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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game90.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 22· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
23-21
12-26
29-26
32-18
161.9Avg total
73.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.1167.1-9.236%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (6)81.294.0175.2-12.833%
Last 10 (10)73.788.2161.9-14.530%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.289.2167.5-11.021%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
95-99
95
99
-4
89avg 75
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
80avg 75
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 75
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
56avg 75
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
85-101
85
101
-16
74avg 75
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
71avg 75
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 75
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
no box
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
98-107
98
107
-9
no box
A12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-22
20-27
30-31
18-31
24-21
23-15
18-21
23-16
24-23
17-10
20-23
15-25
21-23
13-25
21-17
16-25
22-24
23-23
24-29
23-21
18-19
25-27
13-19
18-22
14-19
18-14
25-17
19-27
23-21
18-18
26-34
21-22
21-25
20-19
17-25
17-28
24-28
28-24
29-27
174.0Avg total
83.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.590.7172.2-9.215%
Season at home (6)84.094.2178.2-10.20%
Season away (7)79.487.7167.1-8.329%
Last 10 (10)83.490.6174.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)83.491.2174.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.991.9171.8-12.018%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.981.7165.6+2.260%
vs Weaker (3)97.390.7188.0+6.7100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
34.9Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.281.9-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)36.946.883.8-9.98%-
Last 10 (10)34.948.283.1-13.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.077.0-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.245.181.2-8.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H15/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A22/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H24/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H05/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
NKL
86.7Avg total
40.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.982.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.342.683.9-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)38.743.281.9-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.186.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.945.383.2-7.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.139.079.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)50.742.393.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.3
54.2%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.5
31.1%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.014.8
64.3%
67.1%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLLLLWLLL
Kretinga
LLLWLLLWLL
#13
League position
#16
-9.0
Net rating
-9.7
90.1
Offensive rating
89.2
99.1
Defensive rating
98.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.8%
3-point %
31.1%
64.6%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 89.2Defence99.1 · 98.9Shooting50.1% · 51.0%3-point %31.8% · 31.1%Ball care15.0% · 16.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APlunges Olimpas96-91
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AVytis VDU98-107
07/11/26ARytas 279-91
05/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga86-100
31/10/26AOmega-Tauras75-72
29/10/26HJurbarkas79-86
24/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas 285-101
22/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai70-90
17/10/26AKauno Atletas84-72
15/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-88
10/10/26HUkmerges Stekas95-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game78.977.281.2
Allowed / game88.183.894.0
Point differential-9.2-6.5-12.8
Avg total167.1161.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%0%29%
Points / game81.584.079.4
Allowed / game90.794.287.7
Point differential-9.2-10.2-8.3
Avg total172.2178.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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