Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 81-63

19-22 16-13 25-11 21-17

Position#5

Record10-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game75.1

Valencia 🏆

Murcia

Position#10

Record8-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game78.0

ACBRound 18

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Valencia v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

#17

103-65

103

+38

H18/12

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

101-92

101

H21/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

67-69

-2

A27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

83-66

+17

H30/12

ACB

Tenerife

#11

98-80

+18

H03/01

ACB

Nancy

#23

77-46

+31

H06/01

Eurocup

Bilbao

80-82

-2

A11/01

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

62-74

-12

A14/01

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#18

89-76

+13

H17/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

87-92

-5

H21/01

Eurocup

28-17

24-14

23-18

28-16

31-26

20-31

28-18

22-17

12-21

18-11

16-15

21-22

12-14

27-19

22-20

22-13

22-17

18-20

30-20

28-23

19-6

20-21

22-9

16-10

27-29

17-17

20-19

16-17

16-19

10-22

19-20

17-13

28-27

29-14

18-18

14-17

21-22

20-25

21-20

25-25

158.9Avg total

84.7Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.5	75.1	154.5	+4.4	59%
Season at home (9)	86.8	73.7	160.4	+13.1	89%
Season away (8)	71.2	76.6	147.9	-5.4	25%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	74.2	158.9	+10.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	74.0	153.0	+5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	63.3	80.0	143.3	-16.7	0%
vs Similar (11)	77.5	76.0	153.5	+1.5	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	81.8	73.5	155.3	+8.3	62%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#12

68-64

H23/11

ACB

Barcelona

70-90

-20

A30/11

ACB

Unicaja

86-96

-10

H08/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

74-68

A13/12

ACB

Baskonia

93-88

H21/12

ACB

Manresa

#16

68-80

-12

A27/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

85-89 OT

-4

H30/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

70-67

A04/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

70-77

-7

H11/01

ACB

Tenerife

#11

72-78

-6

A18/01

ACB

22-7

10-25

14-17

22-15

15-17

13-25

12-26

30-22

17-26

22-18

23-26

24-26

15-13

23-19

20-19

16-17

24-27

25-17

17-18

27-26

13-20

21-20

18-25

16-15

17-15

17-22

18-17

19-17

11-21

22-13

17-22

20-11

18-19

22-11

13-25

17-22

19-15

18-24

14-17

21-22

155.3Avg total

75.6Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.9	78.0	153.9	-2.1	47%
Season at home (8)	83.0	77.9	160.9	+5.1	62%
Season away (9)	69.7	78.1	147.8	-8.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	79.7	155.3	-4.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	78.2	151.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	79.2	86.5	165.7	-7.4	38%
vs Similar (11)	75.3	79.2	154.5	-3.9	36%
vs Weaker (6)	78.7	71.7	150.3	+7.0	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.0	21.0	36.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.6	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	21.8	41.5	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	17.5	35.0	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	15.8	18.2	34.0	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	11.3	23.3	34.7	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	27%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	67%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

#17

52-31

+21

H18/12

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

51-57

-6

H21/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

30-32

-2

A27/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

39-33

H30/12

ACB

Tenerife

#11

40-37

H03/01

ACB

Nancy

#23

39-27

+12

H06/01

Eurocup

Bilbao

44-46

-2

A11/01

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

26-41

-15

A14/01

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#18

57-41

+16

H17/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

41-47

-6

H21/01

Eurocup

81.1Avg total

41.9Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.6	79.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	37.2	80.4	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	42.2	78.0	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.2	81.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.3	44.3	70.7	-18.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.3	39.4	78.6	-0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	42.6	38.8	81.4	+3.8	69%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#12

32-32

H23/11

ACB

Barcelona

28-42

-14

A30/11

ACB

Unicaja

39-44

-5

H08/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

38-32

A13/12

ACB

Baskonia

49-44

H21/12

ACB

Manresa

#16

34-40

-6

A27/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

34-37

-3

H30/12

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#17

33-34

-1

A04/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

40-30

+10

H11/01

ACB

Tenerife

#11

37-39

-2

A18/01

ACB

73.8Avg total

36.4Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.4	76.9	-2.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	39.1	79.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	39.7	74.7	-4.8	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.4	73.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.0	71.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.7	41.2	80.8	-1.5	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.5	38.3	73.7	-2.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.2	37.8	74.0	-1.7	33%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.8	38.9	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.6	36.9	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	19.5	37.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	22.2	38.7	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.7	21.2	37.9	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	19.7	38.8	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.1	36.6	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.4	34.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	18.0	34.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	14.2	37.5	+9.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	35.5	74.2	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.9	75.5	+5.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	36.2	72.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.0	77.8	+7.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	33.6	71.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	35.7	72.7	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.3	36.6	74.9	+1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.2	34.7	73.9	+4.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.5	79.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.9	81.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.5	78.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.6	73.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.3	44.5	82.8	-6.2	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.5	33.8	76.3	+8.7	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/14	Murcia v Valencia	85-76
08/03/14	Murcia v Valencia	76-85
14/12/13	Valencia v Murcia	88-86
26/01/13	Valencia v Murcia	94-96
07/10/12	Murcia v Valencia	77-78
24/03/12	Valencia v Murcia	87-80
20/11/11	Murcia v Valencia	83-86 OT
04/04/10	Murcia v Valencia	92-96
29/12/09	Valencia v Murcia	72-67
26/04/09	Valencia v Murcia	83-63

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	H	CSU Ploiesti	87-92
17/01/15	H	Fuenlabrada	89-76
14/01/15	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	62-74
11/01/15	A	Bilbao	80-82
06/01/15	H	Nancy	77-46
03/01/15	H	Tenerife	98-80
30/12/14	H	Joventut Badalona	83-66
27/12/14	A	Gipuzkoa	67-69
21/12/14	H	Gran Canaria	101-92
18/12/14	H	Neptunas	103-65

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/15	A	Tenerife	72-78
11/01/15	H	Joventut Badalona	70-77
04/01/15	A	Gipuzkoa	70-67
30/12/14	H	Gran Canaria	85-89 OT
27/12/14	A	Manresa	68-80
21/12/14	H	Baskonia	93-88
13/12/14	A	MoraBanc Andorra	74-68
08/12/14	H	Unicaja	86-96
30/11/14	A	Barcelona	70-90
23/11/14	H	Obradoiro CAB	68-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	59%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	89%	25%
Points / game	79.5	86.8	71.2
Allowed / game	75.1	73.7	76.6
Point differential	+4.4	+13.1	-5.4
Avg total	154.5	160.4	147.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	78%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Murcia

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	47%
Home	WLWLL	62%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	75.9	83.0	69.7
Allowed / game	78.0	77.9	78.1
Point differential	-2.1	+5.1	-8.4
Avg total	153.9	160.9	147.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Unicaja	17	14	3	82%	82.4	74.8	+7.6
2	Real Madrid	17	13	4	76%	84.7	77.2	+7.5
3	Joventut Badalona	17	13	4	76%	78.8	75.9	+2.9
4	Barcelona	17	12	5	71%	80.8	71.6	+9.2
5	Bilbao	17	12	5	71%	76.2	72.6	+3.6
6	Valencia	17	10	7	59%	79.5	75.1	+4.4
7	Gran Canaria	17	10	7	59%	78.1	75.4	+2.7
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	17	10	7	59%	75.9	75.7	+0.2
9	Baskonia	17	8	9	47%	82.7	78.8	+3.9
10	Obradoiro CAB	17	8	9	47%	72.4	73.8	-1.5
11	Murcia	17	8	9	47%	75.9	78.0	-2.1
12	Tenerife	17	7	10	41%	75.3	77.4	-2.1
13	Gipuzkoa	17	6	11	35%	68.4	72.6	-4.3
14	Estudiantes	17	6	11	35%	70.9	76.2	-5.3
15	MoraBanc Andorra	17	5	12	29%	70.9	75.2	-4.2
16	Fuenlabrada	17	4	13	24%	72.7	76.4	-3.7
17	Manresa	17	4	13	24%	71.5	79.7	-8.2
18	Real Betis	17	3	14	18%	71.2	81.9	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	19	16	25	21	81
Murcia	22	13	11	17	63

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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