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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-80
21-22 19-12 17-21 30-25
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#10
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game65.3
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Varese
27 Mar 2027
VIR v VAR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VIR104
VAR85
27 Apr 2025
VIR104
VAR67
08 Oct 2023
VIR115
VAR84
07 May 2023
VIR98
VAR82
03 Oct 2021
VIR97
VAR56
27 Feb 2021
VIR85
VAR76
19 Oct 2019
VIR87
VAR80
12 May 2019
VIR84
VAR72
22 Apr 2018
VIR69
VAR71
13 Mar 2016
VIR76
VAR67
04 Apr 2015
VIR86
VAR78
19 Apr 2014
VIR77
VAR78
21 Oct 2012
VIR74
VAR84
13 Nov 2011
VIR74
VAR63
20 Mar 2011
VIR69
VAR71
14 Mar 2010
VIR80
VAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
27-17
22-27
21-22
15-23
12-19
31-7
17-28
13-19
21-15
25-13
15-22
22-11
20-17
11-11
14-11
20-8
18-16
20-20
15-17
17-19
28-18
22-22
17-13
17-16
23-13
24-23
10-15
18-12
24-18
20-23
26-25
13-19
22-20
17-19
23-12
25-19
29-16
16-13
24-31
149.7Avg total
79.3Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.873.5156.2+9.2100%
Season at home (2)74.568.5143.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.370.4149.7+8.990%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.383.3160.6-6.029%
vs Similar (10)79.174.5153.6+4.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.872.4151.2+6.467%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
12-23
18-22
15-21
22-23
23-14
18-32
21-25
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
157.0Avg total
78.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.765.3141.0+10.367%
Season at home (2)67.567.0134.5+0.550%
Season away (1)92.062.0154.0+30.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.978.1157.0+0.840%
Last 5 (5)79.470.0149.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.576.5137.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)82.482.3164.8+0.144%
vs Weaker (18)79.573.3152.8+6.261%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Virtus BolognaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/04
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A24/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Bamberg
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H03/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/05
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H12/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/09
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A29/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A13/10
Lega A
73.3Avg total
40.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.976.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.735.975.6+3.865%-
Last 30 away (13)40.138.278.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.073.3+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.077.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.440.379.7-0.943%-
vs Similar (10)38.534.873.3+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.236.877.9+4.475%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H13/04
Lega A
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
75.8Avg total
39.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.276.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.974.9+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.838.478.2+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.674.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)26.539.065.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (9)44.039.683.6+4.478%-
vs Weaker (18)38.435.473.8+3.156%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.4
55.4%
52.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.3
31.5%
35.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
73.6%14.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.5
51.4%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.5
34.5%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.09.8
65.3%
73.6%9.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWWLW
Varese
WWLLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+5.3
Net rating
+5.3
110.9
Offensive rating
111.9
105.6
Defensive rating
106.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.5%
3-point %
34.5%
57.1%
Assist %
50.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 111.9Defence105.6 · 106.7Shooting52.7% · 51.6%3-point %31.5% · 34.5%Ball care16.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/19APesaro94-79
06/10/19HVenezia75-70
29/09/19APistoia88-78
25/09/19HVirtus Roma74-67
12/05/19HVarese84-72
05/05/19HTenerife73-61
03/05/19HBamberg67-50
28/04/19HTrento74-69
24/04/19ABrescia75-77
20/04/19AReggiana89-81
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89
13/04/19HOlimpia Milano84-94
10/04/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg66-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.874.591.0
Allowed / game73.568.578.5
Point differential+9.2+6.0+12.5
Avg total156.2143.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game75.767.592.0
Allowed / game65.367.062.0
Point differential+10.3+0.5+30.0
Avg total141.0134.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%82.873.5+9.2
2 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
3 Brescia43175%83.275.2+8.0
4 Brindisi43175%82.874.8+8.0
5 Fortitudo Bologna43175%76.576.5+0.0
6 Varese32167%75.765.3+10.3
7 Olimpia Milano42250%79.272.8+6.5
8 Venezia42250%76.570.8+5.8
9 Reggiana42250%83.880.0+3.8
10 Trento42250%77.879.8-2.0
11 Virtus Roma42250%77.080.5-3.5
12 Cremona31233%84.789.7-5.0
13 Cantu31233%63.377.3-14.0
14 Treviso41325%74.078.2-4.2
15 Trieste41325%68.279.2-11.0
16 Pistoia4040%73.086.0-13.0
17 Pesaro3030%76.791.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2119173087
Varese2212212580
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