PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 94-91 (OT)
20-26 24-15 26-22 14-21 10-7
Position#13
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#15
Record6-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Panathinaikos
24 Nov 2026
VAL v PAO
upcoming
13 May 2026
VAL81
PAO64
30 Apr 2026
VAL105
PAO107
28 Apr 2026
VAL67
PAO68
09 Apr 2026
VAL102
PAO84
05 Jan 2024
VAL81
PAO82
13 Dec 2022
VAL94
PAO91
17 Nov 2020
VAL95
PAO83
28 Dec 2017
VAL67
PAO63
21 Oct 2010
VAL56
PAO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
86avg 77
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-89
59
89
-30
44avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 77
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 77
H22/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 77
H25/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 77
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 77
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
104-69
104
69
+35
110avg 77
H11/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-20
23-14
25-30
8-24
17-18
17-24
17-23
17-27
19-23
18-23
24-21
19-31
12-10
15-18
27-21
31-24
13-13
17-22
15-21
15-14
21-31
21-16
10-22
21-21
16-22
23-21
24-20
7-19
20-13
16-26
19-21
10-15
17-20
20-18
21-31
22-14
23-22
34-9
25-24
161.4Avg total
77.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.283.0162.2-3.842%
Season at home (6)78.779.2157.8-0.533%
Season away (6)79.886.8166.7-7.050%
Last 10 (10)77.683.8161.4-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.282.2162.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.385.4163.8-7.133%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.281.8161.0-2.738%
vs Weaker (5)88.678.2166.8+10.480%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 74
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
62avg 74
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 74
A20/11
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H23/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 74
H25/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
87-63
87
63
+24
85avg 74
H27/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 74
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 74
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
71-57
71
57
+14
60avg 74
H11/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-25
29-16
31-24
25-22
15-33
15-23
22-29
27-19
30-19
19-21
23-23
12-21
26-20
29-21
9-14
15-11
24-13
27-13
11-21
16-16
28-12
30-13
13-22
27-13
17-15
16-25
21-14
14-24
24-11
10-14
18-19
13-22
20-20
19-17
20-13
25-17
13-12
18-19
15-9
158.1Avg total
83.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.381.3161.7-1.050%
Season at home (7)84.378.3162.6+6.057%
Season away (5)74.885.6160.4-10.840%
Last 10 (10)83.474.7158.1+8.780%
Last 5 (5)79.066.4145.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.781.8155.5-8.19%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.279.6159.8+0.680%
vs Weaker (14)81.168.2149.4+12.979%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
ValenciaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/12
ACB
75.0Avg total
34.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.580.0-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.780.5-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)34.940.175.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.842.278.0-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.839.880.6+1.169%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A20/11
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H23/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H27/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H11/12
Basket League
77.2Avg total
40.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.177.0+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.435.476.8+6.059%-
Last 30 away (13)37.839.377.2-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.377.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.471.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.343.180.4-5.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker (14)42.631.974.5+10.686%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.4
48.6%
53.5%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.4%
78.5%13.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.5
56.0%
53.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
36.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
78.5%15.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLLLLLW
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#15
-8.4
Net rating
+11.2
104.2
Offensive rating
112.4
112.6
Defensive rating
101.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
34.1%
61.2%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 112.4Defence112.6 · 101.2Shooting51.2% · 54.1%3-point %36.1% · 34.1%Ball care20.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22HBasquet Girona104-69
08/12/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-84
04/12/22AReal Madrid62-79
01/12/22APartizan100-96 OT
27/11/22HUnicaja67-83
25/11/22HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
22/11/22HReal Madrid73-80
19/11/22ATenerife78-94
17/11/22AVirtus Bologna59-89
11/11/22HMonaco89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22HAEK Athens71-57
08/12/22HOlimpia Milano90-77 OT
05/12/22AOlympiacos66-68
02/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-67
27/11/22HPAOK87-63
25/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne77-58
23/11/22HVirtus Bologna88-85 OT
20/11/22AAS Karditsas99-82
18/11/22AFenerbahce77-107
11/11/22HBaskonia98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game79.278.779.8
Allowed / game83.079.286.8
Point differential-3.8-0.5-7.0
Avg total162.2157.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game80.384.374.8
Allowed / game81.378.385.6
Point differential-1.0+6.0-10.8
Avg total161.7162.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %17%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1310377%85.577.5+7.9
2 Monaco129375%84.381.3+3.0
3 Olympiacos139469%87.377.5+9.8
4 Real Madrid139469%84.178.2+5.8
5 Barcelona128467%80.476.9+3.5
6 Anadolu Efes127558%83.777.6+6.1
7 Baskonia127558%86.281.2+5.1
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%82.282.3-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda137654%74.177.1-3.0
10 Panathinaikos126650%80.381.3-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%75.879.2-3.5
12 Valencia125742%79.283.0-3.8
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%73.778.3-4.6
14 Virtus Bologna124833%74.780.8-6.2
15 Partizan134931%84.587.4-2.9
16 Bayern134931%73.277.8-4.6
17 Alba Berlin123925%81.084.2-3.2
18 Olimpia Milano1331023%68.776.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia202426141094
Panathinaikos26152221791
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.