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UNLV vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 92-65
32-24 60-41
Position#192
Record15-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.9
UNLV 🏆
USA
vs
Utah State
USA
Position#20
Record24-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UNLV v Utah State
03 Mar 2026
UNLV92
UTAH65
15 Jan 2025
UNLV65
UTAH62
13 Jan 2024
UNLV86
UTAH87
01 Mar 2023
UNLV66
UTAH91
30 Jan 2021
UNLV v UTAH
upcoming
27 Jan 2021
UNLV74
UTAH83
25 Jan 2021
UNLV59
UTAH56
01 Jan 2020
UNLV70
UTAH53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
22-41
39-48
28-33
48-56
50-49
46-49
44-34
36-44
45-41
37-34
29-40
48-37
39-47
47-44
34-31
57-35
24-42
43-38
35-37
39-37
164.2Avg total
81.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.678.9158.6+0.752%
Season at home (15)81.976.4158.3+5.560%
Season away (14)77.281.6158.9-4.443%
Last 10 (10)81.083.2164.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.080.6163.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.681.8153.5-10.218%
vs Similar (12)86.884.7171.5+2.267%
vs Weaker (7)76.763.3140.0+13.471%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-28
44-34
34-34
37-32
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
154.8Avg total
82.4Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.369.7153.0+13.683%
Season at home (16)85.169.0154.1+16.194%
Season away (13)81.070.6151.6+10.469%
Last 10 (10)82.472.4154.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)79.473.8153.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)68.572.2140.8-3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.269.4153.6+14.785%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.5+3.5
UNLVUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
74.5Avg total
35.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.274.3-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.676.3+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.637.772.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.574.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.471.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.738.972.6-5.227%-
vs Similar (12)39.240.479.7-1.242%-
vs Weaker (7)38.928.967.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
73.1Avg total
39.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.133.272.3+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.231.872.9+9.475%-
Last 30 away (14)36.734.971.6+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.373.1+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.672.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)32.037.269.2-5.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.232.672.8+7.669%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UNLV wins
8
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Utah State v UNLV76-86
14/03/25Utah State v UNLV70-58
30/01/25Utah State v UNLV76-71
16/01/25UNLV v Utah State65-62
13/01/24UNLV v Utah State86-87
02/03/23UNLV v Utah State66-91
18/01/23Utah State v UNLV75-71
05/02/22Utah State v UNLV90-75
12/03/21Utah State v UNLV74-53
28/01/21UNLV v Utah State74-83
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66
19/02/26HColorado State86-91
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%60%43%
Points / game79.681.977.2
Allowed / game78.976.481.6
Point differential+0.7+5.5-4.4
Avg total158.6158.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %83%94%69%
Points / game83.385.181.0
Allowed / game69.769.070.6
Point differential+13.6+16.1+10.4
Avg total153.0154.1151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%56%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2924583%83.369.7+13.6
2 New Mexico2922776%80.769.7+11.0
3 San Diego State29191066%79.171.0+8.1
4 Colorado State29191066%77.071.1+5.9
5 Grand Canyon30191163%75.268.4+6.7
6 Boise State30191163%78.373.3+5.0
7 Nevada30191163%75.972.4+3.6
8 Wyoming30171357%77.072.8+4.2
9 UNLV29151452%79.678.9+0.7
10 Fresno State30131743%73.672.6+1.0
11 San Jose State3082227%71.277.9-6.6
12 Air Force3032710%62.280.1-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV326092
Utah State244165
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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