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Trieste vs Pesaro Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#14
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
ItalyLega ARound 34
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Pesaro
02 Oct 2022
TRI74
PES100
23 Jan 2022
TRI89
PES78
18 Apr 2021
TRI101
PES88
26 Apr 2020
TRI v PES
upcoming
09 Mar 2019
TRI105
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.080.5156.4-4.532%
Season at home (11)78.080.8158.8-2.845%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)81.282.8164.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.880.0168.8+8.875%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
TriestePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.481.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.042.485.4+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.240.376.5-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.980.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.538.587.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.5
51.2%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.9
31.9%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.511.3
72.9%
73.6%11.3
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWLLLWWLL
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
#14
League position
#17
-3.3
Net rating
-16.6
108.8
Offensive rating
103.9
112.2
Defensive rating
120.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
31.9%
50.3%
Assist %
51.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 103.9Defence112.2 · 120.5Shooting49.9% · 47.0%3-point %31.9% · 31.9%Ball care16.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.7% · 30.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Trieste   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
05/01/20Pesaro v Trieste76-82
09/03/19Trieste v Pesaro105-68
12/11/18Pesaro v Trieste103-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game76.078.073.9
Allowed / game80.580.880.1
Point differential-4.5-2.8-6.2
Avg total156.4158.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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