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Trieste vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-100
18-27 26-20 16-25 14-28
Position#15
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trieste
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trieste v Pesaro
02 Oct 2022
TRI74
PES100
23 Jan 2022
TRI89
PES78
18 Apr 2021
TRI101
PES88
26 Apr 2020
TRI v PES
upcoming
09 Mar 2019
TRI105
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 73
A13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 73
H20/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 73
A27/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
A10/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
88avg 73
A13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 73
H16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 73
A24/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
66avg 73
A01/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H08/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-25
20-28
24-30
19-16
17-27
21-18
20-24
26-22
16-18
19-18
13-17
16-34
24-20
24-19
17-19
20-22
26-21
25-17
15-26
18-19
26-20
23-15
25-22
26-24
15-15
22-17
21-16
21-22
24-19
24-31
18-24
19-24
24-10
16-16
15-30
10-23
24-18
20-19
30-23
171.0Avg total
84.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.686.4171.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)84.281.4165.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.684.8163.4-6.138%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.981.1161.0-1.348%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 70
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 70
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 70
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 70
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 70
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 70
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 70
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
26-20
20-18
18-21
17-25
22-14
11-19
25-15
20-24
21-23
24-21
23-19
24-23
13-20
13-27
27-26
19-12
25-23
15-26
24-21
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
155.5Avg total
75.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.180.4155.5-5.350%
Last 5 (5)68.479.2147.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.084.1157.1-11.121%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.784.1168.8+0.662%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
TriestePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A24/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A01/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/05
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.577.4-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.842.984.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.882.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.880.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.143.486.5-0.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.840.178.9-1.348%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
76.3Avg total
37.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.381.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.983.3-2.627%-
Last 30 away (15)39.039.778.7-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.576.3-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.041.379.3-3.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.141.382.4-0.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.6
56.2%
51.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.0
35.9%
36.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.711.3
76.9%
76.1%11.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.0
48.5%
51.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.4
34.9%
36.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
76.1%11.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLLWWWLLLL
Pesaro
LLLWLWLWWW
#15
League position
#10
-5.6
Net rating
-7.6
109.4
Offensive rating
102.3
114.9
Defensive rating
109.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.9%
3-point %
34.9%
52.0%
Assist %
54.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 102.3Defence114.9 · 109.9Shooting55.4% · 49.9%3-point %35.9% · 34.9%Ball care18.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
23/01/22Trieste v Pesaro89-78
06/10/21Pesaro v Trieste74-61
18/04/21Trieste v Pesaro101-88
27/12/20Pesaro v Trieste84-74
05/01/20Pesaro v Trieste76-82
09/03/19Trieste v Pesaro105-68
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22HTreviso84-83
01/05/22ATortona74-80
24/04/22ABrindisi87-96
16/04/22HCremona84-72
13/04/22AVarese92-76
10/04/22AReggiana109-103 OT
02/04/22HVirtus Bologna81-92
27/03/22ATrento74-75
20/03/22HFortitudo Bologna77-85
13/03/22AOlimpia Milano84-102
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
23/04/22ATrento83-82
16/04/22HVirtus Bologna77-96
13/04/22HFortitudo Bologna88-87
10/04/22HSassari75-73
02/04/22ATortona86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana110100%78.058.0+20.0
2 Venezia110100%80.069.0+11.0
3 Tortona110100%76.070.0+6.0
4 Verona110100%100.097.0+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano110100%78.077.0+1.0
6 Brescia1010%77.078.0-1.0
7 Brindisi1010%97.0100.0-3.0
8 Trento1010%70.076.0-6.0
9 Scafati1010%69.080.0-11.0
10 Treviso1010%58.078.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1826161474
Pesaro27202528100
← all games of the day
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