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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 111-121
26-32 29-30 30-39 26-20
Position#6
Record33-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game120.1
Allowed / game115.6
vs
Position#1
Record37-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game120.1
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 112
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 112
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 112
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 112
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 112
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 112
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 112
A24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
102avg 112
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
107-103
107
103
+4
101avg 112
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
122-109
122
109
+13
127avg 112
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
18-33
16-27
23-27
30-23
37-28
34-29
17-29
19-29
27-23
21-23
33-29
26-22
21-21
27-21
30-21
24-37
18-31
28-21
26-30
35-27
30-26
34-23
15-27
28-27
35-27
24-23
33-30
30-29
218.3Avg total
110.0Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)120.1115.6235.7+4.567%
Season at home (23)119.0115.1234.1+4.061%
Season away (26)121.1116.1237.2+5.073%
Last 10 (10)110.0108.3218.3+1.770%
Last 5 (5)109.0103.6212.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)112.9117.4230.3-4.450%
vs Weaker (16)120.9114.8235.6+6.175%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
114avg 111
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
111-91
111
91
+20
104avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
120avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
136-104
136
104
+32
132avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-102
122
102
+20
114avg 111
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 111
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 111
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
111-123
111
123
-12
103avg 111
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
22-25
39-26
31-27
32-26
23-26
40-24
24-22
21-19
34-29
22-27
34-16
37-30
28-30
30-35
25-27
32-27
34-24
25-28
45-25
38-18
31-33
30-26
23-25
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
30-25
20-29
31-25
20-24
17-14
31-32
31-23
25-26
22-34
28-29
30-33
31-27
222.9Avg total
116.2Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)120.1108.3228.4+11.979%
Season at home (24)119.6107.7227.3+11.983%
Season away (23)120.7108.9229.7+11.874%
Last 10 (10)116.2106.7222.9+9.560%
Last 5 (5)110.4108.0218.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.3115.0225.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)119.7108.8228.5+10.974%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H31/01
NBA
108.5Avg total
55.5Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.855.6114.4+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.154.9113.0+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)59.456.2115.6+3.144%-
Last 10 (10)55.553.0108.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)53.047.8100.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)55.357.4112.7-2.136%-
vs Weaker (16)61.854.1115.9+7.862%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A30/01
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.5Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.0112.9+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.955.5114.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)58.952.2111.1+6.877%-
Last 10 (10)56.554.2110.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)54.054.4108.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.359.7118.0-1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)59.053.4112.4+5.670%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.426.2
53.0%
54.8%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.7
38.1%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws24.319.5
80.2%
78.1%19.5
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.529.1
58.8%
54.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.512.9
36.3%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.719.3
81.4%
78.1%19.3
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
+1.8
Net rating
+9.5
115.2
Offensive rating
116.0
113.4
Defensive rating
106.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
9.7%
Turnover %
11.9%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.1%
3-point %
36.3%
64.0%
Assist %
58.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 116.0Defence113.4 · 106.5Shooting54.7% · 57.0%3-point %38.1% · 36.3%Ball care9.7% · 11.9%Off. rebounds18.1% · 18.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HLos Angeles Clippers122-109
30/01/26HBrooklyn Nets107-103
28/01/26HDetroit Pistons107-109
24/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-100
23/01/26AWashington Wizards107-97
21/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-115
19/01/26HCharlotte Hornets87-110
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves111-123
28/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans104-95
26/01/26HToronto Raptors101-103
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
22/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-102
19/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers136-104
18/01/26AMiami Heat120-122
16/01/26AHouston Rockets111-91
14/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-98
12/01/26HMiami Heat124-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLLWW61%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %67%61%73%
Points / game120.1119.0121.1
Allowed / game115.6115.1116.1
Point differential+4.5+4.0+5.0
Avg total235.7234.1237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%35%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL79%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWLWWL74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %79%83%74%
Points / game120.1119.6120.7
Allowed / game108.3107.7108.9
Point differential+11.9+11.9+11.8
Avg total228.4227.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder47371079%120.1108.3+11.9
2 Detroit Pistons48361275%117.3109.7+7.6
3 Denver Nuggets49331667%120.1115.6+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
5 Houston Rockets47301764%116.0109.9+6.0
6 Boston Celtics49311863%116.1109.1+7.0
7 Minnesota Timberwolves50311962%119.3114.1+5.2
8 New York Knicks47291862%117.3112.1+5.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers47291862%116.1116.0+0.1
10 Phoenix Suns49301961%114.3110.8+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors50302060%113.8112.1+1.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers48272156%116.7115.8+0.9
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Miami Heat50272354%120.2117.9+2.4
16 Orlando Magic46242252%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Chicago Bulls50242648%117.2119.9-2.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers48232548%112.7112.6+0.1
19 Atlanta Hawks51242747%117.2118.3-1.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers50232746%115.1117.9-2.8
21 Charlotte Hornets50222844%116.2114.6+1.7
22 Dallas Mavericks49193039%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%114.6116.6-2.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks47182938%111.1115.6-4.5
25 Utah Jazz50153530%118.0127.0-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets48133527%107.1114.7-7.6
27 Washington Wizards48133527%112.3122.5-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers49133627%110.7118.4-7.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans51133825%114.4120.9-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26293026111
Oklahoma City Thunder32303920121
← all games of the day
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