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Valencia vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 95-86
Projected total 181.0
Final 102-87
29-19 23-22 21-24 29-22
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game89.1
Valencia 🏆
Vs
80%
20%
■ VAL 80%■ BAY 20%
Pythia win probability
Bayern
Position#18
Record3-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game94.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Bayern
12 Nov 2026
VAL102
BAY87
25 Nov 2025
VAL90
BAY64
20 Mar 2024
VAL70
BAY68
31 Jan 2023
VAL82
BAY73
25 Mar 2021
VAL83
BAY76
04 Mar 2015
VAL80
BAY58
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Valencia hosts Bayern on 12 November 2026 in the EuroLeague, and the Pythia model names Valencia the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win based on a 7-3 record, 95.8 points per game and only 89.1 points allowed, placing them third in the league. Bayern, with a 3-7 record, 86.8 points per game and 94.5 allowed, sits seventeenth. Valencia's home form is 3-2, 95.0 points per game, 88.2 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, including a 111-79 win over MoraBanc Andorra. Bayern's road record is 3-3, 87.0 points per game, 95.0 allowed, and they have won three of their last five, highlighted by a 108-66 home win over Basketball Braunschweig. In their last ten meetings Valencia leads 6-4, though Bayern won the most recent encounter 93-89 on 22 January 2026. Pythia projects a 95-86 score for Valencia, a total of 181.0, with an 80% chance for Valencia to win and a 20% chance for Bayern. The home line is -8.5 with a 53% probability that Valencia covers, while the over/under 182.5 carries a 45% chance of the over; the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Valencia try to extend its winning streak against a Bayern side that has struggled this season.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
79.5%fair 1.26
Best odds1.30
Implied74.2%
Edge+5.4pp
Bayern winLost
20.5%fair 4.89
Best odds4.20
Implied25.8%
Edge-5.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 92
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 92
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 92
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 92
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 92
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 92
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 92
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 92
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
183.9Avg total
96.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.889.1184.9+6.770%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)96.487.5183.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)95.084.2179.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)89.290.0179.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)98.787.2185.9+11.581%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 81
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 81
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 81
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 81
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 81
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
A08/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
26-21
23-18
33-7
12-27
176.6Avg total
90.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.894.5181.3-7.730%
Season at home (4)86.593.8180.2-7.20%
Season away (6)87.095.0182.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)90.086.6176.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)88.281.2169.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.294.5179.8-9.225%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (20)90.172.8162.9+17.280%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1401%1452%1504%1556%1608%16510%17012%17512%18011%1859%1908%1955%2004%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
0%1351%1454%1558%16512%17511%1858%1954%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 181 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 183.
Over/Under 178Actual: Over 178
Over 178
56.6%
@ 1.52-5.9pp
Under 178
43.4%
@ 2.50+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 183 · main lineActual: Over 183
Over 183
44.1%
@ 1.95-5.8pp
Under 183
55.9%
@ 1.98+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.80
Under
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
Over/Under 188Actual: Over 188
Over 188
32.2%
@ 2.30-8.0pp
Under 188
67.8%
@ 1.55+8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

Valencia total 92.5Actual: Valencia over 92.5
Over 92.5
60.2%
@ 1.52-1.6pp
Under 92.5
39.8%
@ 2.40+1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Valencia total 96.5 · main lineActual: Valencia over 96.5
Over 96.5
44.4%
@ 2.01-4.1pp
Under 96.5
55.6%
@ 1.83+4.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.01
Marathon Be
1.96
BetVictor
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Valencia total 100.5Actual: Valencia over 100.5
Over 100.5
29.5%
@ 2.62-5.9pp
Under 100.5
70.5%
@ 1.44+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
Bayern total 82.5Actual: Bayern over 82.5
Over 82.5
62.4%
@ 1.40-3.5pp
Under 82.5
37.6%
@ 2.75+3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.62
Bayern total 86.5 · main lineActual: Bayern over 86.5
Over 86.5
46.6%
@ 1.84-5.0pp
Under 86.5
53.4%
@ 1.96+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Bayern total 90.5Actual: Bayern under 90.5
Over 90.5
31.5%
@ 2.35-8.3pp
Under 90.5
68.5%
@ 1.57+8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-67%-36%+09%+310%+69%+99%+128%+157%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-66%+010%+69%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Valencia's side (positive = Valencia win). Pythia's expected margin is +9.2; Valencia win by 1+ in 71% of simulations.
Spread Valencia -11.5Actual: Valencia -11.5
VAL -11.5
41.8%
@ 2.38+1.6pp
BAY +11.5
58.2%
@ 1.60-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
VAL
Pinnacle
2.38
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Marathon Be
2.26
BetVictor
2.25
BAY
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
BetVictor
1.58
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.55
Spread Valencia -8.5 · main lineActual: Valencia -8.5
VAL -8.5
52.9%
@ 1.93+2.9pp
BAY +8.5
47.1%
@ 1.93-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
VAL
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.90
Betfair
1.90
SBO
1.90
BAY
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Betano
1.90
Spread Valencia -5.5Actual: Valencia -5.5
VAL -5.5
64.0%
@ 1.56+3.7pp
BAY +5.5
36.0%
@ 2.45-3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
VAL
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.55
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
BAY
BetVictor
2.45
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Marathon Be
2.26

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
ValenciaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 91.5
Last 30 (30)47.341.889.1+5.573%43%
Last 30 at home (15)49.441.090.4+8.473%53%
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%33%
Last 10 (10)46.840.687.4+6.270%50%
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.660%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)48.039.087.0+9.075%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.242.289.4+4.973%42%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#9
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/11
BBL
88.3Avg total
43.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 91.5
Last 30 (30)44.740.384.9+4.473%27%
Last 30 at home (17)46.138.884.9+7.382%35%
Last 30 away (13)42.842.284.9+0.662%15%
Last 10 (10)43.145.288.3-2.160%30%
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.860%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.048.288.2-8.250%38%
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%50%
vs Weaker (20)46.636.282.8+10.490%20%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Valencia win
VAL win
70.1%
@ 1.43+2.7pp
BAY win
29.9%
@ 2.96-2.7pp
1st half Spread Valencia -4 · main lineActual: Valencia -4
VAL -4
53.3%
@ 1.91+3.1pp
BAY +4
46.7%
@ 1.96-3.1pp
1st half Over/Under 91.5 · main lineActual: Over 91.5
Over
47.4%
@ 1.94-2.1pp
Under
52.6%
@ 1.95+2.1pp
Valencia 1st half total 48.5 · main lineActual: Valencia over 48.5
Over
46.1%
@ 1.94-3.4pp
Under
53.9%
@ 1.86+3.4pp
Bayern 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Bayern under 43.5
Over
47.2%
@ 1.86-3.7pp
Under
52.8%
@ 1.94+3.7pp
1st half: VAL + total 91.5
VAL & over
32.3%
@ 2.65-0.5pp
VAL & under
35.2%
@ 2.75+3.6pp
1st half: Draw + total 91.5
Draw & over
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.1pp
Draw & under
1.8%
@ 29.00-1.1pp
1st half: BAY + total 91.5
BAY & over
13.2%
@ 5.75-1.9pp
BAY & under
15.6%
@ 6.00+1.1pp
1st half Over/Under 93Push
Over
41.2%
@ 2.20-2.5pp
Under
58.8%
@ 1.80+2.5pp
1st half Spread Valencia -5Actual: Valencia -5
VAL -5
48.9%
@ 2.08+2.8pp
BAY +5
51.1%
@ 1.81-2.8pp
1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5
Over
54.9%
@ 1.83-2.1pp
Under
45.1%
@ 2.25+2.1pp
1st half Spread Valencia -2.5Actual: Valencia -2.5
VAL -2.5
59.4%
@ 1.62+1.5pp
BAY +2.5
40.6%
@ 2.25-1.5pp
1st half Over/Under 94.5Actual: Under 94.5
Over
36.1%
@ 2.20-6.3pp
Under
63.9%
@ 1.62+6.3pp
1st half Spread Valencia -6Actual: Valencia -6
VAL -6
44.4%
@ 2.20+0.8pp
BAY +6
55.6%
@ 1.70-0.8pp
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
62.6%
@ 1.46-1.6pp
Under
37.4%
@ 2.60+1.6pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Valencia (regulation)
VAL
67.5%
@ 1.44+2.7pp
Draw
3.7%
@ 23.00-1.7pp
BAY
28.8%
@ 3.10-2.0pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VAL win + total 183.5
🔒 Pro
BAY win + total 183.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BAY leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (VAL:BAY): VAL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Bayern under 94.580.7%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+9.7ppWon
Bayern under 96.585.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+9.2ppWon
Valencia under 105.584.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+8.8ppWon
Bayern under 98.589.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+8.7ppWon
Valencia under 107.588.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.6ppWon
Bayern under 92.575.0%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.35		---+8.6ppWon
Under 19072.0%1.44
Bet365
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.40		---+8.6ppWon
Under 19174.1%1.39
Bet365
1.41
Marathon Bet
1.36		---+8.4ppWon
Valencia under 106.587.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.3ppWon
Bayern under 97.587.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+7.9ppWon
1st half: Bayern under 47.574.1%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+7.9ppWon
1st half: Bayern under 49.582.6%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.25		---+7.9ppWon
Under 189.570.6%1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.43		--+7.8ppWon
1st half: Under 102.586.9%1.17
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17		---+7.8ppWon
Bayern under 100.592.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.8ppWon
Valencia under 104.582.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+7.8ppWon
Valencia under 111.594.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.8ppWon
Valencia under 113.596.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.7ppWon
Valencia under 108.590.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+7.7ppWon
Under 196.583.1%1.22
Betano
1.22		----+7.7ppWon
1st half: Under 100.582.4%1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25		---+7.6ppWon
Under 193.578.3%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.30		---+7.6ppWon
Under 195.581.6%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+7.6ppWon
1st half: Bayern under 51.589.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+7.6ppWon
Valencia under 109.591.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.6ppWon
Under 190.572.6%1.41
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.39		--+7.6ppWon
Valencia under 114.597.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+7.5ppWon
Under 191.574.6%1.37
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
Marathon Bet
1.35		--+7.5ppWon
Valencia under 115.597.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.5ppWon
Valencia under 110.593.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+7.5ppWon
Valencia under 103.578.4%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+7.5ppWon
Under 194.580.0%1.27
Betano
1.27		----+7.5ppWon
Valencia under 112.595.7%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+7.4ppWon
Under 198.585.9%1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18		---+7.3ppWon
Bayern under 102.594.4%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.3ppWon
Valencia under 101.573.8%1.38
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.34		---+7.3ppLost
1st half: Under 98.577.2%1.33
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33		---+7.2ppWon
Bayern under 104.596.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.1ppWon
Valencia under 117.598.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.0ppWon
Valencia under 116.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.0ppWon
1st half: Bayern under 53.593.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.0ppWon
Bayern under 91.571.9%1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41		---+7.0ppWon
Bayern under 93.578.0%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+7.0ppWon
Bayern under 95.583.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+7.0ppWon
Valencia under 102.576.9%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+7.0ppWon
Under 192.576.5%1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.32		---+6.8ppWon
Valencia +7.592.2%1.08
Betano
1.08		----+6.8ppWon
1st half: Under 96.570.8%1.46
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.45		---+6.7ppWon
Under 197.584.5%1.19
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18		---+6.7ppWon
Bayern under 108.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.6ppWon
Bayern under 106.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Valencia under 56.588.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+6.4ppWon
Bayern under 99.590.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+6.4ppWon
1st half: Valencia under 54.582.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.3ppWon
Valencia over 74.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.3ppWon
Bayern under 107.597.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.2ppWon
1st half: Valencia under 58.593.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+6.2ppWon
1st half: Under 97.574.1%1.36
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36		---+6.0ppWon
Under 208.594.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.0ppWon
Q1: Valencia under 32.595.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.0ppWon
1st half: Under 99.579.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.26		---+6.0ppWon
1st half: Under 101.584.8%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18		---+6.0ppWon
Valencia (regulation)77.3%1.29
1xBet
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28		--+6.0ppWon
Valencia under 100.570.5%1.42
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40		---+5.9ppLost
Q1: Valencia under 34.598.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.9ppWon
Valencia over 76.596.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.8ppWon
Under 203.590.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.8ppWon
Bayern under 103.594.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.8ppWon
Q1: Under 52.583.5%1.20
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.20		---+5.8ppWon
Q1: Valencia over 14.597.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.8ppWon
Valencia over 75.597.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.7ppWon
Valencia under 120.599.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Bayern under 31.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.7ppWon
Bayern under 105.596.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.6ppWon
Under 207.594.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.6ppWon
Valencia +5.589.4%1.10
Betano
1.10		----+5.6ppWon
Valencia over 78.594.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.5ppWon
Valencia +3.585.8%1.15
Betano
1.15		----+5.5ppWon
1st half: Valencia under 52.574.4%1.35
Bet365
1.35		----+5.5ppWon
Valencia +11.595.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.4ppWon
Valencia +2.584.0%1.17
Betano
1.17		----+5.4ppWon
Valencia win79.5%1.25
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathon Bet
1.28
WilliamHill
1.25
SBO
1.24		+5.4ppWon
Valencia over 77.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.3ppWon
Q1: Valencia under 28.581.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+5.3ppLost
Bayern over 69.594.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.3ppWon
Valencia -1.577.4%1.28
Marathon Bet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28		--+5.2ppWon
Bayern over 67.596.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.2ppWon
Bayern over 65.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Bayern under 101.592.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+5.1ppWon
Q1: Bayern under 29.594.6%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.05		---+5.1ppWon
Q1: Valencia over 16.593.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.1ppWon
Q1: Under 50.575.5%1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.32		---+5.1ppWon
Valencia over 79.593.7%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Valencia under 30.590.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Valencia under 29.586.2%1.17
1xBet
1.17		----+5.0ppWon
Valencia +6.590.9%1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08		---+5.0ppWon
Valencia over 80.592.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.9ppWon
Under 202.590.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.9ppWon
Valencia over 84.585.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+4.8ppWon
Q1: Bayern under 24.572.7%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+4.7ppWon
Bayern over 68.595.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.7ppWon
Q1: Bayern under 27.588.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.7ppWon
Valencia -276.6%1.29
Marathon Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.29		---+4.7ppWon
Q1: Bayern over 13.594.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.6ppWon
Bayern over 66.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Valencia +16.598.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.5ppWon
Q1: Bayern under 25.579.0%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+4.5ppWon
Valencia -3.571.0%1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.39
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.34		-+4.5ppWon
Q1: Valencia +3.580.6%1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22		---+4.4ppWon
Valencia +10.595.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.4ppWon
Q1: Over 39.580.6%1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22		---+4.4ppWon
Q1: Under 51.579.6%1.23
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.23		---+4.4ppWon
Valencia over 81.591.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+4.4ppWon
Valencia +1.581.4%1.20
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathon Bet
1.18		--+4.3ppWon
Q1: Valencia over 18.586.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+4.3ppWon
Bayern +22.587.9%1.10
Betano
1.10		----+4.3ppWon
Bayern +24.590.9%1.07
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07		---+4.3ppWon
Valencia -373.1%1.35
Bet365
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+4.3ppWon
Bayern +28.595.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.3ppWon
Bayern +21.586.1%1.13
Betano
1.13		----+4.3ppWon
Valencia over 82.589.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+4.3ppWon
Valencia -2.573.9%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33		--+4.2ppWon
Valencia +15.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
Q1: Bayern over 11.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Valencia over 40.584.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Valencia over 38.590.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.2ppWon
1st half: Bayern over 29.597.5%1.02
1xBet
1.02		----+4.1ppWon
Bayern over 70.593.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.1ppWon
Bayern over 71.592.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+4.1ppWon
Valencia over 86.580.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.1ppWon
Bayern +29.594.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.1ppWon
Q1: Valencia over 19.581.9%1.22
1xBet
1.22		----+4.1ppWon
Overtime: no96.2%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02		--+4.0ppWon
Bayern +20.584.2%1.15
Betano
1.15		----+4.0ppWon
Q1: Under 49.571.0%1.38
1xBet
1.38
Bet365
1.38		---+4.0ppWon
Valencia -179.1%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+3.8ppWon
Valencia +4.587.7%1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.09		---+3.7ppWon
Valencia over 83.587.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.6ppWon
1st half: Valencia over 39.587.6%1.13
1xBet
1.13		----+3.5ppWon
Bayern +23.589.5%1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07		---+3.5ppWon
Q1: Valencia or Bayern94.9%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04		---+3.5ppWon
Bayern +19.582.0%1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18		---+3.5ppWon
Bayern +1776.5%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+3.4ppWon
Valencia over 85.582.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.4ppWon
Bayern over 75.584.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.3ppWon
1st half: Bayern over 33.591.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+3.3ppWon
Over 157.592.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.1ppWon
1st half: Valencia +5.586.1%1.12
1xBet
1.13
Bet365
1.11		---+3.1ppWon
Bayern +17.577.1%1.25
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.24		---+3.1ppWon
Bayern over 73.589.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.0ppWon
Q1: Valencia over 20.576.0%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+2.9ppWon
Q1: Valencia +1.571.8%1.35
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.35		---+2.9ppWon
1st half: Over 81.581.7%1.18
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18		---+2.8ppWon
Q2: Valencia or Bayern94.8%1.02
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02		---+2.7ppWon
1st half: Valencia win70.1%1.39
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Betano
1.35		-+2.7ppWon
1st half: Valencia 070.1%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+2.6ppWon
1st half: Valencia over 42.577.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+2.6ppWon
Bayern over 72.590.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.6ppWon
1st half: Valencia +3.580.8%1.19
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.18		---+2.5ppWon
Q1: Bayern over 15.588.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.5ppWon
Valencia over 88.574.4%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+2.5ppWon
Q1: Over 41.571.9%1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.34		---+2.4ppWon
1st half: Bayern over 35.586.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+2.3ppWon
Over 158.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.2ppWon
Q1: Bayern +8.579.9%1.20
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.20		---+2.2ppLost
Valencia over 87.577.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+2.1ppWon
Bayern +18.579.7%1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18		---+2.1ppWon
1st half: Valencia +1.574.6%1.28
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.27		---+1.9ppWon
Q1: Over 40.576.4%1.25
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25		---+1.9ppWon
1st half: Bayern +14.584.8%1.12
Bet365
1.13
1xBet
1.12		---+1.8ppWon
Bayern over 74.587.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.5ppWon
Bayern +16.574.4%1.26
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.24		--+1.3ppWon
1st half: Over 83.576.0%1.25
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25		---+1.2ppWon
1st half: Over 82.578.9%1.20
1xBet
1.20
Bet365
1.20		---+1.2ppWon
Bayern +15.571.5%1.30
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Marathon Bet
1.28		--+1.0ppWon
Q1: Bayern over 17.578.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.9ppWon
Over 162.587.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+0.9ppWon
Bayern over 79.573.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+0.9ppWon
1st half: Bayern +12.579.1%1.19
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18		---+0.8ppWon
Bayern over 76.582.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.8ppWon
1st half: Bayern over 37.578.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.7ppWon
Bayern over 77.579.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.6ppWon
Q1: Bayern +6.571.1%1.32
1xBet
1.32
Bet365
1.32		---+0.6ppLost
Valencia over 89.571.1%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+0.6ppWon
Over 167.579.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.4ppWon
1st half: Bayern +10.572.7%1.29
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27		---+0.3ppLost
Bayern +1673.6%1.26
Bet365
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.25		---+0.3ppWon
Bayern +1570.6%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.29		----0.2ppPush
Over 163.585.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----0.5ppWon
1st half: Over 84.572.8%1.27
1xBet
1.27
Bet365
1.26		----0.8ppWon
Over 168.577.4%1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18		----1.2ppWon
Bayern over 78.576.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----1.3ppWon
Over 169.575.5%1.20
Betano
1.20		-----1.4ppWon
Over 170.573.5%1.22
Betano
1.22		-----2.0ppWon
Over 171.571.4%1.25
Betano
1.25		-----2.3ppWon
Valencia +181.0%1.19
Marathon Bet
1.19		-----Won
Valencia or draw78.8%1.19
Marathon Bet
1.19		-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.3
56.5%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
77.1%15.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWWWWLL
Bayern
WWWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#18
+8.9
Net rating
+2.0
108.3
Offensive rating
101.7
99.4
Defensive rating
99.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
8.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
36.5%
51.0%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 101.7Defence99.4 · 99.7Shooting54.8% · 55.8%3-point %34.6% · 36.5%Ball care8.8% · 15.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Bayern v Valencia93-89
25/11/25Valencia v Bayern90-64
20/03/24Valencia v Bayern70-68
28/12/23Bayern v Valencia85-84
31/01/23Valencia v Bayern82-73
15/12/22Bayern v Valencia97-92
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AWurzburg94-73
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game95.895.096.6
Allowed / game89.188.290.0
Point differential+6.7+6.8+6.6
Avg total184.9183.2186.6
Over 18360%40%80%
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%0%50%
Points / game86.886.587.0
Allowed / game94.593.895.0
Point differential-7.7-7.2-8.0
Avg total181.3180.2182.0
Over 18330%25%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
4 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
5 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
6 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
7 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia29232129102
Bayern1922242287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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