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Tortona vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-78
21-15 20-23 18-18 26-22
Position#6
Record13-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.8
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#12
Record8-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaFerraris
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Cremona
08 Mar 2026
TOR85
CRE78
29 Sep 2024
TOR80
CRE68
30 Mar 2024
TOR87
CRE76
15 Jan 2022
TOR97
CRE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 80
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 80
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 80
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 80
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 80
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 80
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 80
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
96avg 80
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 80
A15/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
19-27
27-17
16-18
23-17
23-24
23-18
17-24
23-26
27-25
23-24
11-22
17-16
17-21
28-15
19-20
18-20
18-16
23-18
19-26
19-20
19-23
22-32
39-24
24-20
23-17
19-16
22-27
25-22
172.4Avg total
87.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.086.8174.8+1.365%
Season at home (10)94.290.2184.4+4.070%
Season away (10)81.983.3165.2-1.460%
Last 10 (10)87.884.6172.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)86.484.8171.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.386.6163.9-9.314%
vs Similar (10)86.487.1173.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.188.0179.1+3.177%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
76-102
76
102
-26
70avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 75
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
57avg 75
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
59avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 75
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-104
86
104
-18
69avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 75
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
67-86
67
86
-19
56avg 75
H15/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
18-34
22-21
19-27
20-22
16-23
14-19
21-12
12-27
19-16
19-29
24-19
18-22
19-14
15-11
19-20
19-17
18-22
19-16
19-27
29-23
19-26
19-23
27-13
19-22
14-24
17-20
24-18
17-26
28-26
17-31
24-21
27-25
15-22
23-21
24-19
20-23
11-25
17-23
19-15
164.1Avg total
77.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.185.2167.2-3.140%
Season at home (10)83.181.8164.9+1.360%
Season away (10)81.188.5169.6-7.420%
Last 10 (10)77.786.4164.1-8.730%
Last 5 (5)82.089.2171.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.187.7165.9-9.614%
vs Similar (15)88.487.3175.7+1.160%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
TortonaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Lega A
83.1Avg total
43.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.385.4+0.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.786.5+1.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.984.3+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.283.1+4.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.485.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.044.086.0-2.057%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.085.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.440.885.2+3.677%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A17/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A01/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H15/02
Lega A
83.4Avg total
37.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.184.0-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.986.3-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.442.381.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.545.983.4-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.488.2-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.443.481.9-5.036%-
vs Similar (15)42.743.486.1-0.740%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.9
52.1%
54.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.418.5
79.1%
76.1%18.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.8
47.4%
54.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.8
31.6%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.7
73.1%
76.1%14.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLWLLWWWW
Cremona
LWLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#12
+3.0
Net rating
-12.4
108.1
Offensive rating
94.2
105.1
Defensive rating
106.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
31.6%
60.0%
Assist %
56.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 94.2Defence105.1 · 106.7Shooting51.6% · 47.4%3-point %33.9% · 31.6%Ball care12.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.7% · 25.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tortona wins
1
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Cremona v Tortona71-76
11/05/25Cremona v Tortona94-99
29/09/24Tortona v Cremona80-68
30/03/24Tortona v Cremona87-76
17/12/23Cremona v Tortona83-67
10/04/22Cremona v Tortona73-74
15/01/22Tortona v Cremona97-92
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26ASassari89-82
08/02/26HTrieste104-99
31/01/26HUdine79-80
24/01/26ABasket Napoli82-76
17/01/26HOlimpia Milano78-87
11/01/26ABrescia86-92
04/01/26ACantu85-79
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HOlimpia Milano67-86
07/02/26HCantu89-87
01/02/26ASassari86-104
26/01/26HVirtus Bologna74-84
17/01/26ATrento94-85
11/01/26AUdine75-82
04/01/26HReggiana71-67
29/12/25AOlimpia Milano74-91
21/12/25HTortona71-76
14/12/25ABasket Napoli76-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game88.094.281.9
Allowed / game86.890.283.3
Point differential+1.3+4.0-1.4
Avg total174.8184.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game82.183.181.1
Allowed / game85.281.888.5
Point differential-3.0+1.3-7.4
Avg total167.2164.9169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2014670%84.877.5+7.2
4 Venezia2014670%91.285.3+5.8
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2013765%88.086.8+1.3
7 Trieste20101050%84.587.8-3.2
8 Trento21101148%83.081.2+1.8
9 Varese2191243%83.086.3-3.3
10 Reggiana2081240%80.880.2+0.6
11 Cremona2081240%82.185.2-3.0
12 Udine2181338%81.682.2-0.7
13 Sassari2181338%85.588.0-2.6
14 Basket Napoli2071335%83.186.6-3.5
15 Cantu2051525%83.489.4-6.0
16 Treviso2031715%81.090.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2120182685
Cremona1523182278
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