PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Panathinaikos
24 Nov 2026
VAL v PAO
upcoming
13 May 2026
VAL81
PAO64
30 Apr 2026
VAL105
PAO107
28 Apr 2026
VAL67
PAO68
09 Apr 2026
VAL102
PAO84
05 Jan 2024
VAL81
PAO82
13 Dec 2022
VAL94
PAO91
17 Nov 2020
VAL95
PAO83
28 Dec 2017
VAL67
PAO63
21 Oct 2010
VAL56
PAO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 93
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 93
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 93
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 93
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 93
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
182.9Avg total
96.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.488.9185.3+7.573%
Season at home (6)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)96.986.0182.9+10.980%
Last 5 (5)98.286.0184.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (27)98.887.2186.0+11.681%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 84
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 84
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 84
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 84
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 84
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
165.7Avg total
84.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.678.7166.3+8.980%
Season at home (7)88.776.7165.4+12.086%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.880.9165.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)87.489.0176.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.392.3180.6-4.043%
vs Weaker (18)89.476.0165.4+13.489%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
ValenciaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#12
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
46.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.141.188.2+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.139.688.7+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.387.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)47.342.289.5+5.174%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.837.681.3+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.780.4-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.343.683.9-3.343%-
vs Weaker (18)44.237.081.2+7.267%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWWWWL
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#1
+8.9
Net rating
+8.3
108.3
Offensive rating
97.5
99.4
Defensive rating
89.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
8.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.6%
3-point %
34.4%
51.0%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 97.5Defence99.4 · 89.3Shooting54.8% · 54.5%3-point %34.6% · 34.4%Ball care8.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game96.496.296.6
Allowed / game88.988.090.0
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.6
Avg total185.3184.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game87.688.785.0
Allowed / game78.776.783.3
Point differential+8.9+12.0+1.7
Avg total166.3165.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.