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UNLV vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 85-83 (OT)
0-0 35-37 0-0 39-37 11-9
Position#192
Record14-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game78.8
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#86
Record19-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Nevada
28 Feb 2026
UNLV85
NEVA83
28 Feb 2025
UNLV68
NEVA55
17 Feb 2024
UNLV66
NEVA69
28 Jan 2023
UNLV68
NEVA62
01 Feb 2022
UNLV69
NEVA58
12 Feb 2020
UNLV79
NEVA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-39
0-0
37-43
0-0
22-41
0-0
39-48
0-0
28-33
0-0
48-56
0-0
50-49
0-0
46-49
0-0
44-34
0-0
36-44
0-0
45-41
0-0
37-34
0-0
29-40
0-0
48-37
0-0
39-47
0-0
47-44
0-0
34-31
0-0
57-35
0-0
24-42
0-0
43-38
162.7Avg total
79.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.478.8158.2+0.650%
Season at home (14)81.675.9157.6+5.757%
Season away (14)77.281.6158.9-4.443%
Last 10 (10)79.683.1162.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.681.8153.5-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.084.8171.8+2.264%
vs Weaker (8)75.662.8138.4+12.975%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-26
0-0
48-28
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-44
0-0
26-24
0-0
27-29
0-0
33-28
0-0
56-48
0-0
28-39
0-0
51-40
0-0
28-28
0-0
41-31
0-0
25-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
32-47
0-0
39-40
0-0
38-40
0-0
42-37
0-0
23-23
0-0
44-37
146.1Avg total
74.6Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.871.5147.3+4.268%
Season at home (18)77.269.3146.5+7.883%
Season away (10)73.375.5148.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)74.671.5146.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)68.870.8139.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.871.6147.4+4.267%
vs Weaker (7)76.966.6143.4+10.386%
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
UNLVNevada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
34.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.873.4-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.874.5+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)34.637.772.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.939.774.6-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.274.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.738.972.6-5.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.640.780.4-1.145%-
vs Weaker (8)36.628.465.0+8.288%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
30.7Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.465.4+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.530.865.3+3.658%-
Last 30 away (11)30.435.265.5-4.818%-
Last 10 (10)30.732.763.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)29.234.864.0-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.635.265.8-4.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.432.165.4+1.356%-
vs Weaker (7)33.631.465.0+2.143%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UNLV wins
5
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Nevada v UNLV89-76
01/03/25UNLV v Nevada68-55
02/02/25Nevada v UNLV71-65
10/03/24Nevada v UNLV75-65
18/02/24UNLV v Nevada66-69
04/03/23Nevada v UNLV67-69 OT
29/01/23UNLV v Nevada68-62
23/02/22Nevada v UNLV54-62
02/02/22UNLV v Nevada69-58
03/02/21Nevada v UNLV72-62
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66
19/02/26HColorado State86-91
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HNew Mexico67-60
22/02/26HUtah State80-77
18/02/26ASan Jose State71-87
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game79.481.677.2
Allowed / game78.875.981.6
Point differential+0.6+5.7-4.4
Avg total158.2157.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %68%83%40%
Points / game75.877.273.3
Allowed / game71.569.375.5
Point differential+4.2+7.8-2.2
Avg total147.3146.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%39%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2823582%83.669.8+13.9
2 New Mexico2922776%80.769.7+11.0
3 San Diego State2819968%79.270.5+8.7
4 Nevada2819968%75.871.5+4.2
5 Colorado State29191066%77.071.1+5.9
6 Grand Canyon28181064%75.068.5+6.5
7 Boise State29181162%78.173.2+4.9
8 Wyoming29161355%76.872.8+4.0
9 UNLV28141450%79.478.8+0.6
10 Fresno State29121741%73.372.8+0.6
11 San Jose State2982128%71.377.7-6.4
12 Air Force2932610%62.279.9-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
UNLV0350391185
Nevada037037983
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