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Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-116
32-25 19-35 29-38 27-18
Position#11
Record34-22
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#1
Record43-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder
10 Mar 2027
TOR v OKC
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
TOR107
OKC116
05 Dec 2024
TOR92
OKC129
22 Mar 2024
TOR103
OKC123
16 Mar 2023
TOR128
OKC111
08 Dec 2021
TOR109
OKC110
18 Apr 2021
TOR112
OKC106
29 Dec 2019
TOR97
OKC98
22 Mar 2019
TOR109
OKC116
18 Mar 2018
TOR125
OKC132
16 Mar 2017
TOR102
OKC123
28 Mar 2016
TOR100
OKC119
04 Nov 2014
TOR100
OKC88
21 Mar 2014
TOR118
OKC119
06 Jan 2013
TOR92
OKC104
03 Dec 2010
TOR111
OKC99
19 Mar 2010
TOR89
OKC115
27 Mar 2009
TOR112
OKC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
103-101
103
101
+2
99avg 106
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
92-119
92
119
-27
83avg 106
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-130
120
130
-10
118avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
107-100
107
100
+7
97avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
126-128
126
128
-2
122avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
123-107
123
107
+16
123avg 106
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
95-113
95
113
-18
87avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
110-101
110
101
+9
100avg 106
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-94
122
94
+28
118avg 106
A22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
29-20
25-31
24-20
28-18
23-29
19-35
22-37
28-29
29-21
42-36
21-44
28-23
23-33
35-28
21-16
35-32
37-27
32-35
22-34
33-25
32-33
35-30
23-19
21-20
25-28
44-26
32-30
19-29
33-38
22-27
21-19
25-23
28-22
34-33
23-23
22-27
38-24
32-22
30-21
221.7Avg total
112.0Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)114.1111.6225.7+2.461%
Season at home (28)114.2112.5226.6+1.757%
Season away (28)114.0110.8224.8+3.264%
Last 10 (10)112.0109.7221.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)114.4103.8218.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)100.6114.0214.6-13.420%
vs Similar (15)116.1112.5228.5+3.660%
vs Weaker (10)113.0105.5218.5+7.580%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-123
111
123
-12
103avg 110
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
111avg 110
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
128-92
128
92
+36
129avg 110
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-116
106
116
-10
96avg 110
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
106-112
106
112
-6
98avg 110
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-110
119
110
+9
110avg 110
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
136-109
136
109
+27
132avg 110
A12/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
93-110
93
110
-17
85avg 110
H13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
105-86
105
86
+19
99avg 110
H21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
121-113
121
113
+8
118avg 110
H22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
28-29
30-33
31-27
32-26
30-29
39-30
20-26
39-14
29-27
26-27
34-24
26-39
32-34
27-22
21-21
28-28
24-18
22-34
32-32
31-30
36-28
26-33
26-19
37-25
38-27
37-28
24-29
25-30
30-37
18-22
20-21
21-23
29-10
27-34
28-19
40-25
24-30
25-31
32-27
222.8Avg total
114.6Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)119.3108.0227.3+11.377%
Season at home (29)118.0106.8224.9+11.279%
Season away (27)120.7109.3230.0+11.474%
Last 10 (10)114.6108.2222.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)114.8105.6220.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)109.2115.2224.5-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.8108.1225.9+9.769%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Toronto RaptorsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A20/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A22/02
NBA
109.2Avg total
56.1Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.5112.2+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.958.3116.3-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)55.452.7108.1+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)56.153.1109.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)55.253.8109.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.656.2109.8-2.660%-
vs Similar (15)58.756.1114.8+2.567%-
vs Weaker (10)55.254.2109.4+1.050%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A30/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A12/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H22/02
NBA
114.4Avg total
60.1Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.5114.8+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.355.6113.9+2.759%-
Last 30 away (13)60.555.5115.9+5.077%-
Last 10 (10)60.154.3114.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)62.253.0115.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.263.0121.2-4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.454.4113.8+5.069%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.429.0
53.3%
54.8%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.1
34.8%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws26.120.7
79.3%
78.1%20.7
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.2
52.5%
54.8%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.715.3
39.5%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws23.318.3
78.5%
78.1%18.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWLWWLWLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWLLWWL
#11
League position
#1
+2.3
Net rating
+6.5
111.2
Offensive rating
115.8
108.9
Defensive rating
109.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
39.5%
69.1%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 115.8Defence108.9 · 109.3Shooting52.9% · 55.5%3-point %34.8% · 39.5%Ball care13.1% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-94
20/02/26AChicago Bulls110-101
12/02/26HDetroit Pistons95-113
08/02/26HIndiana Pacers122-104
06/02/26HChicago Bulls123-107
05/02/26HMinnesota Timberwolves126-128
01/02/26HUtah Jazz107-100
31/01/26AOrlando Magic120-130
29/01/26HNew York Knicks92-119
26/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder103-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HCleveland Cavaliers121-113
21/02/26HBrooklyn Nets105-86
13/02/26HMilwaukee Bucks93-110
12/02/26APhoenix Suns136-109
10/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers119-110
07/02/26HHouston Rockets106-112
05/02/26ASan Antonio Spurs106-116
04/02/26HOrlando Magic128-92
02/02/26ADenver Nuggets121-111
30/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %61%57%64%
Points / game114.1114.2114.0
Allowed / game111.6112.5110.8
Point differential+2.4+1.7+3.2
Avg total225.7226.6224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)56% (9)100% (2)
Overtime %7%11%4%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWLLWW79%
AwayLWLWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562927
Win %77%79%74%
Points / game119.3118.0120.7
Allowed / game108.0106.8109.3
Point differential+11.3+11.2+11.4
Avg total227.3224.9230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%55%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder56431377%119.3108.0+11.3
2 Detroit Pistons56421475%117.3109.4+7.9
3 San Antonio Spurs55391671%118.4111.8+6.6
4 Boston Celtics56371966%115.3108.0+7.2
5 New York Knicks56352162%117.2111.8+5.4
6 Houston Rockets56352162%114.5109.4+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets58362262%120.8116.3+4.5
8 Cleveland Cavaliers58362262%119.7115.4+4.3
9 Los Angeles Lakers55342162%115.6115.8-0.1
10 Toronto Raptors56342261%114.1111.6+2.4
11 Minnesota Timberwolves58352360%119.5115.0+4.5
12 Phoenix Suns57332458%113.1111.2+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers58322655%116.6115.9+0.6
14 Miami Heat57312654%120.2116.9+3.4
15 Orlando Magic54292554%115.1114.5+0.5
16 Golden State Warriors57302753%115.6113.9+1.8
17 Portland Trail Blazers58283048%115.7118.2-2.6
18 Atlanta Hawks59283147%116.9118.3-1.4
19 Los Angeles Clippers57273047%112.1112.6-0.5
20 Charlotte Hornets58273147%115.6113.7+1.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks55243144%112.0115.4-3.4
22 Chicago Bulls58243441%116.1120.3-4.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies56213538%115.5117.8-2.4
24 Dallas Mavericks56203636%114.2117.7-3.5
25 Utah Jazz58184031%118.0125.9-7.9
26 Washington Wizards56164029%112.5122.8-10.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans58164228%114.8120.6-5.7
28 Brooklyn Nets56154127%106.8114.7-7.9
29 Indiana Pacers59154425%111.5119.2-7.7
30 Sacramento Kings59134622%110.3121.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors32192927107
Oklahoma City Thunder25353818116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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