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Ukmerges Stekas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 103-107 (OT)
19-17 21-28 21-21 29-24 13-17
Position#16
Record9-30
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game89.5
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record19-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game85.3
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga
12 Dec 2026
UKME v KRET
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UKME103
KRET107
20 Nov 2025
UKME98
KRET88
21 Dec 2024
UKME76
KRET58
22 Feb 2024
UKME93
KRET79
28 Oct 2023
UKME82
KRET64
04 Feb 2023
UKME94
KRET75
22 Dec 2022
UKME74
KRET90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
53avg 70
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
55avg 70
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 70
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
58avg 70
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
60avg 70
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-98
82
98
-16
76avg 70
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 70
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 70
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
93avg 70
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
92-101
92
101
-9
81avg 70
A12/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-25
16-21
11-18
21-17
17-16
12-21
12-26
9-22
21-18
15-29
25-12
18-23
20-20
21-16
11-18
11-29
21-20
27-18
21-27
21-19
14-26
23-22
24-31
19-29
13-21
18-19
29-18
29-25
19-24
19-24
16-14
13-24
26-18
24-31
20-10
31-25
16-29
26-23
19-24
165.9Avg total
77.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.989.5169.4-9.523%
Season at home (19)77.487.1164.4-9.726%
Season away (20)82.491.8174.2-9.420%
Last 10 (10)77.788.2165.9-10.510%
Last 5 (5)86.693.4180.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)79.288.2167.4-9.022%
vs Similar (3)79.092.3171.3-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 76
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
69avg 76
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-104
64
104
-40
50avg 76
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 76
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
68-61
68
61
+7
64avg 76
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
91avg 76
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
58-86
58
86
-28
51avg 76
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 76
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
101-97
101
97
+4
99avg 76
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
69avg 76
H12/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
20-19
15-26
17-19
18-16
15-18
11-19
23-14
14-23
12-25
19-27
19-29
17-11
25-24
25-20
6-20
11-12
21-21
19-7
17-21
19-20
22-19
20-19
24-22
10-22
15-18
13-28
20-18
28-7
18-24
24-28
23-17
32-24
28-24
18-27
23-22
15-25
18-22
25-19
19-22
161.3Avg total
77.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)83.485.3168.7-1.949%
Season at home (20)84.583.3167.8+1.155%
Season away (19)82.487.4169.7-5.042%
Last 10 (10)77.883.5161.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)82.885.4168.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.893.3168.2-18.50%
vs Similar (20)83.882.2166.1+1.665%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.289.2186.5+8.075%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
Ukmerges StekasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/02
NKL
Silute
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H21/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H03/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A12/03
NKL
82.3Avg total
37.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.144.881.9-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.144.480.6-8.321%-
Last 30 away (16)37.945.183.0-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.444.982.3-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.088.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.444.380.7-8.019%-
vs Similar (3)43.349.092.3-5.70%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H07/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A19/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H07/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/03
NKL
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.782.6-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.983.3+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.481.9-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.545.580.0-11.033%-
vs Similar (20)40.640.481.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)51.542.594.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.821.8
47.6%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.2
29.8%
32.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.712.5
66.8%
69.3%12.5
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.4
53.7%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.2
26.5%
32.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.4
63.3%
69.3%12.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLLLLLLLL
Kretinga
LWWLWWLLWL
#16
League position
#9
-11.1
Net rating
-6.3
83.9
Offensive rating
86.6
95.1
Defensive rating
92.9
46.6%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.8%
3-point %
26.5%
57.6%
Assist %
65.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.9 · 86.6Defence95.1 · 92.9Shooting46.6% · 48.8%3-point %29.8% · 26.5%Ball care16.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas113-79
20/11/25Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga98-88
06/02/25Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas75-77
21/12/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga76-58
26/10/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas69-64
22/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga93-79
03/02/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas107-92
16/12/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas75-81
28/10/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga82-64
11/03/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas63-90
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AAlytaus Alytus92-101
07/03/26ABC Olimpas Palanga97-94 OT
05/03/26HOmega-Tauras83-87
03/03/26HJurbarkas79-87
26/02/26APlunges Olimpas82-98
21/02/26HSilute80-94
19/02/26ANeptunas 270-77
10/02/26HKedainiu SC70-81
07/02/26HRytas 262-80
05/02/26HAlytaus Alytus62-83
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HJurbarkas77-88
07/03/26HAlytaus Alytus101-97
28/02/26HSilute93-76
26/02/26ANeptunas 258-86
22/02/26HOmega-Tauras85-80
19/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga68-61
14/02/26APlunges Olimpas73-75
07/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-104
05/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga82-80 OT
31/01/26HNeptunas 277-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLLLLL26%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %23%26%20%
Points / game79.977.482.4
Allowed / game89.587.191.8
Point differential-9.5-9.7-9.4
Avg total169.4164.4174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%5%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %10%5%15%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL49%
HomeLWWWL55%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %49%55%42%
Points / game83.484.582.4
Allowed / game85.383.387.4
Point differential-1.9+1.1-5.0
Avg total168.7167.8169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3832684%90.575.1+15.4
2 Vytis VDU38271171%88.784.8+3.9
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 238271171%87.183.4+3.7
4 Jurbarkas39231659%81.678.7+2.9
5 Neptunas 239221756%79.677.4+2.2
6 Vilkaviskis38211755%81.878.0+3.8
7 Rytas 238211755%83.181.0+2.1
8 Kedainiu SC38211755%86.285.6+0.6
9 Telsiai38201853%83.984.7-0.8
10 Mazeikiai38191950%82.982.4+0.5
11 Kretinga39192049%83.485.3-1.9
12 Silute39172244%86.889.9-3.0
13 Omega-Tauras39152438%84.488.4-4.1
14 BC Olimpas Palanga39142536%79.683.6-3.9
15 Plunges Olimpas39132633%82.786.6-3.9
16 Ukmerges Stekas3993023%79.989.5-9.5
17 Alytaus Alytus4083220%80.287.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ukmerges Stekas1921212913103
Kretinga1728212417107
← all games of the day
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