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Valencia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-71
15-14 26-25 15-15 23-17
Position#14
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#18
Record1-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Alba Berlin
02 Nov 2023
VAL79
ABE71
27 Oct 2022
VAL87
ABE73
03 Dec 2020
VAL92
ABE100
15 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE63
09 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE75
11 Jan 2017
VAL85
ABE80
19 Mar 2014
VAL86
ABE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
79avg 74
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
70-65
70
65
+5
67avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 74
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 74
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 74
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 74
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 74
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 74
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
16-12
21-17
24-21
17-20
22-18
14-13
17-14
21-20
14-16
23-18
27-25
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
148.0Avg total
76.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.470.8147.2+5.680%
Season at home (3)74.068.3142.3+5.7100%
Season away (2)80.074.5154.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)76.571.5148.0+5.090%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.179.1153.2-5.040%
vs Similar (14)80.181.7161.8-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.278.3160.5+3.867%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 82
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 82
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 82
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 82
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 82
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 82
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 82
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 82
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 82
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
114-77
114
77
+37
121avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
16-18
24-29
16-20
19-19
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
12-18
23-19
22-24
28-21
39-14
17-25
29-24
29-14
172.5Avg total
89.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.085.2163.2-7.220%
Season at home (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
Season away (3)73.084.3157.3-11.30%
Last 10 (10)89.682.9172.5+6.750%
Last 5 (5)89.682.4172.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.284.4160.6-8.112%
vs Similar (4)90.583.8174.2+6.875%
vs Weaker (18)87.774.4162.1+13.383%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
ValenciaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/09
ACB
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
71.9Avg total
38.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.278.6+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.376.9+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.240.180.3+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.471.9+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.675.8+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.839.676.4-2.830%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.282.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.036.073.0+1.033%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/10
BBL
88.5Avg total
46.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.685.0+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.339.985.2+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.641.184.8+2.575%-
Last 10 (10)46.442.188.5+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.284.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.142.481.5-3.238%-
vs Similar (4)48.242.891.0+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (18)45.939.385.2+6.678%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.8
50.6%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.07.0
36.8%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
77.4%15.1
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.1
57.2%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.9
38.4%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.916.9
84.9%
77.4%16.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWWWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWWLLWLLLW
#14
League position
#18
+7.3
Net rating
+9.1
106.1
Offensive rating
117.7
98.8
Defensive rating
108.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.3%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.8%
3-point %
38.4%
59.0%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 117.7Defence98.8 · 108.5Shooting52.2% · 57.3%3-point %36.8% · 38.4%Ball care19.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
26/01/23Alba Berlin v Valencia88-94
27/10/22Valencia v Alba Berlin87-73
02/04/21Alba Berlin v Valencia86-90
03/12/20Valencia v Alba Berlin92-100
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
08/10/23HObradoiro CAB85-79
06/10/23HMonaco70-65
30/09/23AUnicaja82-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23AGottingen114-77
26/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82
22/10/23HVechta98-80
20/10/23AMonaco75-86
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game76.474.080.0
Allowed / game70.868.374.5
Point differential+5.6+5.7+5.5
Avg total147.2142.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.085.573.0
Allowed / game85.286.584.3
Point differential-7.2-1.0-11.3
Avg total163.2172.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Fenerbahce65183%83.076.3+6.7
3 Barcelona54180%84.469.8+14.6
4 Virtus Bologna54180%84.276.0+8.2
5 Valencia54180%76.470.8+5.6
6 Monaco53260%79.876.6+3.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv53260%85.086.8-1.8
8 Olympiacos63350%76.575.0+1.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas63350%83.284.3-1.2
10 Partizan52340%86.886.8+0.0
11 Panathinaikos52340%80.281.8-1.6
12 Anadolu Efes52340%75.485.2-9.8
13 Crvena zvezda62433%80.579.2+1.3
14 Bayern62433%70.277.0-6.8
15 Olimpia Milano51420%78.081.8-3.8
16 Alba Berlin51420%78.085.2-7.2
17 Baskonia51420%79.887.0-7.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne61517%80.091.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1526152379
Alba Berlin1425151771
← all games of the day
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