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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-74
21-16 31-24 25-15 18-19
Position#9
Record16-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#13
Record14-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Valencia
23 Dec 2026
ZAL v VAL
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
ZAL86
VAL77
27 Oct 2023
ZAL72
VAL87
31 Mar 2023
ZAL95
VAL74
22 Oct 2020
ZAL82
VAL94
18 Jan 2018
ZAL86
VAL82
24 Feb 2011
ZAL74
VAL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 76
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
66-63
66
63
+3
57avg 76
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
85-67
85
67
+18
75avg 76
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 76
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 76
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 76
H29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
15-14
18-13
11-18
22-18
16-22
31-15
18-13
20-17
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
17-15
17-25
15-21
23-13
23-17
13-18
22-33
33-12
16-22
19-24
20-19
24-22
27-19
20-24
29-14
20-13
28-19
20-22
17-12
14-17
160.6Avg total
83.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.677.6153.2-1.952%
Season at home (15)75.372.8148.1+2.573%
Season away (16)76.082.1158.1-6.131%
Last 10 (10)83.377.3160.6+6.060%
Last 5 (5)83.476.2159.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.2158.8-11.620%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.373.6148.9+1.664%
vs Weaker (14)86.874.4161.2+12.479%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
55avg 76
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 76
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 76
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 76
A29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
24-30
16-24
11-33
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
165.9Avg total
79.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.585.9168.4-3.445%
Season at home (16)82.681.6164.1+1.050%
Season away (15)82.590.5172.9-8.040%
Last 10 (10)79.586.4165.9-6.940%
Last 5 (5)77.884.0161.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.887.7170.5-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.084.2167.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)88.581.2169.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
Zalgiris KaunasValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/03
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
40.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.176.1+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.637.577.2+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)38.636.875.4+1.865%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.880.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.081.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.245.680.8-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.033.972.9+5.182%-
vs Weaker (14)40.436.677.0+3.971%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A03/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
41.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.383.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.986.5-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.541.883.4-0.354%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.841.884.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)41.538.279.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.9
56.4%
53.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.0
42.2%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
78.5%12.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.2
50.9%
53.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
78.5%14.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLLWWWL
Valencia
LLLWWWLLWL
#9
League position
#13
+8.6
Net rating
-10.6
120.9
Offensive rating
106.1
112.2
Defensive rating
116.7
59.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.2%
3-point %
34.6%
61.2%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.9 · 106.1Defence112.2 · 116.7Shooting59.2% · 51.4%3-point %42.2% · 34.6%Ball care17.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds34.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
3
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23HMonaco79-70
26/03/23HGargzdai96-70
24/03/23AFenerbahce79-87
19/03/23ANeptunas91-80
16/03/23HOlympiacos72-74
12/03/23HRytas94-100
09/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
07/03/23AAlba Berlin66-63
04/03/23ANevezis97-69
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
03/03/23ABaskonia75-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%73%31%
Points / game75.675.376.0
Allowed / game77.672.882.1
Point differential-1.9+2.5-6.1
Avg total153.2148.1158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game82.582.682.5
Allowed / game85.981.690.5
Point differential-3.4+1.0-8.0
Avg total168.4164.1172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)44% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3122971%84.275.5+8.7
2 Real Madrid3122971%85.478.4+7.0
3 Barcelona32221069%80.976.7+4.3
4 Monaco31201165%83.681.4+2.2
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv32191359%83.680.9+2.7
6 Fenerbahce31181358%83.980.9+3.0
7 Partizan31171455%84.582.5+2.1
8 Baskonia31161552%85.883.9+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31161552%75.677.6-1.9
10 Anadolu Efes32161650%82.880.9+1.9
11 Crvena zvezda31141745%76.578.0-1.5
12 Valencia31141745%82.585.9-3.4
13 Olimpia Milano32141844%74.277.3-3.1
14 Virtus Bologna32131941%78.082.8-4.8
15 Panathinaikos31112035%79.382.6-3.3
16 Bayern31112035%76.780.4-3.7
17 Alba Berlin3292328%79.684.8-5.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%74.180.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2131251895
Valencia1624151974
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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