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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 9· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 77
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
70-108
70
108
-38
52avg 77
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
89-83
89
83
+6
86avg 77
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
77avg 77
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 77
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 77
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 77
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 77
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A01/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
25-19
16-13
22-23
23-25
21-31
15-24
11-28
22-20
24-24
20-22
23-17
25-25
23-22
19-22
19-24
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
170.1Avg total
81.4Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.293.5176.7-10.317%
Season at home (3)88.791.3180.0-2.733%
Season away (3)77.795.7173.3-18.00%
Last 10 (10)81.488.7170.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)83.485.8169.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.390.0169.3-10.711%
vs Similar (12)83.781.6165.2+2.158%
vs Weaker (9)89.484.7174.1+4.867%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
79avg 82
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
112avg 82
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
77avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 82
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
178.0Avg total
89.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.382.2173.5+9.267%
Season at home (3)94.384.7179.0+9.767%
Season away (3)88.379.7168.0+8.767%
Last 10 (10)89.288.8178.0+0.430%
Last 5 (5)84.686.6171.2-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.389.9173.1-6.614%
vs Similar (4)86.890.8177.5-4.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.280.5170.7+9.779%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/09
Eurocup
BC Roma
#12
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Lega A
Le Mans
#19
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/10
Lega A
Aris
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#26
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#30
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
88.0Avg total
42.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.685.1-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.083.8+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)42.144.586.6-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.988.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.482.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.345.087.3-2.744%-
vs Similar (12)41.841.283.0+0.758%-
vs Weaker (9)43.342.285.6+1.156%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
90.8Avg total
45.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.087.6+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.241.290.4+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.984.7-1.033%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.990.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.487.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.945.787.6-3.914%-
vs Similar (4)43.542.586.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.340.687.9+6.768%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
34.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
74.4%17.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.4%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWLWLLLWLL
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLWLLWL
#14
League position
#4
-6.5
Net rating
-1.4
97.7
Offensive rating
100.0
104.2
Defensive rating
101.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.4%
3-point %
36.0%
52.6%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 100.0Defence104.2 · 101.4Shooting51.6% · 55.5%3-point %32.4% · 36.0%Ball care14.1% · 16.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88
11/10/26AReggiana86-93
07/10/26HLe Mans89-83
04/10/26ABC Roma70-108
30/09/26ARigas Zelli84-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game83.288.777.7
Allowed / game93.591.395.7
Point differential-10.3-2.7-18.0
Avg total176.7180.0173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game91.394.388.3
Allowed / game82.284.779.7
Point differential+9.2+9.7+8.7
Avg total173.5179.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna65183%96.786.8+9.8
2 Basket Napoli65183%94.286.2+8.0
3 Treviso65183%93.288.8+4.3
4 Olimpia Milano64267%91.382.2+9.2
5 Maxima Roma64267%86.383.2+3.2
6 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
7 Trieste63350%90.886.5+4.3
8 Udine63350%80.880.2+0.7
9 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
10 Venezia63350%88.790.3-1.7
11 Trento63350%79.582.8-3.3
12 BC Roma62433%100.296.5+3.7
13 Reggiana62433%82.383.8-1.5
14 Tortona61517%83.293.5-10.3
15 Scafati61517%80.392.2-11.8
16 Cantu6060%75.289.5-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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