Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2017

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 67-70

13-22 14-12 26-15 14-21

Position#2

Record23-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game75.1

Valencia

Murcia 🏆

Position#9

Record13-18

FormWWWLL

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game80.6

ACBRound 34

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Valencia v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

68-62

H28/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

71-79

-8

A31/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

58-63

-5

H05/04

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

94-73

+21

A09/04

ACB

Bilbao

#10

75-88

-13

A12/04

ACB

Barcelona

76-59

+17

H16/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

90-85

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

85-74

+11

H29/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

84-89

-5

A07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

87-68

+19

A10/05

ACB

20-20

15-15

15-13

18-14

16-21

18-22

17-21

20-15

22-18

11-12

21-13

4-20

24-12

18-17

32-21

20-23

18-23

21-22

17-24

19-19

16-14

19-15

16-14

25-16

12-15

23-19

29-25

26-26

18-14

24-17

19-21

24-22

24-23

11-17

23-29

26-20

22-17

20-18

21-22

24-11

152.8Avg total

78.8Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	83.0	75.1	158.1	+7.9	74%
Season at home (15)	85.6	71.9	157.5	+13.7	93%
Season away (16)	80.5	78.1	158.6	+2.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	74.0	152.8	+4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	75.0	159.4	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.1	78.8	157.9	+0.3	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	82.2	73.1	155.2	+9.1	74%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

70-73

-3

A05/03

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

77-53

+24

H12/03

ACB

Bilbao

#10

82-71

+11

A19/03

ACB

Tenerife

79-68

+11

H26/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

84-109

109

-25

A09/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

99-62

+37

H16/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

86-78

A23/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

88-80

H30/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

64-74

-10

A07/05

ACB

Unicaja

88-95

-7

H10/05

ACB

15-14

18-24

22-16

15-19

24-10

20-14

13-17

20-12

17-12

20-21

26-15

19-23

19-22

17-15

19-13

24-18

30-28

19-22

17-27

18-32

26-11

22-16

30-15

21-20

22-23

20-18

17-16

27-21

21-19

14-12

28-24

25-25

24-16

10-20

7-21

23-17

20-28

26-18

16-19

26-30

158.0Avg total

81.7Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	80.3	80.6	160.8	-0.3	42%
Season at home (16)	80.8	77.2	158.1	+3.6	56%
Season away (15)	79.7	84.1	163.8	-4.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	76.3	158.0	+5.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	77.8	162.8	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	74.4	84.1	158.5	-9.7	7%
vs Similar (8)	85.0	80.1	165.1	+4.9	62%
vs Weaker (7)	85.0	75.0	160.0	+10.0	71%

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.2	38.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.7	17.2	35.9	+1.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.9	37.4	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.5	20.3	35.9	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	86%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

35-35

H28/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

34-43

-9

A31/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

33-30

H05/04

Eurocup

Manresa

#17

42-29

+13

A09/04

ACB

Bilbao

#10

39-45

-6

A12/04

ACB

Barcelona

35-29

H16/04

ACB

Real Betis

#16

35-34

A22/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

42-31

+11

H29/04

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

35-40

-5

A07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

42-35

A10/05

ACB

72.3Avg total

37.2Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	35.9	75.1	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.0	34.8	75.8	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	37.2	74.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.1	72.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.7	36.4	76.1	+3.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.4	35.8	74.2	+2.6	63%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

33-38

-5

A05/03

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

44-24

+20

H12/03

ACB

Bilbao

#10

37-33

A19/03

ACB

Tenerife

36-37

-1

H26/03

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

49-50

-1

A09/04

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

48-27

+21

H16/04

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

42-41

A23/04

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#15

35-31

H30/04

ACB

Gran Canaria

34-36

-2

A07/05

ACB

Unicaja

46-46

H10/05

ACB

76.7Avg total

40.4Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.8	76.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	37.9	74.9	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	39.9	77.9	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	36.3	76.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	36.2	77.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.1	41.5	74.6	-8.5	7%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.2	37.5	79.8	+4.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.3	34.6	75.9	+6.7	86%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.7	18.5	42.2	+5.2	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.2	44.1	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	20.9	39.9	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.5	22.2	44.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	25.3	18.1	43.4	+7.1	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.1	18.8	38.8	+1.3	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.8	40.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.4	22.3	40.7	-3.9	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	39.0	81.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	36.1	78.2	+6.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	42.4	84.5	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.9	80.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	41.2	87.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.7	37.3	81.0	+6.5	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.6	83.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	41.3	86.2	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	41.9	80.2	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.0	81.3	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	41.6	85.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 70.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 7% of the points

League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.0	50.0%	50.6%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	9.0	37.5%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	7.0	5.0	71.4%	74.8%	5.0

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	50.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	1.0	50.0%	74.8%	1.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	50.6%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	1.0	50.0%	74.8%	1.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/17	Murcia v Valencia	75-78
01/05/16	Murcia v Valencia	80-62
22/12/15	Valencia v Murcia	65-54
24/01/15	Valencia v Murcia	81-63
05/10/14	Murcia v Valencia	85-76
08/03/14	Murcia v Valencia	76-85
14/12/13	Valencia v Murcia	88-86
26/01/13	Valencia v Murcia	94-96
07/10/12	Murcia v Valencia	77-78
24/03/12	Valencia v Murcia	87-80

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/17	A	Estudiantes	87-68
07/05/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	84-89
29/04/17	H	Obradoiro CAB	85-74
22/04/17	A	Real Betis	90-85
16/04/17	H	Barcelona	76-59
12/04/17	A	Bilbao	75-88
09/04/17	A	Manresa	94-73
05/04/17	H	Unicaja	58-63
31/03/17	A	Unicaja	71-79
28/03/17	H	Unicaja	68-62

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/17	H	Unicaja	88-95
07/05/17	A	Gran Canaria	64-74
30/04/17	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	88-80
23/04/17	A	Obradoiro CAB	86-78
16/04/17	H	Fuenlabrada	99-62
09/04/17	A	Estudiantes	84-109
26/03/17	H	Tenerife	79-68
19/03/17	A	Bilbao	82-71
12/03/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	77-53
05/03/17	A	Barcelona	70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	74%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WLWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	74%	93%	56%
Points / game	83.0	85.6	80.5
Allowed / game	75.1	71.9	78.1
Point differential	+7.9	+13.7	+2.4
Avg total	158.1	157.5	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	60%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	100% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Murcia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	42%
Home	WWWWL	56%
Away	LWLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	42%	56%	27%
Points / game	80.3	80.8	79.7
Allowed / game	80.6	77.2	84.1
Point differential	-0.3	+3.6	-4.5
Avg total	160.8	158.1	163.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	31	24	7	77%	87.6	77.9	+9.7
2	Valencia	31	23	8	74%	83.0	75.1	+7.9
3	Baskonia	31	22	9	71%	83.7	76.7	+6.9
4	Barcelona	31	21	10	68%	82.4	76.0	+6.5
5	Unicaja	31	21	10	68%	82.7	77.6	+5.1
6	Tenerife	31	21	10	68%	76.8	71.8	+5.0
7	Gran Canaria	32	21	11	66%	84.7	76.2	+8.5
8	MoraBanc Andorra	31	16	15	52%	81.5	83.8	-2.4
9	Bilbao	32	14	18	44%	77.2	80.5	-3.3
10	Murcia	31	13	18	42%	80.3	80.6	-0.3
11	Estudiantes	31	12	19	39%	81.3	83.4	-2.1
12	Fuenlabrada	31	12	19	39%	77.3	84.2	-6.9
13	Obradoiro CAB	31	11	20	35%	76.4	82.3	-5.9
14	Joventut Badalona	32	11	21	34%	76.1	79.3	-3.2
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	31	9	22	29%	79.0	84.5	-5.5
16	Real Betis	31	9	22	29%	75.6	83.4	-7.8
17	Manresa	31	5	26	16%	74.9	87.1	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	13	14	26	14	67
Murcia	22	12	15	21	70

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Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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