27
25-40
37-29
30-15
41-25
36-35
19-22
29-17
29-32
26-32
34-20
34-33
34-26
33-44
30-30
32-27
22-26
25-32
32-26
242.0Avg total
127.8Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)121.6110.7232.2+10.981%
Season at home (18)123.3108.7232.0+14.6100%
Season away (18)119.9112.6232.5+7.361%
Last 10 (10)127.8114.2242.0+13.680%
Last 5 (5)125.0115.6240.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.1110.4231.6+10.783%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
Milwaukee BucksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
46-77
46
77
-31
H09/01
NBA
118.4Avg total
57.3Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.360.3121.6+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)63.960.2124.1+3.779%-
Last 30 away (16)59.060.4119.4-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)57.361.1118.4-3.860%-
Last 5 (5)56.664.2120.8-7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.067.0120.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (16)59.659.6119.2+0.162%-
vs Weaker (13)64.060.8124.8+3.269%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
61.8Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.755.0117.7+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.154.6117.7+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)62.155.6117.7+6.686%-
Last 10 (10)61.853.9115.7+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)62.451.8114.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.754.9117.7+7.879%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.030.0
57.7%
54.4%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.213.7
36.8%
36.3%41.1
🏀 Free throws27.121.4
79.0%
78.2%21.4
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 127.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.228.5
57.9%
54.4%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.716.5
38.6%
36.3%49.5
🏀 Free throws26.721.3
79.8%
78.2%21.3
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWLWW
Boston Celtics
WLWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+13.2
117.6
Offensive rating
124.1
116.7
Defensive rating
110.9
56.7%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.8%
Turnover %
11.7%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
38.6%
63.8%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 124.1Defence116.7 · 110.9Shooting56.7% · 57.9%3-point %36.8% · 38.6%Ball care11.8% · 11.7%Off. rebounds21.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HUtah Jazz116-132
07/01/24AHouston Rockets108-112
05/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs125-121
04/01/24AIndiana Pacers130-142
02/01/24HIndiana Pacers113-122
30/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers119-111
28/12/23ABrooklyn Nets144-122
25/12/23ANew York Knicks122-129
23/12/23ANew York Knicks130-111
22/12/23HOrlando Magic118-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves127-120 OT
09/01/24AIndiana Pacers131-133
07/01/24AIndiana Pacers118-101
06/01/24HUtah Jazz126-97
03/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder123-127
01/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs134-101
30/12/23HToronto Raptors120-118
29/12/23HDetroit Pistons128-122 OT
25/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers126-115
23/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers145-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL69%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %69%83%53%
Points / game123.6123.7123.5
Allowed / game119.6118.9120.2
Point differential+4.0+4.8+3.2
Avg total243.2242.7243.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %81%100%61%
Points / game121.6123.3119.9
Allowed / game110.7108.7112.6
Point differential+10.9+14.6+7.3
Avg total232.2232.0232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %14%11%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3629781%121.6110.7+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves37261170%113.1107.8+5.4
3 Oklahoma City Thunder36251169%122.3114.8+7.6
4 Milwaukee Bucks35241169%123.6119.6+4.0
5 Denver Nuggets39261367%115.9111.0+4.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers37241365%117.4111.8+5.6
7 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%119.9112.1+7.8
8 Sacramento Kings36231364%118.3116.9+1.3
9 New Orleans Pelicans36221461%116.9110.7+6.2
10 New York Knicks36221461%115.5110.7+4.8
11 Cleveland Cavaliers37221559%113.2111.3+1.9
12 Dallas Mavericks38221658%118.6116.9+1.7
13 Indiana Pacers35201557%126.7124.3+2.4
14 Orlando Magic37211657%113.3112.0+1.3
15 Miami Heat37211657%112.9112.1+0.8
16 Phoenix Suns36191753%115.6114.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets36181850%112.7110.6+2.1
18 Utah Jazz39192049%115.3118.5-3.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers36171947%113.7116.1-2.4
20 Chicago Bulls39182146%109.7111.7-2.0
21 Golden State Warriors37172046%116.8117.6-0.8
22 Brooklyn Nets38162242%114.6116.4-1.8
23 Atlanta Hawks36152142%122.7124.0-1.3
24 Toronto Raptors38152339%115.6116.4-0.8
25 Memphis Grizzlies37142338%108.1113.2-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers36102628%108.3116.2-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3582723%109.2120.1-10.9
28 San Antonio Spurs3663017%111.9122.3-10.4
29 Washington Wizards3763116%115.2125.9-10.8
30 Detroit Pistons383358%111.3123.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks41343624135
Boston Celtics23153232102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.